Thanks bro, the last time I went with a constant winner by a lot for many games in a row, they fell flat but its hard to compare Iowa's offense with the studs on Michigans!
I am more jacked to watch how the defense shames Tuala and his receivers ...perhaps a pick6
As some have warned, you sometimes get off the mat when you are an underdog for years ....hope tomorrow is not the time for that!
Thanks for the kind words and I hope to keep it going for me and you
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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@HockeyNight11
Thanks bro, the last time I went with a constant winner by a lot for many games in a row, they fell flat but its hard to compare Iowa's offense with the studs on Michigans!
I am more jacked to watch how the defense shames Tuala and his receivers ...perhaps a pick6
As some have warned, you sometimes get off the mat when you are an underdog for years ....hope tomorrow is not the time for that!
Thanks for the kind words and I hope to keep it going for me and you
I think matchups on the field are more important than the 'underdog for years' situation. Fully expect Tuala to be on the run often tomorrow. Likes to attack the LB's and safeties, feel Michigan has some really good LB's who can defend the pass well and also get after the QB. Change looks post snap as good as anyone & Tuala is known to make some mistakes with the ball. Can't establish a run game then it doesn't matter how good your guys on the outside are... should be obvious what's coming.
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@Last2thirst
I think matchups on the field are more important than the 'underdog for years' situation. Fully expect Tuala to be on the run often tomorrow. Likes to attack the LB's and safeties, feel Michigan has some really good LB's who can defend the pass well and also get after the QB. Change looks post snap as good as anyone & Tuala is known to make some mistakes with the ball. Can't establish a run game then it doesn't matter how good your guys on the outside are... should be obvious what's coming.
Totally agree with the run game not going for them and then you are 3 and 8 all day....how many drives do you score for every 10 you have = maybe 3 out of 10 on this defense
Michigan, with their run game and mix of passing, how many scores will they get per 10? > minimum 6 out of 10 >> 3 more scores for every 10 = 17-21 pts minimum ...and it could be more
I expect the defense of Michigan to gain turnovers as well
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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@HockeyNight11
Totally agree with the run game not going for them and then you are 3 and 8 all day....how many drives do you score for every 10 you have = maybe 3 out of 10 on this defense
Michigan, with their run game and mix of passing, how many scores will they get per 10? > minimum 6 out of 10 >> 3 more scores for every 10 = 17-21 pts minimum ...and it could be more
I expect the defense of Michigan to gain turnovers as well
This week was my first week starting 0-1 with loss of Cuse bet.....I am 'nervously' looking to add but part of me thinks I should just sit tight or only play a winning margin bet as I am due for a bad week, even though my math calculations have provided a good record so far. I plan on revising overall numbers for 131 teams after week 5 likely.
Fingers crossed
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Heads up if you are tailing....
This week was my first week starting 0-1 with loss of Cuse bet.....I am 'nervously' looking to add but part of me thinks I should just sit tight or only play a winning margin bet as I am due for a bad week, even though my math calculations have provided a good record so far. I plan on revising overall numbers for 131 teams after week 5 likely.
Adding: ECU -16.5 x HALF U ....they have some tough road games coming up and vs this Navy team which is decent against the run, I expect ECU to play the run to work on some things but then force Navy to bite and then run play action....because the Navy secondary is terrible...the reason I am not pressing on this much more is I am very curious as to why the line HAS NOT MOVED all week!
Appalachian St. -6 x HALF U .....everyone is talking about JMU but who have they played to stress them? App st will and in fact, their coach is a 2 time All American Offensive Lineman who this week, will work with the run a little more I suspect, to open up the pass and bully this JMU defensive line.....Brice can get it done with the pass and they have been pass heavy more than usual this year, me thinks its gonna swing the other way with the playcalling and I suspect, App St. working on this quite a bit with film and are gonna mix in some complex blocking schemes
-my numbers had this line -14 for App St. but that is based on pre-season numbers for ranking ....it appears like S.Alabama, JMU is much better
Strong lean to Ole Miss....still waiting for a -20 ...can get -20.5.... NO PLAY YET
Gunnar Watson of Troy was held to 275 yds and 10 pts vs this Ole Miss Dee.....Tulsa is a weak run stopper and so -so pass defense. Ole Miss will have their defense on the field all day long which likely means some easy drives for Ole Miss as far as I can see, and they have been GOOD AT PREVENTING BACKDOOR covers and the other team to throw on them in the second half....
