yeah not sure why so much Tulsa love... unless getting a TD or so.....wouldn't touch it Graham's #'s.... 0-4 road dog 3-5 dog 3-9-1 CUSA road 9-16-1 CUSA
pass D is weak.....and doesn't bring much pressure...
* the pirate DL with "plenty " of experience (didn't count the snaps though ).....has zero career starts .....LB's have 11......0/7 starters return.....best way to read these boys may be to avoid....rather than to auto-fade...
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009.. should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
ECU breaks in new QB, new RB, 2 new OL and an entire new system that relies on QB to make quick decisions..
Pirates might end up grasping the TTech-like O eventually, but that's a lot to ask in week 1, esp. when also breaking in 9 new D starters...
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
yeah not sure why so much Tulsa love... unless getting a TD or so.....wouldn't touch it Graham's #'s.... 0-4 road dog 3-5 dog 3-9-1 CUSA road 9-16-1 CUSA
pass D is weak.....and doesn't bring much pressure...
* the pirate DL with "plenty " of experience (didn't count the snaps though ).....has zero career starts .....LB's have 11......0/7 starters return.....best way to read these boys may be to avoid....rather than to auto-fade...
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009.. should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
ECU breaks in new QB, new RB, 2 new OL and an entire new system that relies on QB to make quick decisions..
Pirates might end up grasping the TTech-like O eventually, but that's a lot to ask in week 1, esp. when also breaking in 9 new D starters...
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009..
should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
yeah we know EC has nobody back.....AND Tulsa (should) be better........SO......you gotta get a "starting point" for Tulsa....> how bad were they REALLY last year.....?
Offense?.... despite facing some of nation's WORST D's...... rankings (yds/play) > 112 ...106...104...100...93...82...71...54...54...20...4... + Sam Houston..... (so 8 teams worse than 70th best) *managed 269 vs OU...295 vs Boise....266 vs ECaro....322 vs SMU
true #32 in yds/play...(5.3)
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
also fumbled 14 times (lost 7) in their 6 games vs winning opponents).......all stats vs winning opponents * not really a very good offense.....also gotta factor in TREMENDOUS drop-off form '08....must ask the question.....can they do it without Malzahn ?
Defense ......need a D to try out new passing offense ?.....best bet may be the golden hurricane....1 starter returns from secondary that ranked among nations's worst.....
#117 in yds/game #115 in Passer Rating #100 in % allowed (67%) * also allowed 20 PASSING TD's in those 6 games .....vs winning teams .... wow
total D #90 (6.4/play) rush D #69 (4.1/rush) scoring D #102 * basically allowed 39 points.....25 1st downs....and 500 yds to good teams.....yikes
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009..
should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
yeah we know EC has nobody back.....AND Tulsa (should) be better........SO......you gotta get a "starting point" for Tulsa....> how bad were they REALLY last year.....?
Offense?.... despite facing some of nation's WORST D's...... rankings (yds/play) > 112 ...106...104...100...93...82...71...54...54...20...4... + Sam Houston..... (so 8 teams worse than 70th best) *managed 269 vs OU...295 vs Boise....266 vs ECaro....322 vs SMU
true #32 in yds/play...(5.3)
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
also fumbled 14 times (lost 7) in their 6 games vs winning opponents).......all stats vs winning opponents * not really a very good offense.....also gotta factor in TREMENDOUS drop-off form '08....must ask the question.....can they do it without Malzahn ?
Defense ......need a D to try out new passing offense ?.....best bet may be the golden hurricane....1 starter returns from secondary that ranked among nations's worst.....
