WEEK 3 lines / leans / notes

tough to figure the numbers this week.......


THURSDAY
SEPT 11, 2014               
           
101 PITTSBURGH STEELERS
P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM
102 BALTIMORE RAVENS  -3               
           
103 LOUISIANA TECH
P: 5:00PM C: 7:
00PM E: 8:00PM
104 NORTH TEXAS     -6          
           
105 HOUSTON
P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM
106 BYU     -13'          
           

FRIDAY
SEPT 12, 2014               
           
107 TOLEDO
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
108 CINCINNATI  -8'               
  *Cinn's 1st game...Toledo >  Ball St next         
 
109 BAYLOR  -25
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
110 BUFFALO
  *Bay > Iowa St next               
           

SATURDAY
SEPT 13, 2011               
           
111 INDIANA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
112 BOWLING GREEN  -2'               
           
113 OHIO
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
114 MARSHALL  -16'               
           
115 CENTRAL FLORIDA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
116 MISSOURI  -7
  *UCF off (Penn St) loss then bye
   MIzzou > Indiana next
               
           
117 NC STATE
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
118 SOUTH FLORIDA  P               
  *USF QB White?
           
119 MIAMI OHIO
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
120 MICHIGAN  -28               
  *Hoke 8-3 ATS off loss           

121 KENT STATE
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
122 OHIO STATE -30               
  *Urban 14-6 ATS off loss / bye next
            
123 EASTERN MICHIGAN
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
124 OLD DOMINION -7               
           
125 EAST CAROLINA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
126 VIRGINIA TECH  -10               
           
127 SYRACUSE  -5
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
128 CENTRAL MICHIGAN               
           
129 PITTSBURGH  -25
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
130 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
  *don't let small children watch                
           
131 BOISE STATE  -10
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
132 CONNECTICUT               
           

133 GEORGIA SOUTHERN
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
134 GEORGIA TECH   -23
  *GT > Hokies next               
           
135 IOWA STATE
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
136 IOWA  -15               
           
137 WEST VIRGINIA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
138 MARYLAND  -2
  *WV > OU next/ Terps at Cuse               
           
139 MASSACHUSETTS
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
140 VANDERBILT    -18'
  *Vandy > SCaro next           
           
141 LOUISVILLE  -13
P: 9:30AM C: 11:30AM E: 12:30PM
142 VIRGINIA               
  *Cards in tough Murray St / FIU sandwich...Cavs at BYU next

143 WYOMING
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
144 OREGON  -36               
  *Ducks at Wazzu mext           

145 AIR FORCE  -7
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
146 GEORGIA STATE               
           
147 WESTERN KENTUCKY
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
148 MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE  -1'               
           
149 KANSAS
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
150 DUKE  -24               
           
151 GEORGIA  -2
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
152 SOUTH CAROLINA               
           
153 ARKANSAS
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
154 TEXAS TECH  -2'               
           
155 ARKANSAS STATE
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
156 MIAMI FLORIDA  -13'               
           
157 MISSISSIPPI STATE  -13'
P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM
158 SOUTH ALABAMA               
           
159 UL - LAFAYETTE
P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM
160 MISSISSIPPI     -18'
  *Hudspeth 7-4 ATS off loss          
           
161 ILLINOIS
P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM
162 WASHINGTON  -15               
           
163 MINNESOTA
P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM
164 TCU  -7               
  *FRogs off bye / bye next wtf
     $ valuable time for new up-tempo O / QB's           

165 WESTERN MICHIGAN
P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM
166 IDAHO -2
  *WM off bye...Vandals off tough game at ULM (Fla trip week before)               
           
167 ARMY
P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM
168 STANFORD -28               
           
169 SOUTHERN MISS
P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM
170 ALABAMA  -45
  *Bama >Fla next               
           
171 WAKE FOREST
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
172 UTAH STATE    -14           
           
173 TULSA -5
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
174 FLORIDA ATLANTIC
  *FAU beat to hell...off Neb + Bama
   Tulsa off OU beatdown > bye next               
           
175 UTSA
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
176 OKLAHOMA STATE  -17 ???               
           
177 UL - MONROE
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM U
178 LSU     -24           
           
179 PURDUE
P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM
180 NOTRE DAME  -30               
           

181 KENTUCKY
P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM
182 FLORIDA -18'
  *Gators covered last 7 in series / but Bama next
   UK bye next               
           
