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    All Forums | Investments

    Who likes SILVER?

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    wallstreetcappers
    SportsFan9698
    ALSNOW
    tenpinguru
    JohnnyClay
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    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 12:02 PM ET #51

    quit being so thin skinned woop.

    You never replied regarding the abortion comment I made, you know what I say makes sense but you just cannot get yourself to admit it.

    Its ok, I was probably more like you politically at your age than you would expect..but life has a way of changing narrow minded thinking..at least it did for me.
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    quit being so thin skinned woop.

    You never replied regarding the abortion comment I made, you know what I say makes sense but you just cannot get yourself to admit it.

    Its ok, I was probably more like you politically at your age than you would expect..but life has a way of changing narrow minded thinking..at least it did for me.
     
    SportsFan9698
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 3:15 PM ET #52

    WSC - how many times do you think you need to post your "opinions" in this thread?  OK we got it... you think the PM are a bubble - or more correctly said... you would like us to believe that you think it's a bubble.

    Thanks for your input.  Now I need to go buy more silver.

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    WSC - how many times do you think you need to post your "opinions" in this thread?  OK we got it... you think the PM are a bubble - or more correctly said... you would like us to believe that you think it's a bubble.

    Thanks for your input.  Now I need to go buy more silver.

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 3:48 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

    WSC - how many times do you think you need to post your "opinions" in this thread?  OK we got it... you think the PM are a bubble - or more correctly said... you would like us to believe that you think it's a bubble.

    Thanks for your input.  Now I need to go buy more silver.



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

    WSC - how many times do you think you need to post your "opinions" in this thread?  OK we got it... you think the PM are a bubble - or more correctly said... you would like us to believe that you think it's a bubble.

    Thanks for your input.  Now I need to go buy more silver.



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.
     
    ALSNOW
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 8:32 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Temper temper...try not taking my posts personally, you seem like a total hot head, not good for a person trading.

    Are you on margin yourself?



    I don't trade ever I buy and hold until my objective is met. No margin or options either learned that lesson a long time ago.  I hear what you are saying on the margin requirements but personally feels this hurts all the trapped shorts worse than it does those long commodities.  I'm not defensive I just want to hear some real reason why this is a bubble?  Not just comparisons too past bubbles that have no correlation. Or for that matter saying there is endless supply when it's false.  If Gold sprints to 3k and Silver 50 then I will agree.  Just out of curiosity reading your post you seem negative on most investments, where do you invest and what type of returns are you earning?  When do you buy a stock or do you invest at all with a name like Wall Street I assume you are some type of stock broker.
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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Temper temper...try not taking my posts personally, you seem like a total hot head, not good for a person trading.

    Are you on margin yourself?



    I don't trade ever I buy and hold until my objective is met. No margin or options either learned that lesson a long time ago.  I hear what you are saying on the margin requirements but personally feels this hurts all the trapped shorts worse than it does those long commodities.  I'm not defensive I just want to hear some real reason why this is a bubble?  Not just comparisons too past bubbles that have no correlation. Or for that matter saying there is endless supply when it's false.  If Gold sprints to 3k and Silver 50 then I will agree.  Just out of curiosity reading your post you seem negative on most investments, where do you invest and what type of returns are you earning?  When do you buy a stock or do you invest at all with a name like Wall Street I assume you are some type of stock broker.
     
    tenpinguru
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 10:12 PM ET #55

    Dollar goes down, commodities go up.  Read "The Creature from Jekyll Island".  This is all you need to know to invest WISELY.  Follow the Fed and you can't help but increase your "paper" wealth.

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    Dollar goes down, commodities go up.  Read "The Creature from Jekyll Island".  This is all you need to know to invest WISELY.  Follow the Fed and you can't help but increase your "paper" wealth.

     
    JohnnyClay
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 10:17 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.

     

    I have to give Sportsfan some credit.  He is putting his money where his mouth is.  Wallstreet, if you think it's a bubble then why don't you short silver?  Put your money where your mouth is instead of throwing out opinions that really doesn't do anything.

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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.

     

    I have to give Sportsfan some credit.  He is putting his money where his mouth is.  Wallstreet, if you think it's a bubble then why don't you short silver?  Put your money where your mouth is instead of throwing out opinions that really doesn't do anything.