#117 in yds/game #115 in Passer Rating #100 in % allowed (67%) * also allowed 20 PASSING TD's in those 6 games .....vs winning teams .... wow
total D #90 (6.4/play) rush D #69 (4.1/rush) scoring D #102 * basically allowed 39 points.....25 1st downs....and 500 yds to good teams.....yikes
Just got Steele's SEC / ACC / BE regional....... in this one he has one page on EVERY FCS team also.....so if you like to dabble in that area......highly recommended...... * check out Nichols State...breaking in a new O....spread to pro set.....with 5/4 starters at Air Force week 1......last year 72-0....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Just got Steele's SEC / ACC / BE regional....... in this one he has one page on EVERY FCS team also.....so if you like to dabble in that area......highly recommended...... * check out Nichols State...breaking in a new O....spread to pro set.....with 5/4 starters at Air Force week 1......last year 72-0....
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009..
should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
A lot can be attributed to OL injuries- had 2 OL starters going into LY and one (leader), LT Tyler Holmes went down with injury.. from there line fell apart.. this year, 9 of top 10 OL are back and it can't get any worse than LY..
Also, brought in co-OC Chad Morris, who is friends with Malzahn and ran his version of spread and won couple state HS titles..
Agree D is just awful, but not sure ECU's new QB, whoever that is, will be able to exploit it..
Tulsa had some close losses too: 7 to Boise, 4 @UTEP, 1 to Houston
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009..
should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
A lot can be attributed to OL injuries- had 2 OL starters going into LY and one (leader), LT Tyler Holmes went down with injury.. from there line fell apart.. this year, 9 of top 10 OL are back and it can't get any worse than LY..
Also, brought in co-OC Chad Morris, who is friends with Malzahn and ran his version of spread and won couple state HS titles..
Agree D is just awful, but not sure ECU's new QB, whoever that is, will be able to exploit it..
Tulsa had some close losses too: 7 to Boise, 4 @UTEP, 1 to Houston
Just got Steele's SEC / ACC / BE regional....... in this one he has one page on EVERY FCS team also.....so if you like to dabble in that area......highly recommended...... * check out Nichols State...breaking in a new O....spread to pro set.....with 5/4 starters at Air Force week 1......last year 72-0....
scratch that.....but even better maybe.....the Colonels at San Diego St week 1
looks like WAY too much guessing here.....TU/ECU wanna force a play......week 1 ?....go ahead (assuming close to pick em)......if TD+....with you
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
Just got Steele's SEC / ACC / BE regional....... in this one he has one page on EVERY FCS team also.....so if you like to dabble in that area......highly recommended...... * check out Nichols State...breaking in a new O....spread to pro set.....with 5/4 starters at Air Force week 1......last year 72-0....
scratch that.....but even better maybe.....the Colonels at San Diego St week 1
looks like WAY too much guessing here.....TU/ECU wanna force a play......week 1 ?....go ahead (assuming close to pick em)......if TD+....with you
Army anything under -7..... Might be my Largest wager for week 1.....A Must win for the Black Knights Bowl Hopes...
Syracuse upto -9.5... Akron should be bottom 7 this year... Not sure they can stay within 2 TD's... The Zips are going through Major Changes with their 1st year HC
Northwestern + anything just Hoping the Wildcats are the Dog...
Auburn -upto 27.5... This game should get real ugly...
Kansas St as a Home Dog...... Would love to get a ML of +125 or more .... Neither Team looks Fantasttic on Paper, But as usual UCLA will be getting too much respect at the betting window....
Middle Tennessee St. as a Home Dog or slight Fav.... Much bigger game for the Blue Raiders...
Troy upto -13.... Payback for last year... The Trojans went up 14-0 and could have been looking ahead to Florida on deck ... BG scored 31 Straight Points(costing me a Large Opening night Wager)
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
My 7 Top Leans for week 1 Wagering
Army anything under -7..... Might be my Largest wager for week 1.....A Must win for the Black Knights Bowl Hopes...
Syracuse upto -9.5... Akron should be bottom 7 this year... Not sure they can stay within 2 TD's... The Zips are going through Major Changes with their 1st year HC
Northwestern + anything just Hoping the Wildcats are the Dog...
Auburn -upto 27.5... This game should get real ugly...