BOL EVERYONE TODAY ....really looking forward to watching Maryland vs Michigan in about 20 minutes
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Saturday Updated card now:
Play #1 - Syracuse -9.5 x HALF U
Play #2 Kent St @ Georgia -41.5 x 1U
PLAY #3 - Clemson -7 x HALF U
Play #4 - Cincy -16.5 x 1U
Play #5 - Arizona +3.5 x 1U
Play #6 - Michigan > x 3U -16.5
Adding: ECU -16.5 x HALF U ....they have some tough road games coming up and vs this Navy team which is decent against the run, I expect ECU to play the run to work on some things but then force Navy to bite and then run play action....because the Navy secondary is terrible...the reason I am not pressing on this much more is I am very curious as to why the line HAS NOT MOVED all week!
Appalachian St. -6 x HALF U .....everyone is talking about JMU but who have they played to stress them? App st will and in fact, their coach is a 2 time All American Offensive Lineman who this week, will work with the run a little more I suspect, to open up the pass and bully this JMU defensive line.....Brice can get it done with the pass and they have been pass heavy more than usual this year, me thinks its gonna swing the other way with the playcalling and I suspect, App St. working on this quite a bit with film and are gonna mix in some complex blocking schemes
-my numbers had this line -14 for App St. but that is based on pre-season numbers for ranking ....it appears like S.Alabama, JMU is much better
Strong lean to Ole Miss....still waiting for a -20 ...can get -20.5.... NO PLAY YET
Gunnar Watson of Troy was held to 275 yds and 10 pts vs this Ole Miss Dee.....Tulsa is a weak run stopper and so -so pass defense. Ole Miss will have their defense on the field all day long which likely means some easy drives for Ole Miss as far as I can see, and they have been GOOD AT PREVENTING BACKDOOR covers and the other team to throw on them in the second half....
BOL EVERYONE TODAY ....really looking forward to watching Maryland vs Michigan in about 20 minutes
Wow....I am pleased with the offense...not Top 4 material, maybe Top 10 but its the defense that is surprising me for Michigan. Not even elite as I expected....its good, but Tuala is not getting pressure, the secondary is leaving wide open players and I am gonna say it now,
THEY ARE NOT a TOP 4 team unless they improve drastically and beat Ohio St. later in the year
I believe Oklahoma should be elevated now or whomever in the TOP 12 gets on a major roll these next few weeks
CLEMSON is also gonna fall in my ratings
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Wow....I am pleased with the offense...not Top 4 material, maybe Top 10 but its the defense that is surprising me for Michigan. Not even elite as I expected....its good, but Tuala is not getting pressure, the secondary is leaving wide open players and I am gonna say it now,
THEY ARE NOT a TOP 4 team unless they improve drastically and beat Ohio St. later in the year
I believe Oklahoma should be elevated now or whomever in the TOP 12 gets on a major roll these next few weeks
You know, I might be a little hasty in my decision on Michigan. This 4th quarter is impressive as well as Maryland is playing ...now they are pulling away. Give credit to Maryland.
I am easing off on my harsh assessment because I see Ronnie Bell making 2 electric plays in one series and Harbaugh is easing him in
Now that I look at this team with him to balance their other 'jet' receiver, maybe they retain a Top 5?
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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You know, I might be a little hasty in my decision on Michigan. This 4th quarter is impressive as well as Maryland is playing ...now they are pulling away. Give credit to Maryland.
I am easing off on my harsh assessment because I see Ronnie Bell making 2 electric plays in one series and Harbaugh is easing him in
Now that I look at this team with him to balance their other 'jet' receiver, maybe they retain a Top 5?