     
    JohnnyClay
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 10:28 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    If the whole country collapses like some of you think is going to happen, then why the hell do you want to own gold or silver so bad?  The truth is food, guns, water, fuel and thinsg like that will be worth way more then any gold bar.  If i got a juicy steak and you got a gold bar, big deal, because am not trading the steak for the gold.

    Honestly i think all the gold and silver buyers are heading for a huge bubble.  I believe all the talking heads have scared people into buying this stuff, so then they can make gobs shorting the shit out of this stuff.

    Like Wallstreet says, be careful boys.

    Lastly in my opinion silver is the better buy if you are going to buy one of these, because silver has so many more uses then gold has.

    The guys with the guns will endup with all the gold anyways

     

    You can't compare food to medium of exchange.  True that you need food to survive.  But in order to exchange goods, we need a medium of exchange in a civilized society.  Let's say that there's an economic collapese and you have all the food you want.  That's great.  But what would happen after a week or a month?  Let's say you need gas for your car.  But the person with gas don't want to trade it for food.  What if that person needs a blanket for warmth or ammuntions for his gun for protection? 

     

    What if all your foods like your steak are spoiled after a week?  You would then need new fresh and clean food.  And you have a new pair of shoe to trade for food.  But noone wants your shoe.  What would you do then?

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    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    If the whole country collapses like some of you think is going to happen, then why the hell do you want to own gold or silver so bad?  The truth is food, guns, water, fuel and thinsg like that will be worth way more then any gold bar.  If i got a juicy steak and you got a gold bar, big deal, because am not trading the steak for the gold.

    Honestly i think all the gold and silver buyers are heading for a huge bubble.  I believe all the talking heads have scared people into buying this stuff, so then they can make gobs shorting the shit out of this stuff.

    Like Wallstreet says, be careful boys.

    Lastly in my opinion silver is the better buy if you are going to buy one of these, because silver has so many more uses then gold has.

    The guys with the guns will endup with all the gold anyways

     

    You can't compare food to medium of exchange.  True that you need food to survive.  But in order to exchange goods, we need a medium of exchange in a civilized society.  Let's say that there's an economic collapese and you have all the food you want.  That's great.  But what would happen after a week or a month?  Let's say you need gas for your car.  But the person with gas don't want to trade it for food.  What if that person needs a blanket for warmth or ammuntions for his gun for protection? 

     

    What if all your foods like your steak are spoiled after a week?  You would then need new fresh and clean food.  And you have a new pair of shoe to trade for food.  But noone wants your shoe.  What would you do then?

     
    ALSNOW
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 10:50 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    If the whole country collapses like some of you think is going to happen, then why the hell do you want to own gold or silver so bad?  The truth is food, guns, water, fuel and thinsg like that will be worth way more then any gold bar.  If i got a juicy steak and you got a gold bar, big deal, because am not trading the steak for the gold.

    Honestly i think all the gold and silver buyers are heading for a huge bubble.  I believe all the talking heads have scared people into buying this stuff, so then they can make gobs shorting the shit out of this stuff.

    Like Wallstreet says, be careful boys.

    Lastly in my opinion silver is the better buy if you are going to buy one of these, because silver has so many more uses then gold has.

    The guys with the guns will endup with all the gold anyways


    Old argument and actually a good point.  As my broker that's had me in PM's since 2000 always rebuts when I make this same point. He'd rather have a whole shit load of cheap dollars than a few of them which makes sense to me.  I think you are missing the point though Gold/Silver are a medium of exchange every where in the world.  I can be in the jungles w/ indigenous people and still trade Gold or Silver for food where a dollar means nothing.  More realistically if our system collapsed Gold would still trade in all other currencies as it is a currency itself which can be exchanged. So the only pure hedge against any currency is Gold. I still don't know anyone in my personal life that incest in PM's.  When everyone gets in I'll be long gone.
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    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    If the whole country collapses like some of you think is going to happen, then why the hell do you want to own gold or silver so bad?  The truth is food, guns, water, fuel and thinsg like that will be worth way more then any gold bar.  If i got a juicy steak and you got a gold bar, big deal, because am not trading the steak for the gold.

    Honestly i think all the gold and silver buyers are heading for a huge bubble.  I believe all the talking heads have scared people into buying this stuff, so then they can make gobs shorting the shit out of this stuff.

    Like Wallstreet says, be careful boys.

    Lastly in my opinion silver is the better buy if you are going to buy one of these, because silver has so many more uses then gold has.

