Belmont Stakes--Analysis and Picks

Good read.

If I print that out and read it to the horseman bet taker dude, will he know what to do?

I dunno chit about horse betting.

CONGRATS to all of you who backed Tonalist and Commissioner. Great race.

As I feared, Albarado had a horrible ride on Medal Count. At least twice he could have grabbed the lead and jus sat there!

I thought Wicked Strong would show better than he did. Oh well.

On to the Travers!

NIT....please don't beat yourself over this. I do play "coulda, shoulda woulda" every time I go to the track. In fact, did it twice today playing AP races.

Just keep tryng to get better and learn from it. Good Luck

WOW...what a stat. I went back and looked at my post for a factoid I read and posted:

 The 4 top finishers, less Chrme, fit this stat.....

"Commissioner has the highest combined average winning distance rating when combining the sire and dam’s average winning distances followed by Metal Count, Matterhorn wicked Strong and Tonalist."

We need to remember this for next year

Here is where I think Steve Coburn is wrong:

What makes the Triple Crown soooo special and one of the ultimate challenges in all of sports is exactly the reasons Coburn sighted as being "cowardly."

1) Three-year old horses must make the difficult transition from being an immature 2-year old to becoming a mature 3-year old. There is a reason that a horse that wasn't raced as a two-year old hasn't won the KY Derby since Apollo in 1882! 

2) A 3-year old horse must compete in a number of highly competitive Derby prepsraces against the best of his/her generation.

2) The horse must earn enough points to make it to the KY Derby field. With as many as 450 horses nominated for the Triple Crown, being in the Top 20 is a tremendous accomplishment.

3) The horse needs to WIN the KY Derby in a field of 18-20 horses; likely a size that they have never been part of nor will ever again be part of.

4) They need to win the KY Derby running through a hail of bullets along with some horses who are still learning to race getting slammed, bumping and grinding their way through to the finish line.

5) They are racing at 1-1/4 miles, an extraordinary distance for a young horse...it's like running a 15-year old kid running a10K for the first time.

6) The cut back to 1-3/16 in the Preakness.....Some are bred to go 1-1/16, just short; others are bred for greater distances with not enough out of the gate speed to get into a position to win at 1-3/16. It is one really tricky distance.

7) Then, the ultimate challenge, 1-1/2 miles in the Belmont against the best of the best 3-year olds (who are left standing).

8) The challenge is exasperated by running against well-rested horses like Tonalist.

AND THAT IS WHY the Triple Crown is so special. It is the ultimate challenge foe any horse, let alone a young 3-year old.

Quote Originally Posted by Silver-Black22:

Mikey thanks for all the info you gave us and taking the extra time to post on here. Always look forward to what you have to say!

 I threw a few supers without CC and just missed having the 11,8,5,1 ROC sucked what was I thinking but it was a great race and will be checking in on what you have to say about the Travers!!

thank you....good luck