Based on the picks I was seeing by many this week.....I have a feeling that quite a few are hurting a little like I am record wise. I wasn't in on the Michigan play, Syracuse disappointed last night with really bizarre play calling that let Virginia in the game and Clemson could not make a 2 pt conversion in OT to ice my other ATS play...shit haha
I am always humbled by this sport and how things can change quickly
That being said, my mid afternoon slate has started well
APP ST. should have been my play of the week!!! I hesitated when I saw so many great cappers jumping on JMU ....my numbers said they would win by -14.5 and another VEGAS LINE that crept down all week but is giving fuk-all for line momentum players this week...
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Based on the picks I was seeing by many this week.....I have a feeling that quite a few are hurting a little like I am record wise. I wasn't in on the Michigan play, Syracuse disappointed last night with really bizarre play calling that let Virginia in the game and Clemson could not make a 2 pt conversion in OT to ice my other ATS play...shit haha
I am always humbled by this sport and how things can change quickly
That being said, my mid afternoon slate has started well
APP ST. should have been my play of the week!!! I hesitated when I saw so many great cappers jumping on JMU ....my numbers said they would win by -14.5 and another VEGAS LINE that crept down all week but is giving fuk-all for line momentum players this week...
Maybe not....what an amazing comeback by JMU ....HOLY RALLY CAP! They take the lead~
Speaking of horses, if you want to see million $$ Harness races, there are 2 tonight and a bunch of other great horses racing out of Mohawk about a 45min drive from me
First race starts at 7pm > here is a watch link https://woodbine.com/mohawk/watch-races/
My Harness betting thread > https://www.covers.com/forum/horse-racing-61/harness-racing-ontario---mohawk-specialty-other-b-tracks-occasionally-103549987/100
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Maybe not....what an amazing comeback by JMU ....HOLY RALLY CAP! They take the lead~
Speaking of horses, if you want to see million $$ Harness races, there are 2 tonight and a bunch of other great horses racing out of Mohawk about a 45min drive from me
First race starts at 7pm > here is a watch link https://woodbine.com/mohawk/watch-races/
My Harness betting thread > https://www.covers.com/forum/horse-racing-61/harness-racing-ontario---mohawk-specialty-other-b-tracks-occasionally-103549987/100
Michigan did do this last year in the B1G opener, squeaked by Rutgers 20-13.
Seems to be a bland game plan before a big road opener for 2nd year in a row. Plus Maryland played pretty well. Wasn’t really excited to see the lack of pressure from the UM DL plus missed tackles. Bright spot, Mike Sainristil looks like a natural on D, very impressive transition.
Kinda think Michigan is going to miss Haskins later this year. Corum is awesome, the home run threat is great but I love having a guy who can get hit at the line and still gain 4 yards. Those are big yards in this conference.
JJ had tons of chances to pick up yards on the ground but just sat in there forever. OL did a nice job in protection and he just stood there way too long.
Lots to clean up for sure but in comparison to last year this wasn’t all that different.
My thought was the complete domination the past 6 years would help here & also didn’t know Donovan Edwards wasn’t playing
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Michigan did do this last year in the B1G opener, squeaked by Rutgers 20-13.
Seems to be a bland game plan before a big road opener for 2nd year in a row. Plus Maryland played pretty well. Wasn’t really excited to see the lack of pressure from the UM DL plus missed tackles. Bright spot, Mike Sainristil looks like a natural on D, very impressive transition.
Kinda think Michigan is going to miss Haskins later this year. Corum is awesome, the home run threat is great but I love having a guy who can get hit at the line and still gain 4 yards. Those are big yards in this conference.
JJ had tons of chances to pick up yards on the ground but just sat in there forever. OL did a nice job in protection and he just stood there way too long.
Lots to clean up for sure but in comparison to last year this wasn’t all that different.
My thought was the complete domination the past 6 years would help here & also didn’t know Donovan Edwards wasn’t playing
If you would have followed into the Harness thread, you might have been alive on a big ticket with me....spent $115 on 2 tickets and alive to 4 horses ....I will show the payouts shortly:
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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If you would have followed into the Harness thread, you might have been alive on a big ticket with me....spent $115 on 2 tickets and alive to 4 horses ....I will show the payouts shortly:
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