183 NAVY  -12'
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
184 TEXAS STATE               
           
185 TENNESSEE
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
186 OKLAHOMA  -21               
           
187 NEW MEXICO STATE
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
188 UTEP  -14               
           
189 UCLA  -7 ???
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
190 TEXAS
  *both bye next               
           
191 PENN STATE  -5
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
192 RUTGERS               
           
193 USC  -17
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
194 BOSTON COLLEGE
  *TRojans >bye next....BC off Th home loss / Maine next                
           
195 RICE
P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM
196 TEXAS A&M  -28'               
           
197 NORTHERN ILLINOIS  -6
P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM
198 UNLV               
           
199 ARIZONA STATE -20
P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM
200 COLORADO   
  *ASU > UCLA 12 days           
           
201 NEBRASKA -15
P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM
202 FRESNO STATE
  *FSU off USC / Utah beatings...Neb > Miami,F next                
           
203 NEVADA
P: 8:00PM C: 10:00PM E: 11:00PM P
204 ARIZONA  -16'
  *Nevada off big W > bye next
   Zona off tough Th road win > Cal next               
           
------------------------------USF

back later..............

BA, Thanks, Bud    

where are you getting the lines from? are these guesses?

Thanks Assassin...

Book,   I'll be looking hard at Boise -10 if we can get that line. Big bet against UConn. Bad rode trip and start time but have zero confidence w/ UConn under any circumstances. Boise decent enough.

BA,

This is a terrific card.  Lots of good matchups.  Nobody knows for sure how good some of these teams are.

I like OU, Pitt, and Arizona...

Thorpe - FIU is terrible, same time zone, this game will get ugly, fast...

If No. I'll. Opens at less than a TD over UNLV, I'm taking the bait.

I agree with Pitt. take, unless the weather vchanges a little, could cool down somewhat, be sure to watch for it. FIU is just plain BAD and think pitt will look to score...

Buff +25 i doubt, more like +35... i will be on anything under 30

Early degenerate  BetOnline stuff...
 
UNLV +12
Ohio St -27
Ark +4'
WV +3
Ga Southern +24
   -----------
Bookmaker

Louisville -6'
Tulsa -1'
UCLA -6'

thinking about...

Duke seems low at 17
ARIZ ST -14 wtf
NEB -10 ditto
TCU to drop?
USF (QB is out looks like tho)
EC ???
FLA ?
 

really good guesses overall     

BetOnline copying my lines again...................
  *funny tho....if they're too close it makes me question mine a bit... seriously ....................cuz' they're bad

BOL this week Thorpe..........
  *did you hit Cal .....vs Sac St last week?

gotta love these FRUSTRATED offensive coaches......when finally having a shot to move the ball.......

The problem this week is we have so many teams yet to establish a CLEAR identity
  *seriously....are they who we think they are? / or should be?

Are they REALLY this good?
  *Aggies....USC...Georgia...Fla....N Dame....Baylor....+++

They can't be THIS bad?...
  *Vandy...Texas...Michigan...NW...SMU (yes)...+++

WTF is going on here anyway?
  *UCLA...S Carolina...Ohio St...TTech...NCSt...N Carolina...Maryland....Wazzu...Houston...

Got something going on?....or just jackin' around?
  *WKU...UAB...La Tech...Virginia...UTEP...WVirg...Rutgers..Pitt...Memphis...++

Teams we can count on?
  *UTSA...AUBURN....Ball St...Navy...Boise...........??
 *not many .....we can count on to deliver a consistent effort...being BAD each and every week is fine too.....

Is UCLA gonna beat TEXAS by 50?...or get beat?
flaky Georgia gonna destroy S Caro?.....or lose?
BYU lose to Houston?....you're crazy as h e l l if you think it just can't happen ...........