Kansas St as a Home Dog...... Would love to get a ML of +125 or more .... Neither Team looks Fantasttic on Paper, But as usual UCLA will be getting too much respect at the betting window....
Middle Tennessee St. as a Home Dog or slight Fav.... Much bigger game for the Blue Raiders...
Troy upto -13.... Payback for last year... The Trojans went up 14-0 and could have been looking ahead to Florida on deck ... BG scored 31 Straight Points(costing me a Large Opening night Wager)
Troy upto -13.... Payback for last year... The Trojans went up 14-0 and could have been looking ahead to Florida on deck ... BG scored 31 Straight Points(costing me a Large Opening night Wager)
Like Troy as well.. not to mention BG lost 75%+ of its scoring from LY with Sheehan and Barnes gone.. The Falcon's could be last year's Ball State (who lost as 20 pt fav in week 1 to North Texas)..
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Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
My 7 Top Leans for week 1 Wagering
Troy upto -13.... Payback for last year... The Trojans went up 14-0 and could have been looking ahead to Florida on deck ... BG scored 31 Straight Points(costing me a Large Opening night Wager)
Like Troy as well.. not to mention BG lost 75%+ of its scoring from LY with Sheehan and Barnes gone.. The Falcon's could be last year's Ball State (who lost as 20 pt fav in week 1 to North Texas)..
Like Troy as well.. not to mention BG lost 75%+ of its scoring from LY with Sheehan and Barnes gone.. The Falcon's could be last year's Ball State (who lost as 20 pt fav in week 1 to North Texas)..
Really down on Bowling Green this year, J
ust like you said they lost alot ...
Have to be around 110-116 in my current top 120....Really down on the MAC this year... Don't see any schools that really stand above the rest...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by BBallday10:
Like Troy as well.. not to mention BG lost 75%+ of its scoring from LY with Sheehan and Barnes gone.. The Falcon's could be last year's Ball State (who lost as 20 pt fav in week 1 to North Texas)..
Really down on Bowling Green this year, J
ust like you said they lost alot ...
Have to be around 110-116 in my current top 120....Really down on the MAC this year... Don't see any schools that really stand above the rest...
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009.. should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
yeah we know EC has nobody back.....AND Tulsa (should) be better........SO......you gotta get a "starting point" for Tulsa....> how bad were they REALLY last year.....?
Offense?.... despite facing some of nation's WORST D's...... rankings (yds/play) > 112 ...106...104...100...93...82...71...54...54...20...4... + Sam Houston..... (so 8 teams worse than 70th best) *managed 269 vs OU...295 vs Boise....266 vs ECaro....322 vs SMU
true #32 in yds/play...(5.3)
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
also fumbled 14 times (lost 7) in their 6 games vs winning opponents).......all stats vs winning opponents * not really a very good offense.....also gotta factor in TREMENDOUS drop-off form '08....must ask the question.....can they do it without Malzahn ?
Defense ......need a D to try out new passing offense ?.....best bet may be the golden hurricane....1 starter returns from secondary that ranked among nations's worst.....
#117 in yds/game #115 in Passer Rating #100 in % allowed (67%) * also allowed 20 PASSING TD's in those 6 games .....vs winning teams .... wow
total D #90 (6.4/play) rush D #69 (4.1/rush) scoring D #102 * basically allowed 39 points.....25 1st downs....and 500 yds to good teams.....yikes
Yeah Bookie you are doing a good job of Talking me out of betting on Tulsa .....
ECU has a Tough schedule with several land mines.... ..can't wait to see what the New Offense does ......not sure about ATS, but I don't see them winning more than 6 games Straight Up....
in the end I will be on Tulsa as long as they are not laying more than 2, Not a large wager , so thanks to you
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
9 O starters for Tulsa though- 35th in nation in total O in 2009.. should be pretty good.. D still has work... BUT..
yeah we know EC has nobody back.....AND Tulsa (should) be better........SO......you gotta get a "starting point" for Tulsa....> how bad were they REALLY last year.....?