    The guys with the guns will endup with all the gold anyways


    Old argument and actually a good point.  As my broker that's had me in PM's since 2000 always rebuts when I make this same point. He'd rather have a whole shit load of cheap dollars than a few of them which makes sense to me.  I think you are missing the point though Gold/Silver are a medium of exchange every where in the world.  I can be in the jungles w/ indigenous people and still trade Gold or Silver for food where a dollar means nothing.  More realistically if our system collapsed Gold would still trade in all other currencies as it is a currency itself which can be exchanged. So the only pure hedge against any currency is Gold. I still don't know anyone in my personal life that incest in PM's.  When everyone gets in I'll be long gone.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 11:10 PM ET #59

    All you "excess liquidity" folks, the bulk of the deal has past, what is out going forward is MUCH less than what we already had.

    So given that about 2/3 is already in the can, unless you think there is DRAMATICALLY more to come, what makes you think that commodities can keep running?

    If you have been around bubbles or been employed in the market (which some of us have) you know that the market looks OUT, not right in front of their face, so we know what the FED is going to do and the front running is closer to being finished than started.

    There are two scenarios in which commodities get smacked, both are very likely..both mean commodities retrace.

    The first scenario is that we have a retrace in the economy or a complete drop, in that scenario commodities and risk players retreat.

    The second scenario is the FED is finished with this batch and the market starts looking outward to what they do next, which might be nothing..if this "hyper inflation" happens (I dont see this as likely) then the FED will reverse course quickly and start moving rates up..that also will crush commodities and risk play.

    The only scenario in which commodities keep going up is if the FED does more easing in addition to what they are currently doing.

    Any comments are of course welcome, and I am not interested in hearing "Gold relative to silver" or "Gold standard coming back" as reasons, neither is plausible or applicable.


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    All you "excess liquidity" folks, the bulk of the deal has past, what is out going forward is MUCH less than what we already had.

    So given that about 2/3 is already in the can, unless you think there is DRAMATICALLY more to come, what makes you think that commodities can keep running?

    If you have been around bubbles or been employed in the market (which some of us have) you know that the market looks OUT, not right in front of their face, so we know what the FED is going to do and the front running is closer to being finished than started.

    There are two scenarios in which commodities get smacked, both are very likely..both mean commodities retrace.

    The first scenario is that we have a retrace in the economy or a complete drop, in that scenario commodities and risk players retreat.

    The second scenario is the FED is finished with this batch and the market starts looking outward to what they do next, which might be nothing..if this "hyper inflation" happens (I dont see this as likely) then the FED will reverse course quickly and start moving rates up..that also will crush commodities and risk play.

    The only scenario in which commodities keep going up is if the FED does more easing in addition to what they are currently doing.

    Any comments are of course welcome, and I am not interested in hearing "Gold relative to silver" or "Gold standard coming back" as reasons, neither is plausible or applicable.


     
    tenpinguru
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 11:33 PM ET #60

    Fiat currencies have ALWAYS gone to zero.  The Fed must create inflation to pay for the debt service it currently owes.  Gold will always retain "value".  Silver will retain "value". 

    Good luck

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    Fiat currencies have ALWAYS gone to zero.  The Fed must create inflation to pay for the debt service it currently owes.  Gold will always retain "value".  Silver will retain "value". 

    Good luck

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 11:42 PM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by tenpinguru:

    Fiat currencies have ALWAYS gone to zero.  The Fed must create inflation to pay for the debt service it currently owes.  Gold will always retain "value".  Silver will retain "value". 

    Good luck



    Define "value" value relative to what?

    Me thinks long term charts and real "value" relative to things other than wampum say otherwise..in the very near term these commodities have done fine, but longer term the "value" has been non-existent

    It is foolish to think that if your scenario regarding currencies always going to zero happens, that there is value to anything..gold included.


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    Quote Originally Posted by tenpinguru:

    Fiat currencies have ALWAYS gone to zero.  The Fed must create inflation to pay for the debt service it currently owes.  Gold will always retain "value".  Silver will retain "value". 

    Good luck



    Define "value" value relative to what?

    Me thinks long term charts and real "value" relative to things other than wampum say otherwise..in the very near term these commodities have done fine, but longer term the "value" has been non-existent

    It is foolish to think that if your scenario regarding currencies always going to zero happens, that there is value to anything..gold included.