--------------------------------------------------------------------------


KEY INJURIES


QB

USF     White looks to be OUT
BGreen  Johnson OFY dont forget
MIAMI   Olsen P
Okie St  Walsh ?
TOLEDO   Bama transfer Ely looks OUT
MInny    Leidner ?
Tulane   Lee?
FAU      Johnson missed
UConn    Cochran?
BAYLOR   Petty ???
NAVY     REynolds?
New Mex  Gautsche ?
Wisky     Stave still out

RB / WR

CMich    best player Titus Davis DNP last week
Ark St   RB Gordon
Bay      check WR's
KENT ST  Durham > with bye on deck/ D
Kentucky  check WR's
NEB       WR's Bell and Turner?
Okie St   RB Roland

 


Game Notes-------------------------------------------------


Ga Southern nice bully...
  *80+ points / 575 rushing vs sorry Sav St

Vandy O is beyond terrible...
113 plays = 445 yds /0 TD  

USF lost QB on 1st play...Terps had 6 TO's
  QB Brown not playing well (#91 rated passer/28-52 > 342 yds...3/2)
 
COL / UMASS
  *stats dead even...yikes

UAB had 548 yds TO vs Miss St....av 7.1/play
  *26-20 at the half

Navy is really tough on the ground TY
  *488 rushing vs Temple (7.7/rush)...had 370 vs Buckeyes

UConn outgained 300-223 by the mighty SB Sea Wolves

That Brandon Doughty (WKU QB) coming thru for bettors backing their opponent yet again
  *'bout 80 yd pick 6 late in game cost game / frontdoor cover

SMU / June Jones offense humming right along..
 *2 games / 124 plays = 341 yds (2.75)...minus 16 rushing
  5-29 on 3rd....12 sacks..8 TO's
  only score on last play of game vs NT

Virginia killed Richmond right?....won 45-13
  *nope match-up fairly close...Cavs outgained 422-330 by the SPIDERS
   Richmond 7 TO's

You boys were right about the Buckeye D...they do stink
  *WHY?.....hellifIknow...Hokies 9-16 on 3rd...that Michael Brewer way too comfortable in the pocket.....23-36/199

Anyone get the La Tech sudden rise?....
  *48-20 over a pretty good ULL team on the road?
   527 TO...7.6/play...6.8/rush

Ducks 7.2/play vs Sparty...my impression was their O could have been  better....D gave up way too much....
  *but Sparty 5.7/play and 3.4/rush....so guess not

2 RZ picks cost SDSU the win...including one ret for TD...outgained the Heels 509-394
  *that 394 includes a 90+ play...Aztecs av 6.9/play

Memphis / UCLA tied at 35 in 4th
  *Memphis with 469 TO / 24 FD / 5.8 per play /  4.2 per ruDsh

Boise D...poof!... is somehow very tough vs the run
  * 2.1 / rush vs Ole Miss...1.2 vs Col St

Thanks for the great notes as always BA

Very nice 

thanks bookie!

Might have missed it... what do you see in UNLV? They have scored 2 TD's in 2 games...one game was with an unranked FCS school. Think the offense comes a live this week?

Kent State is so so bad. Ohio State should bounce back in a blow out here. Run the football down their throats. Kent State won't score. 37-3 Final. Take it before it jumps. Also like East Carolina. Good spot for them. VT coming off big emotional win will probably come out flat at noon and overlook them. East Carolina always plays VT tough. Baltimore -3 over Pittsburgh might be my play of the week though. Really not sold on Pittsburgh at all without Ryan Clarke & they got exposed by Brian Hoyer today. Ravens bounce back in a big way. 

a small / value type play that's it......
  *12 is too many....I think it 'should be' 7ish....but no higher than 10.........I think it closes much lower / so if you like NI I would wait

asking the wrong question....

HOW....in the h-e-l-l.....can you play N Illinois here?...........

  *in @ NW / @ ARKANSAS sandwich
  *off huge win....vs a beaten team....just trying to make it to the bye
   (NW)
  *now in 2nd of 3 game road trip at one of the toughest spots to
   play.......about a 30-35% ATS bet historically.....(Rebels
   cover 65-70%)

UNLV has improved every year under Hauck....offensively AND defensively....hammered AT Zona (expecting to compete)....note Zona is tough (UTSA can play)....then slept thru a scrimmage vs N Col.....I see no reason they can't keep this one tight / win outright...

forgot.....not to make this INTO some huge play
* minor but counts....UNLV HAS to win this one (kinda sorta) for any real bowl shot......Hauck can't afford a step back this year

N Illinois?......focus is on:
  *celebrating big W
  *can we do it again at Arkansas?.....esp as a short underdog
   sure we can!....."UNLV sucks.....we'regonnakillem"  < bad plan
   with 5+ easy wins on schedule > low priority game for NI / high
   for UNLV
 

nice early grab on Ohio St number...glad not to be the only one on that.....looking at WV and Tulsa as well, BOL this week BA