Week 4 Money

Agreed...

But if this line holds below 7....and all the public money jumping in... makes me very suspicious....we shall see....bol Wahoo...

think of it this way, our brains have been trained over the years to look at bad lines & get confused 

every week we could bet Bama & Georgia & not lose money for the year but do we do it?  No!  It seems way too “easy” 

look at Green Bay last night, every analyst picked them to bounce back, they never lose to bears & nobody bet the bears, yet pack still drop kicked them

i had coffee with a bookie this morning, he got crushed last 2 seasons in nfl & got buried last night, told me 90% on Green Bay & he couldn’t lay it off, just took it on the chin

I imagine it will be 90 percent on the Chiefs...

next week....

wvu -3 not even thinking about be contrarian with the home dog. I know clemson qb not great but that total seems awfully low for wake forest game. I think michigan destroys maryland for the 30th time in a row and also will be on the over. I had a good ride with the washington huskies but I think its time to lower the bet size until they lose same with the jayhawks 

Hmmm on total for Clem, I kind of want to agree with you there, I’m wanting to lean Wake but Dabo still has superior talent, we will see if I can get my mind closer to the dog there

wash & ov are kind of the only two ways we can look at that game right?  I know eventually they won’t cover & go over but is Stanford really a team to trust there?  cards have a non existent defense & can only depend on injuries or turnovers to stay in this one from a defensive standpoint

mich should win handily but their sos bothers me, TuaJr is mistake prone vs real teams, smu was clearly better than twerps & I don’t see that matador defense stopping Harbawwww, lean to home team at the minute

kansas changing roles to fave is tricky, Duke won’t be easy to crush, kind of think we get some more points in that one, feels like a 41-31 type of result 

shake & bake 

@WahooS

 Yeah Washington was my diamond in the rough so I will be on it 2x till it loses totals wise. 4-0 for myself on the over this year. Yeah it feels like spread value disappearing on huskies too. Do they play Trojans will be must see tv

you’re the totals masta 

@WahooS

 appreciate the kind words but lose enough at something may one day you get good 

Week 3 NFL Money 

Miami Dolphins +4.5 & over 50.5 

betting against the bills is not on my things to do list but this Fins team just continues to get me paid, I see a back & forth shootout so I’ll grab the points, I expect a 31-30 track meet 

leans:

chiefs -6.5

niners -1.5

if you like teasers you can use Chiefs with either of those bets I have on fins, don’t see them losing to that fraud Colts team, you can also just tease Chiefs with your favorite sides & take those free 6 points haha

I won on Clemson vs Wake last year, but it was a nightmare to watch. Wake Forest was so hard for them to defend long term and Clemson is still running that cave man offense from last year too. Clemson is wasting every second towards the future if they haven't changed QB's by now 

I need boomboom to talk me out of Wake, I may do it just to add some dog action haha, Wake is only average though tbh 

i think Clemson is in a slow decline, huge loss with Venables leaving, the offense they run & shocking Dabo refuses to use portal to his advantage

Agree with you that they need to get more creative with offense, it’s predictable & not innovative

clemson should have whatever transfers they want, amazing he chooses not to do that

@WahooS

 Clemson has beaten Wake 10 straight by 14 or more points ............but regardless ......... I don't trust the Tigers in any spot....LOL

BOL

good luck WahooS 

@WahooS

“Nfl used to be tough on me (I always won in college & donated half back on sundays my entire life)”

I’m still fighting it. Already said quits on NFL after week 3. I wish NFL was played on Saturday and CFB on Sundays.

Tailing on ECwUUUUdshed at the 17 spot .. hope you got a gander at Navy and still like it I usually get stung whenever I say fine I'll fade navy .. think Cincy got stung a few others but here I am back in that line lol .. I'm not even sure Navy has a real OC anymore just position coaches playing OC ... OC by committee often a little tough .. 

VAN-T-4HEISMAN .. LET'S GO!!!

Think there's still a deal to be had on AF hitting the over .. Nevada rough roadie for sure .. short week sure feels like its gunna kill their will on D but this team can also pound the ball and shouldn't be lost on anyone even w the AF guys in/out that up the gut middle is looking a bit soft .. maybe they grind that clock down idk think the combo of AF likely much more efficient scoring makes Nevada hurry the hell up and they at least have a way to move the ball here .. should anyway .. def think we see a few more B52 plays outta the Bolts .. you know those play action BOMBS after the safeties get lull'd to sleep .. I already got the good opener but man were def just mid 40's because of last game should be 50-52 maybe if they thrashed last game .. would be good to know some of their offensive guys are back in but funny feeling its not gunna matter much .. think its a 380 rushing / 120 passing D-DAY Storm kinda day for them .. thinking it will anyway, maybe in-game first drive looks a little slow and blast it over at like 41 or so .. alog needle might have that one moving too quickly in either direction, obvi quick score and its up to where it should be pretty quick too .. 