Offense?.... despite facing some of nation's WORST D's...... rankings (yds/play) > 112 ...106...104...100...93...82...71...54...54...20...4... + Sam Houston..... (so 8 teams worse than 70th best) *managed 269 vs OU...295 vs Boise....266 vs ECaro....322 vs SMU
true #32 in yds/play...(5.3)
but #62 rushing at 3.4/rush #74 in 3rd down eff (35%) 56th in scoring (21.7) RZ #105 TFL allowed #108 (7.8/game) sacks allowed #118 (4.2/game).......HOLY SHIT
also fumbled 14 times (lost 7) in their 6 games vs winning opponents).......all stats vs winning opponents * not really a very good offense.....also gotta factor in TREMENDOUS drop-off form '08....must ask the question.....can they do it without Malzahn ?
Defense ......need a D to try out new passing offense ?.....best bet may be the golden hurricane....1 starter returns from secondary that ranked among nations's worst.....
#117 in yds/game #115 in Passer Rating #100 in % allowed (67%) * also allowed 20 PASSING TD's in those 6 games .....vs winning teams .... wow
total D #90 (6.4/play) rush D #69 (4.1/rush) scoring D #102 * basically allowed 39 points.....25 1st downs....and 500 yds to good teams.....yikes
Yeah Bookie you are doing a good job of Talking me out of betting on Tulsa .....
ECU has a Tough schedule with several land mines.... ..can't wait to see what the New Offense does ......not sure about ATS, but I don't see them winning more than 6 games Straight Up....
in the end I will be on Tulsa as long as they are not laying more than 2, Not a large wager , so thanks to you
With your numbers, I'd be leaning towards these games. Granted, I haven't done as much research as I want to yet.
1. Pittsburgh +3 2. Purdue +10.5 3. Auburn -27.5 4. Connecticut +4.5 (the one I'm most unsure of at this point. A TD here would be an auto-play I think.) 5. Northwestern +1 (plus anything here. They'll win this one by 10+ IMO.) 6. San Jose State +40 (will probably stay away from this one, but all those points are going to be tempting for me. Bama has Penn State on deck. See a 35-3 game here, but I'll do my best to steer clear.) 7. Washington State +25.5 (Cougs are awful, but OK State should be at the bottom of the Big 12 this year, right? Is bottom of the Big 12 26 points better than bottom of the Pac-10?) 8. Tulsa PK 9. Navy -4.5 10. Boise State -1.5
Would hope to cut this down to a list of 3-4 that I would go strong on. I'm trying to cut down my plays this year and go larger on them.
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With your numbers, I'd be leaning towards these games. Granted, I haven't done as much research as I want to yet.
1. Pittsburgh +3 2. Purdue +10.5 3. Auburn -27.5 4. Connecticut +4.5 (the one I'm most unsure of at this point. A TD here would be an auto-play I think.) 5. Northwestern +1 (plus anything here. They'll win this one by 10+ IMO.) 6. San Jose State +40 (will probably stay away from this one, but all those points are going to be tempting for me. Bama has Penn State on deck. See a 35-3 game here, but I'll do my best to steer clear.) 7. Washington State +25.5 (Cougs are awful, but OK State should be at the bottom of the Big 12 this year, right? Is bottom of the Big 12 26 points better than bottom of the Pac-10?) 8. Tulsa PK 9. Navy -4.5 10. Boise State -1.5
Would hope to cut this down to a list of 3-4 that I would go strong on. I'm trying to cut down my plays this year and go larger on them.
this will mess with the liine .... now thinking Northwestern will be laying 3+
very possible...there is a press conference at 1:00 this afternoon. gotta believe they will go the interim head coach route for the season. more than likely Robbie Caldwell, their o-line coach, or Bruce Fowler, their d-cord, will take the job.
there have been rumors flying around on nashville radio about phil fulmer. i am interested to see what happens to this line though
0
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
this will mess with the liine .... now thinking Northwestern will be laying 3+
very possible...there is a press conference at 1:00 this afternoon. gotta believe they will go the interim head coach route for the season. more than likely Robbie Caldwell, their o-line coach, or Bruce Fowler, their d-cord, will take the job.
there have been rumors flying around on nashville radio about phil fulmer. i am interested to see what happens to this line though
With your numbers, I'd be leaning towards these games. Granted, I haven't done as much research as I want to yet.
