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Week 10 Thoughts.....

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Posted: #26
Another reason to take Oregon St is that Stanford has Oregon on deck.  So the Stanford Vs Oregon State game is known as a stale sandwich game!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #27
Like the Leans!  GL
 
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Posted: #28

Not sure how you see Mizzou as the undervalued team. Baylor got embarrassed by Ok St while Mizzou had the upset of the week (along with OSU and GT)....Mizzou historically doesnt play well on the road especially at night....

 

gl either way Sizzle

 
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Posted: #29
Not feeling this week as much as the last two.

Still some good spots out there.

Gl man
 
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Posted: #30
Great stuff as always Sizzle...kill it again this week.

 
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Posted: #31
way to kill it last week, beast
 
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Posted: #32

As said before, we ride the same wave on your approach to these games. Thought I might see you on ninny last week, but nonetheless, am thinking you may like day getting 17. A little underpriced i have it at 20. Also Florida is an overpriced team, so I'm playing them this week. Love iowa, love Louisiana Mon. this line is too low, so I'm on it. I have Georgia way overpriced...texas too.so I'm considering both.

 
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Posted: #33
Minnesota not ninny,
 
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Posted: #34

That should be day not day....sorry about typos

 
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Posted: #35

This phone blows and I have butchered this thread...sorry. Florida Atlantic getting 17 vs Arkansas st.

 
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Posted: #36
RJ:

Curious as to why you like Utah. 
BOL this week. 
 
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Posted: #37
The biggest college game of the year is this weekend, and LSU is a HUGE public underdog.

Everyone I know has released LSU.

Look for Bama to ROLL.........


 
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Posted: #38

Huh?  Where do you guys get that KY is good enough to beat Ole Miss???  OM sux but KY sux MORE.  I don't get what you guys are seeing here.  Please tell me & explain.

Thanx.

 
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Posted: #39
The line tells you Utah game going to be close. Coaching advantage. Utah has no problem winning a game they shouldnt. This team has shown up before when least expected. 

There is never a reason to bet Ole Miss on the road at a short # - see Vandy. KY is just as talented defensively and better on offense. They are home etc. 


 
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Posted: #40
Just one man's opinion - i enjoy the dreaded -5 line fade as much as the next guy, but you are not talking about a dismal and public laughing stock Illinois on the road against a winning Penn State team...

you are talking about giving the world 4.5 or 5 points in favor of the 9th ranked BCS contender South Carolina...who wouldn't enjoy 4.5 points or 5 points with them...against a team who has been looked at as barely surviving the last two games...

This one goes the other way in a big way.
 
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Posted: #41
This pooch kick strategy is the worst thing I have ever seen in the NIU game. 

 
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Posted: #42
Thanks for the thoughts, man. Got the lines a little late this week, had no idea Navy had been -4.5 earlier. I don't consider -4.5 to -6 much of a shift (because -5 and -5.5 are black hole numbers), but -7 would make me a steam-chaser, and that's not a winning game. 

Looks like your public dogs this week are LSU, Utah State, and New Mexico State. I think the first two probably get beat, but I just can't believe Georgia is coming out focused. If that's a sucker line, I think it's sucking me in. 

Nice call on NIU/Toledo (regardless of outcome, which is promising, the thought process was good)


 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

This pooch kick strategy is the worst thing I have ever seen in the NIU game. 


Made for an exciting game, that`s for sure. 
 
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Posted: #44
What you think about Ohio-Temple.  I like Ohio +3.5 .
 
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Posted: #45

Great thoughts as usual RJ. I agree 100% on playing against USC and Stanford.

I really like the over tomorrow night in the Temple game as well.

GL this week bro

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:


There is never a reason to bet Ole Miss on the road at a short # - see Vandy. KY is just as talented defensively and better on offense. They are home etc. 


I know you aren't terribly concerned with anything outside the spot, but just to back you here, the Cats finally showed a bit of life offensively when Newton went down and Smith took over last week.  The true freshman took them on three long 2H drives, made great reads, showed poise, etc.  Honestly, I haven't come across many freshmen who looked more impressive in their first start/real game experience than he did last week.  Didn't get the cash for me as they came up eight yards short in the 4Q, but his performance has me convinced they get it done this week if/when he's announced the starter.  UK looks like a play despite Nutt's propensity to get the job done as a road dog.

Interesting to me that you'll play a line in no man's land at 5, but when someone hits that line and moves it down to 3-4, you want no part of it.  Perhaps NCSU isn't a lead-pipe lock, but my god, let's talk about a coaching advantage - and a team still in the hunt for the postseason while looking for their first home conference win.  Thought you'd be all about buying the Pack after getting blanked and selling the Heels after a slightly deceiving 25-point win against Wake where they ran away with it in the 4Q.

Be careful with NW.  Fitzgerald is one of the best in the biz as a road dog, but backing a Cats team who can't stop anyone while going up against a Huskers D that seems to have righted the ship after the bye week seems like a scary proposition.  Let's not forget how painfully pathetic these boys were the last time they came off a win/won their last road game, as they managed to walk away from West Point with an L.  Think NU has to keep the pedal to the metal after dicking around the entire first half of the season.

Baffled by your lean to Cal as well, considering any potential momentum gained from the Utah win was lost last week in LA, and they run into a Wazzu squad hungry to end a four-game skid and six-game series skid.  Cougs finally stuck with Lobbestael last week and it paid off as they hung tough in Eugene.  Could potentially see a Cal win here, but certainly not a blowout.

Keep killing it RJ...always enjoy the thread

 
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Posted: #47
Lean to Ohio. Nothing serious.
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by lindetrain:

Interesting to me that you'll play a line in no man's land at 5, but when someone hits that line and moves it down to 3-4, you want no part of it. 


That also applies to SC/ARk.. Hogs opened at 4.5  and got bet up to 5.. yet, RJ likes SC


 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Lean to Ohio. Nothing serious.
  Feeling the home dog myself tonight, RJ, only a small play though to make the game interesting to watch.  Blackout for the game and Solich (when sober) seems to have the Owls number.  Keep up the great work, I do pay attention, as I'm always lurking.  Hope all's well at work and at home.  BOL.
 
 
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Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by Lucrative:

Surprised you dont have Wake on your leans? Imo, this is a great spot to hit Wake at a great number. Grobe will have these kids ready in their Superbowl this season. They have to have had this game circled for a while. Wake knows this is a rebuilding year, but they also know that winning a marquis game will help with recruiting.

Isn't it possiblle that Wake's Super Bowl is next week at Clemson?  That game will decide the Atlantic Division.  This looked like a big game before the season, but now it could be a lookahead spot.

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