     
    ALSNOW
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2010 - 11:51 PM ET #62

    So the market looks out in that case why is Gold which is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge racking up its biggest gains in a decade when the most widely used measures of inflation have been stagnant? So lets just look at the bubble scenario If anything we may be reaching the mania stage of a bubble IE media attention.  I've yet to see Enthusiasm, Greed or Delusion heck most of my Gold stocks I bought 4 years ago are just showing profits now.  You used Oil as an example and when you chart the stocks versus the price it wasn't until the last two years of the rise that we began to see all Oil related stocks sky rocket.  

    Then look at mutual fund inflow YTD Emerging Market ETF's alone have taken in a total of 26 billion.  All commodity funds ETF'S/MF'S in total have taken in 7.5 billion and Gold ETF'S and Funds saw outflows in October and thus far this month. This isn't the actions of a bubble but you are the expert. Where is the frenzy buying that comes w/ a bubble? Could there be a correction of course nothing goes straight up but until the whole market cap of the GDX index is worth more than GOOG, GE, MSFT, WMT etc,, I would think these stocks are going higher.

    I'm done debating for now I bought more HL, SVM and SIL today maybe they are the next CMGI'S, FMKT'S and ICGE'S only time will tell.
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    So the market looks out in that case why is Gold which is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge racking up its biggest gains in a decade when the most widely used measures of inflation have been stagnant? So lets just look at the bubble scenario If anything we may be reaching the mania stage of a bubble IE media attention.  I've yet to see Enthusiasm, Greed or Delusion heck most of my Gold stocks I bought 4 years ago are just showing profits now.  You used Oil as an example and when you chart the stocks versus the price it wasn't until the last two years of the rise that we began to see all Oil related stocks sky rocket.  

    Then look at mutual fund inflow YTD Emerging Market ETF's alone have taken in a total of 26 billion.  All commodity funds ETF'S/MF'S in total have taken in 7.5 billion and Gold ETF'S and Funds saw outflows in October and thus far this month. This isn't the actions of a bubble but you are the expert. Where is the frenzy buying that comes w/ a bubble? Could there be a correction of course nothing goes straight up but until the whole market cap of the GDX index is worth more than GOOG, GE, MSFT, WMT etc,, I would think these stocks are going higher.

    I'm done debating for now I bought more HL, SVM and SIL today maybe they are the next CMGI'S, FMKT'S and ICGE'S only time will tell.
     
    be easy
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 1:04 AM ET #63

    keep up the good fight wall

    tell me the story again about when you spotted the RE bubble

    I mean, you have this PM and commodities bubbles pegged so accurately and all


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    keep up the good fight wall

    tell me the story again about when you spotted the RE bubble

    I mean, you have this PM and commodities bubbles pegged so accurately and all


     
    SportsFan9698
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 8:45 AM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.

    Damn you sounds dillusional... really.  I'm not angry at all - what would give you that impression.  I'm up about 50% on my bullion in LESS THAN A YEAR.  I'm a pig in shit right now.

    You are the angry one, but feel free to spin how you feel, after its an open forum lol

    You are embarrassing yourself... sometimes you need somebody to tell you before you realize it.

    PM's are a bubble!!! PM's are a bubble LMAO

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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    This is an open forum, tough crap fella..I can comment as much as I want.

    You are angry, biased and invested in silver, gee I wonder if that might influence your position?

    Calm down and quit being so defensive.

    Damn you sounds dillusional... really.  I'm not angry at all - what would give you that impression.  I'm up about 50% on my bullion in LESS THAN A YEAR.  I'm a pig in shit right now.

    You are the angry one, but feel free to spin how you feel, after its an open forum lol

    You are embarrassing yourself... sometimes you need somebody to tell you before you realize it.

    PM's are a bubble!!! PM's are a bubble LMAO

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 11:46 AM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by be easy:

    keep up the good fight wall

    tell me the story again about when you spotted the RE bubble

    I mean, you have this PM and commodities bubbles pegged so accurately and all




    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.


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    Quote Originally Posted by be easy:

    keep up the good fight wall

    tell me the story again about when you spotted the RE bubble

    I mean, you have this PM and commodities bubbles pegged so accurately and all




    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.


     
    woopdurritis
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 6:21 PM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.




    I think WSC's message is to be careful... not sure why that is drawing so much negativity and offense


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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.




    I think WSC's message is to be careful... not sure why that is drawing so much negativity and offense


     
    ALSNOW
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 6:52 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.



