Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
https://www.goldsheet.com/product.php
$$$ I'm gonna say......we (consider) AF....at 24 or more....and will definitely play at 28....which if they really kill Cinn.....we may get
BETTING GAMEPLAN
$ staying AHEAD....is the basic idea
1) download / print next week's schedule....now meaning week 3
* in rotation order
* in rotation order
https://www.ncsports.com/schedule_logs.html
2) identify / circle....teams of interest
* as you're watching games THIS week....keep up with these teams...AND their opponents
eg. week 3...... let's look at Air Force at Michigan
* Michigan off a (likely) big home romp over Cinn.....with Purdue on deck.... previously....a great (line inflating) win over Florida....that EVERYBODY saw
$ meaning....this line will (probably) be more than it should be
* as you're watching games THIS week....keep up with these teams...AND their opponents
eg. week 3...... let's look at Air Force at Michigan
* Michigan off a (likely) big home romp over Cinn.....with Purdue on deck.... previously....a great (line inflating) win over Florida....that EVERYBODY saw
$ meaning....this line will (probably) be more than it should be
* Air Force?.....off bye / SDSU on deck...
$ how has Calhoun prepared his team off bye?
go to....
https://www.oddsshark.com/stats/dbresults/football/ncaa
looks like 5-5 or so overall.....8-2 if on road
NOTE: here not much to check out match-up wise....Michigan is gonna be tough vs the run.....the only question is how have they played vs option teams?......do they enjoy guys going at their knees for 60 minutes?.....many don't care for it too much.......
3) figure out at what NUMBER...will you play Air Force?....or Michigan if a B10 butt blaster / recreational capper....I reckon ha
check with Massey :
https://www.masseyratings.com/game.php?s0=295489&t0=United+States+Air+Force+Academy&h=-1&s1=295489&t1=University+of+Michigan
* Massey says... 41-17......not bad
* Massey says... 41-17......not bad
Sagarin :
https://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
* here we get 24-25 or so....his aren't adjusted yet...so I bumped Michigan up a point or 2
https://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
* here we get 24-25 or so....his aren't adjusted yet...so I bumped Michigan up a point or 2
If not a cheap / broke basterd...pay for the Gold Sheet...their numbers best reflect Vegas PR's ....you can use these to make your own.....> don't have to get it every week....make adjustments yourself.......comes out every MONDAY nite at 10:00p E
* I LOVE reading it .....always pick up a few ideas....I IGNORE their picks...their research is top notch....brief previews of every college and NFL game. ......fight thru the Barry Goldwater....Spiro T Agnew references...................
https://www.goldsheet.com/product.php
* here we get Michigan (adjusted) -20 or so
$$$ I'm gonna say......we (consider) AF....at 24 or more....and will definitely play at 28....which if they really kill Cinn.....we may get
4) THEN......you keep up with stuff that might effect next week's game....
* read LOCAL news for injuries not known yet.....what's Calhoun saying about Michigan?... are they beat up....just trying to get ready for MTW play?....or fired up / healthy....ready to go?
* read LOCAL news for injuries not known yet.....what's Calhoun saying about Michigan?... are they beat up....just trying to get ready for MTW play?....or fired up / healthy....ready to go?
5) SO...by the time lines come out....you're READY
* you don't have to WAIT.....to see who else likes AF....you know
* you don't have to WAIT.....to see who else likes AF....you know
6) ALSO....you have to PREDICT...which way the line will go....based on the opening number
$ it opens at 21-22......which way do you think?
$ at 28?......likely to drop ....at BetOnline....may go up wtf
$ at 24?.....I would WAIT....if it drops ....it is likely to rise at some point anyway
$ it opens at 21-22......which way do you think?
$ at 28?......likely to drop ....at BetOnline....may go up wtf
$ at 24?.....I would WAIT....if it drops ....it is likely to rise at some point anyway
6) PRE-DETERMINE what your bet will be
* at 24+?....one unit maybe......I see 28?....maybe 1.25 units
less than 24 .....pass or 1/2 unit?
* at 24+?....one unit maybe......I see 28?....maybe 1.25 units
less than 24 .....pass or 1/2 unit?
POINT : know beforehand.....so you don't make an emotional decision....
7) IF SMART...................
* you KNOW.....the best place to get the inflated number is BetOnline.......here you might get 28-30 even.....later you might be only able to get 24-25
$ don't forget to whine about guys that got the better #'s
8) MAKE THE PLAY......move TF on....for the love of God man
* as there is more work to be done.............
This info is as good as it get! This is better than picks.... perfect example of the old "give a man a fish, teach a man to fish" adage.
Thanks BA
