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#1
FRIDAY
JUVENILE TURF
Race 6 – 5:25 EST
One of the most wide open of all this year’s Breeder’s Cup events. You can make a case for more than half the field in here. It’s a short run into the turn here so ground loss for outside horses could be a problem. Europeans have dominated this event in the 7 years it has existed, winning 5 and only in 2010 did a Euro not hit the exacta finish.
1 – WET SAIL – Drew well but hasn’t been past 6 furlongs. Solidly bred to like distance. Has shown steady improvement in each of his 4 race in the UK and switches trainers to Charlie Fellows. Finished 3rd in his last Stakes race in a 23 horse field so seems to be able to negotiate in traffic. Used to carrying more weight and will be carrying 4 less pounds here than his last and 9 less than his first two starts. Based upon draw and consistent improvement, he’s not out of the question here. I will be sprinkling into exotics and will use a little bit on top.
2 – DADDY D T – Ran a huge figure on dirt in his last race, just his 3rd in his career; a figure which is far and above everyone else as he chased American Pharaoh in the Grade 1 Front Runner. Can he replicate it on dirt? Pedigree says yes. He won the Oak Tree Juvenile Turf at this distance two back from an inside post. Local horse has a real shot at a price and if he runs anything close here on turf to his last figure on dirt, he will have a lot to say in the outcome. Will definitely be using at a price.
3 – LUCK OF THE KITTEN – Made a significant 4 point jump in his last to reach a competitive figure in first race at Santa Anita but difficult to think he will improve further here. Shows lightning speed out of the gate so traffic won’t be an issue. Won his last at this track at this distance in the Zuma Beach and brings in the field’s best last race Beyer Figure. Not out of the question and they will have his speed to catch.
4 – COMMEMORATIVE – Coming off short rest of 20 days after winning the Autumn Stakes in the UK. Improved dramatically in last at this distance and we can expect to see some early speed. Sheet numbers are as good as any and sheds 5 pounds from his last. A contender but the quick turnaround and travel is a concern.
5 – HOOTENANNY – Put up two outstanding sprint figures in his most recent two races in Europe, which clearly contend here but can he stretch out to a mile? Finished 2nd as the favorite in the $463,500 Prix Morny in France, one of the most important juvenile races in Europe and two back took the Windsor Castle Stakes in the UK in a 24 horse field in convincing fashion. Nice spacing between 4 races. Wesley Ward is sharp with young turfers and he adds Lasix back. Could get a nice stalking trip. Possible betting favorite. Major player but you have to get past the fact that he has only one race over 5 furlongs and that was at 6. By far the most impressive credentials of the horses who have raced in Europe.
JUVENILE TURF
Race 6 – 5:25 EST
One of the most wide open of all this year’s Breeder’s Cup events. You can make a case for more than half the field in here. It’s a short run into the turn here so ground loss for outside horses could be a problem. Europeans have dominated this event in the 7 years it has existed, winning 5 and only in 2010 did a Euro not hit the exacta finish.
1 – WET SAIL – Drew well but hasn’t been past 6 furlongs. Solidly bred to like distance. Has shown steady improvement in each of his 4 race in the UK and switches trainers to Charlie Fellows. Finished 3rd in his last Stakes race in a 23 horse field so seems to be able to negotiate in traffic. Used to carrying more weight and will be carrying 4 less pounds here than his last and 9 less than his first two starts. Based upon draw and consistent improvement, he’s not out of the question here. I will be sprinkling into exotics and will use a little bit on top.
2 – DADDY D T – Ran a huge figure on dirt in his last race, just his 3rd in his career; a figure which is far and above everyone else as he chased American Pharaoh in the Grade 1 Front Runner. Can he replicate it on dirt? Pedigree says yes. He won the Oak Tree Juvenile Turf at this distance two back from an inside post. Local horse has a real shot at a price and if he runs anything close here on turf to his last figure on dirt, he will have a lot to say in the outcome. Will definitely be using at a price.
3 – LUCK OF THE KITTEN – Made a significant 4 point jump in his last to reach a competitive figure in first race at Santa Anita but difficult to think he will improve further here. Shows lightning speed out of the gate so traffic won’t be an issue. Won his last at this track at this distance in the Zuma Beach and brings in the field’s best last race Beyer Figure. Not out of the question and they will have his speed to catch.
4 – COMMEMORATIVE – Coming off short rest of 20 days after winning the Autumn Stakes in the UK. Improved dramatically in last at this distance and we can expect to see some early speed. Sheet numbers are as good as any and sheds 5 pounds from his last. A contender but the quick turnaround and travel is a concern.
5 – HOOTENANNY – Put up two outstanding sprint figures in his most recent two races in Europe, which clearly contend here but can he stretch out to a mile? Finished 2nd as the favorite in the $463,500 Prix Morny in France, one of the most important juvenile races in Europe and two back took the Windsor Castle Stakes in the UK in a 24 horse field in convincing fashion. Nice spacing between 4 races. Wesley Ward is sharp with young turfers and he adds Lasix back. Could get a nice stalking trip. Possible betting favorite. Major player but you have to get past the fact that he has only one race over 5 furlongs and that was at 6. By far the most impressive credentials of the horses who have raced in Europe.
0
good luck...........nice analysis
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