Week 10 Thoughts.....

Central Florida    Tulsa  1.50 -11.99 

RJ, the line here is Tulsa getting 1.50 
Sag numbers say they s/b favored by
almost 12, that's over 13 points, how do you read that?
UCF that good at home?  Is that where
Vegas thinks the line s/b to get
even value?  Just don't see it?

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Although I think organized religion is a huge game of telephone - AMEN!!! You are preaching to the choir. 

Why does anyone like Baylor this weekend? Geez. Color me crazy. Baylor doesnt stand a chance. They are worse everywhere. RGIII is not an entire team. Why cant Mizzou build off a nice win on the road last week? I dont see every win as a let-down next week. I see some teams putting things together at the right time. 

I think its time to get off the Lou wagon, although WVA isnt going to break 30. Tough to cover 2 TDs.  

I really have no lean on any of the other games you posted. Cuse you cant take on the road. That game gets thrown out the window. 

USF/Rutgers, I have no idea why either team has an advantage. The line sucks. 

Love Rice. I mean, Tulsa, favored? On the road? Against Rice? Have you seen who Rice has played? 

Dont get confused, though. There is no public bettor taking Bama this weekend. Just the sharpest people you will ever see placing a bet. LSU is fools gold and I am middling my GOY line. If you know someone playing LSU, are you really trying to tell me that person isnt a long-term loser? Every losing bettor I know likes LSU - and this is after Bowling Green on the road last week. 

And yeah, I have no idea how you play on USC or Stanford after their game last week. Thats nuts. 

Hey Sizzle. I had a brainfart on Bama. LSU is getting pounded by the public. I actually posted that after in the thread. I dont know if you missed it. I think I am going to play Bama too. I was all over them when the line came out but I hated -5 in what I think could be a close one. I still think Bama has the better defense, running game, quarterback, homefield advantage and coach. LSU's defense is very good too Id rate them #2 in America. I just think Lee could have a bad game if Bama plugs that ground game. Those Big East games I had no leans on those games except Louisville slightly just because they have a solid defense but I don't like true frosh QBs on the road.

Siz-

I really like the Maryland play.  I hate the ACC though, as it is so hard to find much consistency.  UVA laying road chalk is just crazy talk though..

Not sure I can back the Hawkeyes or Jayhawks though.  Seems like KU could take the rest of the season off and most people would not notice. 

Any thoughts on Wake Forest?  Seems like a good home dog against a ND squad that might take them lightly. 

Also, why not Northwestern?  Persa has still not hit his stride, and they seem to be an offense that can stay within 17 of the huskers...

Great work as always

While we're talking about teaser, I just want to know if you have considered this (I actually just bet these)

2 10.5 point teasers

Jets +12/NE +2/LSU +15

Jets +12/NE+2/BAMA +6

I know crossing zero "loses value", but in this case, NE is basically a filler to get bonus points with the Jets and a middle try on the BAMA game, which I think Bama wins in close game, but I dont know anybody that would bet them -15.....

If you look back through some of his other posts, I believe he has Colorado tonight.

GL, Sizzle.

Talk me out of Florida... I really want to bet them because I'm seeing an abnormal amount of love for Vandy... so much so that one square book (Sports Interaction) actually had the line lower than the Pinnacle line at one point in the day (-13 vs. -13.5). Reading through some comments about the game over on ESPN.com in their "Conversation" section (which is about as square as you can get) many realistically can see Vandy winning this game outright.

Just don't know if I can pull the trigger or not, though.

If you like the Buffs I assume you like the under as well? If USC puts up 40 I dont think CU can cover....

Like the card Sizzle, only opposite S Car