Also if we like Wake don't we kinda like the over more .. I know DJ Fat Ass sucks but dude this is not a F around game here .. hit Clem TT H2 last week kinda ho-humm H1 and that covered in 3 drives think 3 take aways .. I mean Wake either can beat this D or they can't and pretty clearly if Vandy can have 11 busted 3 n outs or turnovers and get 25 points .. if Lib can put 425 on em .. like this is not Clem 28-24 here I don't think .. if wake is hangin in there seems like ALOT of pressure to get those no F around hurry up and score drives .. I think so anyway .. If wake loses by over a TD I could see that being more likely they get the ball taken away and Clem just slow burns em to death .. Def looking for the H2 something if we get a slow H1 tho .. some point offenses wake up here me thinks .. plus I herd DJ been on the stationary bike all week .. this balance is much better after losing much of the lard in his non throwing arm so that problem is gone .. his cankles actually slimmed down last few weeks so he's not tripping on those anymore .. realized he had a jelly donut lodged deep in his ear he had snuck it from the mess hall in fall camp since he's not allowed to eat jelly donuts .. they got that out this week so his vertigo is gone .. just lotta improvements expected ..... wouldn't overlook Bryan Bresee's little sister passing away RIP young lady, very sad .. out last game and you just kinda can see him conducting the D in a full blown requiem mass for Gunnery Sargent Hartman .. can't exactly cap that situation but yeah playing for baby sis prob means lights out .. 

Hey Bridge, D.J. is down to 225 lbs and moving around well this year...

im looking into over

thanks for post 

other random thoughts on matchups

KState/Oklahoma 

I was expecting line value on the visitors after they lost to Tulane & OU throat-holed Nebraska but here’s the thing, KState is a one-dimensional offense, it’s all about Deuce, Martinez can’t hit the broad side of a barn

as the season goes you know Venables will keep that defense improving each game, he’s such a great defensive coach, if you go back to his days at Clemson he really got after offenses that were one-dimensional, this line kind of seems almost light from a matchup perspective if under 2 td’s, KState defense has 7 int’s & Dillon has yet to throw one (odds are that KState will get one from him this Saturday) but that isn’t enough to justify me taking the points, do I really want my money on Martinez in a huge road game? Answer is no 

i could see this game being low scoring early & KState hanging around early, maybe causing a pick or two but in the end I’m seeing 31-14 ish 

if you like KState look at first half , if you like OU look at game 

Wahoos/Cuse

the lonely Hoos have the worst offensive line in the Acc & it’s not close, wait until you see how bad this looks on TV, Cuse will spend the entire night in the backfield, Hoos lost their entire line from last season, yes, entire starting 5

the line is light toward Cuse if you don’t base it off pre-season power ratings, in adjusted model I show fair line of 13.5 so the value is with Cuse, if you want to bet UVA then take a kitchen fork & jam it into your hand, the pain will be gone within an hour unlike the 3 hours of misery you’ll endure on Friday night, I just saved you pain & suffering, you’re welcome!  the Hoo d isn’t that bad so I’d expect them to get a few stops & keep this a lower scoring circus, Cuse 30-13 (late TD by uva once Cuse loses interest)

anything can happen in cfb but this is either a Cuse bet or possibly under, just pass if you like uva , my opinion 

unlv/Utah st 

past visions of UNLV football sticking it to my wallet continue to haunt me but if I could describe to you how bad Utah St is you wouldn’t believe me, this is nothing like the tough minded Ags we have been seeing for over a decade, these kids have no idea what’s going on out there, UNLV is way improved, this line could be 7 & I’d see value in Rebs but because I have a bad past with rebs I’m going to keep it small, I took early grab for feeler, I wouldn’t get Utah st with your money 

Another cup of coffee coming as I’ve been grinding on games all day 

ill be right back to give out more useless dribble

Ecu can’t kick fgs or xp, otherwise I’m dropping the hammer here

i get the “not fading” of military schools but this navy team is a special level of bad, I always liked betting Air Force & navy as dogs

Times have changed, Air Force is laying 3 td’s every week & navy can’t get across midfield with their putrid QB

ecu SHOULD steamroll them, if pirates could kick they’d be unbeaten with a great win over nc state, then we may be laying 23.5 here, now I get to lay 17 & hope that kicker doesn’t fk me haha

Bridge 

@WahooS

 You betcha bro ... BOL my friend

I wonder if I’ve ever cashed a bet on unlv?  Truly can’t remember that ever happening.  

Haven’t played much yet.  

indiana +17

USM +13

Tulsa +22.5

GTech +20.5

Baylor over 46

Uva over 52.5

guess I’ll need to find a favorite somewhere, just to keep things interesting. Maybe ECU. Navy is dreck. 

eyeing smiss as well, obvious potential letdown BUT Tulane actually thought they’d win at Kansas State so not sure how much we can factor in the letdown you know? a friend of mine knows a few players & they literally expected to beat KState haha 

I get the Hoosiers play with runaway line but Cincy may blow them, I’d expect Indy offense to struggle a bit, something about Cincy has me feeling like they jump out early, I hate being involved after losing on them last week but my gut is telling me once again to look for cinny first half, I don’t want to be against the legendary Maine, maybe ever 

Tulsa is right spot but we already know they can’t stop anyone on defense so I stayed away there, spot players will be on Tulsa so I get it

One of my all time favorite Covers members ladies & gents 

MaineRoad