1. Pittsburgh +3 2. Purdue +10.5 3. Auburn -27.5 4. Connecticut +4.5 (the one I'm most unsure of at this point. A TD here would be an auto-play I think.) 5. Northwestern +1 (plus anything here. They'll win this one by 10+ IMO.) 6. San Jose State +40 (will probably stay away from this one, but all those points are going to be tempting for me. Bama has Penn State on deck. See a 35-3 game here, but I'll do my best to steer clear.) 7. Washington State +25.5 (Cougs are awful, but OK State should be at the bottom of the Big 12 this year, right? Is bottom of the Big 12 26 points better than bottom of the Pac-10?) 8. Tulsa PK 9. Navy -4.5 10. Boise State -1.5
Would hope to cut this down to a list of 3-4 that I would go strong on. I'm trying to cut down my plays this year and go larger on them.
Really agree with most if not all of your Leans ....
Pitt is catching 4.5 at Utah week 1 on 5 Dimes right now .... looks like a toss up game but the Panthers are very alive getting over a FG
Like that Washington st lean.... would Love 28+
How do you think Robert Marve will do for Purdue ??
Brother You sound like a long time CFB bettor when you talk about cutting down the games you wager on, and increasing the amount
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by TRoe15:
With your numbers, I'd be leaning towards these games. Granted, I haven't done as much research as I want to yet.
1. Pittsburgh +3 2. Purdue +10.5 3. Auburn -27.5 4. Connecticut +4.5 (the one I'm most unsure of at this point. A TD here would be an auto-play I think.) 5. Northwestern +1 (plus anything here. They'll win this one by 10+ IMO.) 6. San Jose State +40 (will probably stay away from this one, but all those points are going to be tempting for me. Bama has Penn State on deck. See a 35-3 game here, but I'll do my best to steer clear.) 7. Washington State +25.5 (Cougs are awful, but OK State should be at the bottom of the Big 12 this year, right? Is bottom of the Big 12 26 points better than bottom of the Pac-10?) 8. Tulsa PK 9. Navy -4.5 10. Boise State -1.5
Would hope to cut this down to a list of 3-4 that I would go strong on. I'm trying to cut down my plays this year and go larger on them.
Really agree with most if not all of your Leans ....
Pitt is catching 4.5 at Utah week 1 on 5 Dimes right now .... looks like a toss up game but the Panthers are very alive getting over a FG
Like that Washington st lean.... would Love 28+
How do you think Robert Marve will do for Purdue ??
Brother You sound like a long time CFB bettor when you talk about cutting down the games you wager on, and increasing the amount
very possible...there is a press conference at 1:00 this afternoon. gotta believe they will go the interim head coach route for the season. more than likely Robbie Caldwell, their o-line coach, or Bruce Fowler, their d-cord, will take the job.
there have been rumors flying around on nashville radio about phil fulmer. i am interested to see what happens to this line though
with you ,,, hopefully we don't see Northwestern laying points Now ....
BOL this season Brother and thanks for stopping by
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by DaimondD:
very possible...there is a press conference at 1:00 this afternoon. gotta believe they will go the interim head coach route for the season. more than likely Robbie Caldwell, their o-line coach, or Bruce Fowler, their d-cord, will take the job.
there have been rumors flying around on nashville radio about phil fulmer. i am interested to see what happens to this line though
with you ,,, hopefully we don't see Northwestern laying points Now ....
BOL this season Brother and thanks for stopping by
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