Week 10 Thoughts.....

Mr. RJSizzle you are one of the brightest man out there.  Good Luck to you!!!! By the way NIU is up to +9.5 at Heritage Sportsbook

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I dont think this is a hangover for Standford i think they get chewed out for not having a dominating win and blow out this week

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Insert cliche about winning money from your bookie here. 

Great week of College Football last week. Some seasons were absolutely crushed. 

i bit on NIU at 8.5. i dont get this line. its higher than i wouldve set it, but this isnt my job. harnish is the best player on the field, imo. 

who isnt going to bet on florida state? bc covers. somehow. someway. 

ucf is nothing if they dont beat tulsa. what a disappointing season. 

kent state should win at home again. 

i bet on colorado at 21.5. usc will sleepwalk through this game. tough loss to take. hangover city. 

eastern michigan has been on a nice run, but ball state should sneak a win here. emu in the favorite role? yikes. 

kentucky is good enough to beat ole miss. thats a silly line. 

virginia should not be laying road chalk in conference. its nuts. maryland on principle. 

indiana is one of those where you dont want to hit submit. its going to cover, but itll be ugly. ohio state on cloud 9 after that win last week. still celebrating. 

iowa state beats a horribly overrated texas tech team and all of a sudden they are laying 2 scores? hahahahaha. kansas has nothing to lose here. i think they come in loose and pull an upset. 

sort of think northwestern could cover that line. 

what a great time to bet on iowa. team has a lot to prove and has been an afterthought all year. huge win for them here could do wonders for the team. think ferentz has his boys motivated. 

ou going to be overpriced coming off a drubbing of a not so good kst team. have to hand it to the books, though. they have made a killing on damn near every kst game this year. 

i have south carolina su. the dreaded 5 line. 

nc st line has dropped too much. no value. 

sitting on lsu +6.5 from a goy bet. think bama wins, though. drats. 

this is one of those games utah wins. 

think mizzou puts a run together here. they should beat baylor like a drum. 

love pitt. their offense is tough to swallow and i think cincy will have their hands full. 

rice should get a home win. 

ulm should beat ull. ulm has played a monster schedule. dont fault them for it. 

fade stanford off that huge win. even luck creamed his seersuckers after that win. they are going to be coming in on a cloud. 

thoughts? drop em. 

Good luck this week. We see eye to eye on almost every game we're both on except for Baylor/Missou. I watched a lot of that game (sometimes it can help capping, sometimes it hurts capping but that's not the point)--Tamu literally gave that game away. Also was a big, emotional win for Missou. Walkoff ot win, lot of celebrating and hugging on the field afterward. Granted, Baylor's defense is so bad that it's even embarassing to call them a unit, but that Missou win was much more an overpriced tamu squad squandering it than a quality Missou club winning it. It's going to be tough for them to come back this week and be pumped for another Big 12 roadie, this time a night game against a team that badly needs the w. It's just a standard play for me, nothing more, but I just want to see what your reasoning is on Missou this week.

Great stuff from you and Shark.  Sometimes the best thing you can do is walk away.  Colorado is unplayable.  Stanford is unplayagainstable.  That doesn't make CU and OSU plays, though. Maryland is similar.  No value in the Hoos as road chalk, but they match up well with the Terps, who may have basically quit. 

I like Pit, but think Utah goes down by 20 in the desert.  I also like Kent (as much as anyone can like Kent), Missouri (who I never seem to get right), Ball, and Rice.  Disagree on ISU, who should win by 28 (though I get your reasoning; I think they are well coached, and will build off of last week). 

Why Mizzou? They are in a bad spot on the road vs an undervalued team......normally your cup of tea.

Like the rest.

As bad as we think they are, New Mexi State hasn't lost a game by more than 20 all year. Now they show up for a 12:30 start against a hungover Georgia team which doesn't have the offensive playmakers to cover this number (34).

Very rare that I like a dog catching an outrageous number but I like this one. A lot.

Excellent pickings lately my friend.

georgia's star rb is out too

My man, RJ... what's up.

You touched on a couple games I liked (Colorado, Maryland, IU, Oregon St.). I will probably be on all of these, albeit 1H plays as I like to take advantage of teams coming out flat.

Surprised to see you on Missouri... thought Baylor would actually be more your style.

I think a couple other possible favorites are in a good spot from a buy low/sell high perspective. Any thoughts on Cal -9.5 and Florida -13.5? Both are coming off losses, and both of their opponents (Washington St. and Vanderbilt) are coming off games where bettors saw them hang tough last week when most of their money was on Oregon and Arkansas. As a result these lines may be a shade too low?

I have noticed that you can make a killing betting against public underdogs. That's when you know a line is really messed up and Vegas is baiting people, because it takes a lot for the general public to bet an underdog. Florida, Cal, and Alabama could be good bets this week following this model.