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Week 1

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Legend
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Posted: #1

Michigan +4

Penn State -10

TCU -17

Western Michigan +23
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
Best of Luck , Bud          
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
amd,
     Best of luck with your plays.  

Like Michigan as well.

TD
 
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Posted: #4
Nice to see you back , expecting yet another banner season from you Sir 
 
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Posted: #5
I like TCU and Western Michigan......gl
 
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Posted: #6
Playing them all for the same amount? Thanks buddy.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by amd:


Michigan +4

Penn State -10

TCU -17

Western Michigan +23

USC -29



 
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Posted: #8
I love TCU and WM.

Passing on Michigan and Penn State. I just see the Michigan/Utah game within 3 points. Temple looks impressive on paper. They have most of their starters coming back. See this as a 7-8point  ball game. 

Bol amd!
 
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Posted: #9
Great looking card .. MAY YOU HAVE YOUR BEST SEASON EVER ....




Enjoy ur Summer ..
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by amd:


Michigan +4

Penn State -10

TCU -17

Western Michigan +23

USC -29

Illinois -16

Central Michigan +21


 
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Posted: #11
Why don't u come join a real forum the wnba  

Good luck this season 
 
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Posted: #12
amd can you give me some insight on how you cap your caps? do you use a system? trends? any insight would be greatly appreciated!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #13
My local book has tcu - 14. I should hop on that huh
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
BL 
 
Captain
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Posted: #15
will these games will start at august 28?

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

amd can you give me some insight on how you cap your caps? do you use a system? trends? any insight would be greatly appreciated!

I don't use a system.

Regarding stats in NCAA football, I use 5 key stats to help me come to a conclusion in beating the spread 
1.Offensive/Defensive yds per PLAY
2. Turnover margin
3. 3rd down conversion %
4. Average field position
5. Red Zone %

I'm more into X/O's than I am line movement. I couldn't give a fukk less about being against line movement. If I've capped a game and I like a team, I take them. I usually have a pretty good read on lines so it's not too often that I'm on the other side of the movement. However,  I have two games in week 1 that I was off....Penn State and TCU. Don't care. Both teams win by 3 td's. 

In regards to trends, they'res a couple 9f different styles of handicapping. 
1. Fundamental Handicapping. 
This type of gambler uses power rankings, personnel matchups and player stats to make their best judgement in beating the spread. This type of handicapping, imo, is a shittty way to cap college football because such a wide disparity exists between good and bad teams. I'm not saying that we shouldn't use raw numbers in our analysis, however, it's a fact that we see a lot of 49-14 football games in college football and these games skew the statistics in terms of numbers.

2. Situational Handicapping.
 This is, more times than not, how I handicap. I look at specific situations and some of these situations can be just as much psychological as physical or raw numbers. How does a team come out after a disappointing loss or a big win. Betting teams based on emotion is very difficult but capping a variable such as an emotional trend, for example, has proven relevant season after season. I also pay close attention to coaching philosophies.  Style points now matter more than ever in regards to rankings and the playoff format so I'll be using a head coach's tendencies as a major 2nd half variable this season. 

3. Technical Handicapping. 
These idiots like to use trends and line movements as their primary tool for handicapping a game. 90% of Covers posters are technical "cappers." I don't have a problem with incorporating these elements as long as you actually understand the fukking matchup your "capping." For some dude to actually give an opinion on an outcome based on a trend rather than actually knowing anything else about the matchup doesn't hold any merit. It's safe to say that 90% of these "cappers" shower before they shitt. Not too bright to just play trends and line movements. I don't think a lot of us realize how many times sharps actually lose.

Thanks for your post, bol this season.



 
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Posted: #17
AMD 
 
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Posted: #18
boss coming
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by amd:


I don't use a system.

Regarding stats in NCAA football, I use 5 key stats to help me come to a conclusion in beating the spread 
1.Offensive/Defensive yds per PLAY
2. Turnover margin
3. 3rd down conversion %
4. Average field position
5. Red Zone %

I'm more into X/O's than I am line movement. I couldn't give a fukk less about being against line movement. If I've capped a game and I like a team, I take them. I usually have a pretty good read on lines so it's not too often that I'm on the other side of the movement. However,  I have two games in week 1 that I was off....Penn State and TCU. Don't care. Both teams win by 3 td's. 

In regards to trends, they'res a couple 9f different styles of handicapping. 
1. Fundamental Handicapping. 
This type of gambler uses power rankings, personnel matchups and player stats to make their best judgement in beating the spread. This type of handicapping, imo, is a shittty way to cap college football because such a wide disparity exists between good and bad teams. I'm not saying that we shouldn't use raw numbers in our analysis, however, it's a fact that we see a lot of 49-14 football games in college football and these games skew the statistics in terms of numbers.

2. Situational Handicapping.
 This is, more times than not, how I handicap. I look at specific situations and some of these situations can be just as much psychological as physical or raw numbers. How does a team come out after a disappointing loss or a big win. Betting teams based on emotion is very difficult but capping a variable such as an emotional trend, for example, has proven relevant season after season. I also pay close attention to coaching philosophies.  Style points now matter more than ever in regards to rankings and the playoff format so I'll be using a head coach's tendencies as a major 2nd half variable this season. 

3. Technical Handicapping. 
These idiots like to use trends and line movements as their primary tool for handicapping a game. 90% of Covers posters are technical "cappers." I don't have a problem with incorporating these elements as long as you actually understand the fukking matchup your "capping." For some dude to actually give an opinion on an outcome based on a trend rather than actually knowing anything else about the matchup doesn't hold any merit. It's safe to say that 90% of these "cappers" shower before they shitt. Not too bright to just play trends and line movements. I don't think a lot of us realize how many times sharps actually lose.

Thanks for your post, bol this season.







Best of luck this season, buddy. Hope I will see you in the NFL forum soon.
 
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Posted: #20
Good luck this season!
 
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Posted: #21
one of my favorite cappers on covers, i like your style bol this season 
 
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Posted: #22
GL buddy 
 
Captain
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Posted: #23
Always respect your picks bud .... what do you like about CM + 21 vs OK ST .... CM returns hardly anyone while OK ST is loaded with Return starters ???? Thx for any feedback 
 
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Posted: #24
I' with you on TCU. W.Mich and Illinois
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

Always
respect your picks bud .... what do you like about CM + 21 vs OK ST .... CM returns hardly anyone while OK ST is loaded with Return starters ???? Thx for any feedback
I'm with you. I think Cowboys will stomp C Michigan into the ground on Thursday night nationally televised game. ....
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