Week 6 Large Money (New Thread)

that other thread was driving me crazy, just way too big for my liking and I can't sift through answering all the questions and trying to load 7 pages, I'm not Boom_Boom people, quit giving me so many views, I'm barely over .500 for fuck's sake

• Week 1 - (3-4-0 Regular)
• Week 2 - (9-5-0 Regular) 
• Week 3 - (3-5-0 Regular)
• Week 4 - (7-5-0 Regular)
• Week 5 - (3-1-0 Large) (2-2-0 Regular) (5-3-0 total)

Overall  27-22-0

New Top 10

1. Alabama
2. LSU
3. Wisconsin
4. Oklahoma
5. Oklahoma St.
6. Boise St.
7. Stanford
8. Oregon
9. Clemson
10. Texas

Card for Week 6 thus far (and this will change starting tonight)

1. Texas + 10 (Large Money) would take at + 7.5 or more

2. Wyoming + 10 (would take at + 10 or more)

3. Kansas + 33 (this one is falling fast, may middle, not sure)

4. Maryland + 15 (my least confident play, hate this team)

5. Syracuse - 9.5 (may or may not keep around, see a few 10.5's)

updated slight leans, leans, possible adds, etc.

California (want 25), Rutgers (hate this team's offense), Air Force, Houston, La Tech, Northwestern (if the line keeps rising), Tennessee (why is UGA favored?), Kansas St. (Mizzou is a reverse trap sucker line ), UNLV, Kentucky, Iowa St., W. Kent, Lafayette, Monroe and at least 3 or 4 others

you want to chat about the games, ask me my opinions, rip my opinions, whatever, I'll be around all night trying to complete this card and find an edge, bring it on

Best of Luck

Really appreciate your insights, WahooS.

Re: Kansas, I've got 'em at 33 too.  I'm new at this...where would you middle this game, and why?

Love the reviews Wahoo, read them every week and love the insight you provide. 

2 questions if you don't mind?

Would you still be on Northwestern if the line were +5.5 and with the Mizzou line being at -3, how high would you buy into that line?  Even if it were to jump to say -4.5, would you still buy into K State?

not really, but that sounds good doesn't it?  it is a good look ahead spot to catch Okie St. in but I just don't know if it will be enough, I'll probably keep the bet and stick it out but if that changes I will post it here

Meant to say drop lower, say -1.5, sorry for the typo.  Think K State wins outright?

YO BEEN FOLLOWING YOU BEE, BOOM TRAIN, AND A COUPLE OTHERS ND I MUST SAY IM VERY IMPRESSED WITH THE KNOWLEDGE U GUYS GIVE OUT EVRYDAY! IN SAYING THAT DO U HAVE AN A LEAN ON THE CAL VS. OREG GAME????

I just have a slight lean to K State for now and nothing more, I would certainly look at them with more attention at + 4.5, Mizzou is a decent squad but just because they have a bye week to prepare doesn't warrant them laying 3 on the road in this game IMO, I made the line PK and would have Mizzou - 3.5 on a neutral field (in which I would probably Mizzou on a neutral at - 3.5), but Synder wins games in Manhattan, he is a great home field football coach and the Cats have a big coaching edge in this game, Pinkel is a disaster in my opinion

that being said, Cal isn't going to be intimidated going into Autzen, these teams play every single year and they are both familiar with one another, Oregon doesn't have the shut down defense to stop Cal from scoring, I see Cal putting up points (probably around 27ish) and if that happens that means the Ducks need more than 50 to beat me

lets be realistic here, Oregon can score 50 on alot of teams at home, but this isn't an out of conference opponent that will be scared of the environment

I guess Maynard could get rattled and not play well but alot of things would have to happen for Cal to lose by 30 points, they have good athletes and nice speed, Cal is a solid team

I just bet Washington against Cal a few weeks ago at home because Cal isn't generally the same team at home, but this spread is super inflated and still getting more Duck action than not

people love betting the Ducks, I can see why but not with this line against a solid Cal team

I made this line 16, I'm a numbers guy so I see value in Cal plus the points

hope that helps

should read

Cal isn't generally the same team on the road

THANKS MAN REALLY APPRECIATE THE RESPONSE. GOOD LUCK .

BTW-- DO U DO NFL??? OR NBA??? (IF THERES A SEASON)

Quote Originally Posted by lindetrain:

I like La Tech as well, but would love thoughts on Houston and K-State as I lean the other way...

I bet against Houston's no defense playing ass last week with UTEP

that being said, they will score at least mid 40's against that shaky ECU defense, especially at home, Case isn't going to turn the ball over at home against that defense and ECU always seems to hurt themselves with dumb mistakes, I think ECU is a really poor coached team

I'm questioning whether or not I want to lay the points because the Pirates can put up points here, I just don't know if they can hang around

47-27 is kind of how I'm seeing this one for now, I have a few contacts at UH so will wait to talk to them

the KState game is simply a bad line, doesn't Mizzou won't win or cover but I generally bet with value

I have a slight lean to KState here because the homefield advantage, the coaching advantage and a free 3.5 points that I see, I made the line PK

as I said earlier, I would make Mizzou - 3.5 on a neutral field against Kansas St (would probably bet Mizzou in that case)

I'm a sloppy 8-8 in the NFL thus far, haven't really put much time in it with college getting most of my attention

I did very well with NFL last season but I must be honest, college football and basketball have always been my bread winners, at least over the past decade (ncaff hasn't been great for a couple years)

I've been around this betting game for a long time and I have seen it all, hopefully I can adapt like others have done and continue to win money

Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

Man do I hate those "reverse trap sucker lines"

only those that know me will understand where I was going with that post

sent you a PM bro

Quote Originally Posted by lindetrain:

Well I think the line is saying play Mizzou...if it was Mizzou -10 then they would be a big play for me, but K-State -10 and I'd be all over the Wildcats...

I'll likely play 1H and try to avoid KSU pulling one out of their ass late...I think if we see anything in this one, it's a quick start from Pinkel and Co. looking for their first road win and off the bye against a KSU team in early letdown mode after the Baylor win

ECU just has a knack for upsetting C-USA opponents as road dogs, they're 6-2 SU as road dogs in conference play since '07...I am a bit concerned those days may be gone along with Skip Holtz, but I think Houston is a fucking joke and shouldn't be trusted with anyone's money after what we've seen these past few weeks

GL this week, Texas/OU is the only one we'll definitely be opposite on

Houston has a shit defense, no doubt, but they tend to play much better at home

they are a slight lean for me at this point, nothing more, nothing less

You are correct about Pinkel being a disaster (mainly in big games , which means he is out talented). I dont like either side in this game. The real value is the under 56. Mizzou is pretty solid vs the run and K St is decent against the pass. See an ugly game developing on saturday. Mizzou with a week off means more prepared, but a little rusty. K St with a slight letdown after upsetting Baylor. Also, Franklin is no RG3, and KSU somewhat contained him....

Lovin the swagger the last couple weeks  

and I do like the matchups for the Mizzou defense here

under may the best option, good thinking Train