Saturday Play: Ohio St. Under 49 @ 1.79 x 2U and Ohio St -26 x 2U
-Ryan Day tends to press on the gas pedal before big games
- went back and looked at last year before Penn St and Michigan....in both instances, the defenses held the opposition they played in the Big 10 to under 10 pts and pressed for 30+ themselves, BUT not OVER 40 pts ..... this year's offense is better and so too is its defense. (I project 35 pts vs Nebraska with a high of 42 max >> defensively, I am certain Huskers won't score more than 9 pts)
- Oregon up next.... Ryan Day will have some positive feelings to talk about all week in preparation, will ask their players to focus on execution in practice /visualization with how they handled Nebraska to under 10 pts and rolled on offense
Do I expect Day to try something different before Penn St. next week? NO << you get on the bus without doubts and feeling good so the players can zero on what will be a pivotal game for both in Playoff rankings
Will layoff on other plays the rest of the day if I do not hit this ....if wash, then continue....just need to be logical today and treat the day like the bowl season BUT with more motivation with the better teams/situations
Other 12 pm games:
-see value in taking Irish if -13 or under that.... don't think Irish will be surprised by new style and they will control the lines and run through Navy who have not faced a team this good with speed+size+ run game+ defensive shutdown capability
- GTECH +10.5 is yummy given their run game and this is the defensive fly in the ointment for VTECH
- not sure why Virginia game is falling.... Cavs put themselves in the driver seat for a bowl if they win (will need only 1 more) and have home crowd! ..... they should win and cut through UNC swiss cheese defense > MACK may have them motivated is about all I can see here given they are 3-4 with a unrealistic shot after this to bowl if they lose....will be tough to gain in their remaining games when looking at their schedule
- Wash - Indiana >> no idea what to expect from Washington as they can get a bowl game with 2 more wins ....and don't have realistic chance in two of them....this one and 2 others are possible. BUT its a 9AM game for them!
North Texas +8 x HALF U - UNT is built to move the ball and Tulane could have difficulty on some drives vs UNT run defense and get the ball back (no insta scoring every drive).....UNT facing a good defense but last year's game was within 7 pts and Morris is a TD machine and will know how to handle Tulane
-don't like any other noon or 1 pm games but the MAC battle at 2 pm is a decent line
Miami Ohio should handle a wounded offensive CMU team .....MOH now on a roll offensively having warmed up versus some strong defenses and they are scoring 30+ and should not have an issue in this one doing the same
- shopping for -10 but might take a stab if noon games are doing as I expect
+3.7 U 
+0.8 U
Hot Forum Topics