    No you've just called it a bubble for years and eventually you will be right; good strategy.  Since you're not short or long you've made no money and eventually when it goes down be it a month, yr, 10 yrs you can pat yourself on the back.   I've read back through a lot of your post and you have been negative on everything you must've made a killing in these markets over the years for you and your clients/ 
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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Hey big guy, tell me where I once said the bubble had popped? Please feel free to link specific details.

    Ive said the exact opposite several times, that bubbles can go on and on..so feel free to bash me with specifics if you please.



    No you've just called it a bubble for years and eventually you will be right; good strategy.  Since you're not short or long you've made no money and eventually when it goes down be it a month, yr, 10 yrs you can pat yourself on the back.   I've read back through a lot of your post and you have been negative on everything you must've made a killing in these markets over the years for you and your clients/ 
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 8:17 PM ET #68

    Alsnow,

    If you have read back through my posts than either you are looking to bash me or are uneducated, either way give the bashing a rest.

    I havent called commodities in general a bubble for years, you misread and are looking for something to bash me with...please go BACK and read what I said, you might find some actual information.

    What I have said regarding bubbles is this..I felt for years that the US economy was due for a cyclical economic drop and it was artificially manipulated to extend the cycle..that is what I said regarding years of time.

    Ive also said that oil was a speculative bubble, which it was..and the oil bubble continued for an extended period of time until IT popped, and the same will happen here with commodities.

    You dont have to agree with what I say, but do not discredit me with misinformation and outright lies..and I suggest you stop with the stalking or bashing as it wont be tolerated here by anyone.


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    Alsnow,

    If you have read back through my posts than either you are looking to bash me or are uneducated, either way give the bashing a rest.

    I havent called commodities in general a bubble for years, you misread and are looking for something to bash me with...please go BACK and read what I said, you might find some actual information.

    What I have said regarding bubbles is this..I felt for years that the US economy was due for a cyclical economic drop and it was artificially manipulated to extend the cycle..that is what I said regarding years of time.

    Ive also said that oil was a speculative bubble, which it was..and the oil bubble continued for an extended period of time until IT popped, and the same will happen here with commodities.

    You dont have to agree with what I say, but do not discredit me with misinformation and outright lies..and I suggest you stop with the stalking or bashing as it wont be tolerated here by anyone.


     
    ALSNOW
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 9:35 PM ET #69

    No one is stalking you or bashing you.  Did you not state this is the mini .com/stem cell/nano move all over again.  If that isn't calling some thing a bubble then what is the meaning of the statement?


    I'm not going to cut and paste all your statements as then I would be stalking you.

    I'm done posting in here as I'm sure disagreeing with you will get me banned.  

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    No one is stalking you or bashing you.  Did you not state this is the mini .com/stem cell/nano move all over again.  If that isn't calling some thing a bubble then what is the meaning of the statement?


    I'm not going to cut and paste all your statements as then I would be stalking you.

    I'm done posting in here as I'm sure disagreeing with you will get me banned.  

     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2010 - 9:54 PM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by ALSNOW:

    No one is stalking you or bashing you.  Did you not state this is the mini .com/stem cell/nano move all over again.  If that isn't calling some thing a bubble then what is the meaning of the statement?


    I'm not going to cut and paste all your statements as then I would be stalking you.

    I'm done posting in here as I'm sure disagreeing with you will get me banned.  



    Bashing and stalking will get you boxed, me or anyone.

    What does saying this is comparable to nano and stem cells, .com mean to you exactly? How do you draw a conclusion that it means anything other than a bubble? And how does me stating this mean that the bubble has popped?

    Please explain..if you come at me with accusations and generalizations I will call you on it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ALSNOW:

    No one is stalking you or bashing you.  Did you not state this is the mini .com/stem cell/nano move all over again.  If that isn't calling some thing a bubble then what is the meaning of the statement?


    I'm not going to cut and paste all your statements as then I would be stalking you.

    I'm done posting in here as I'm sure disagreeing with you will get me banned.  



    Bashing and stalking will get you boxed, me or anyone.

    What does saying this is comparable to nano and stem cells, .com mean to you exactly? How do you draw a conclusion that it means anything other than a bubble? And how does me stating this mean that the bubble has popped?

    Please explain..if you come at me with accusations and generalizations I will call you on it.
     
    tenpinguru
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2010 - 12:21 AM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Define "value" value relative to what?

    Me thinks long term charts and real "value" relative to things other than wampum say otherwise..in the very near term these commodities have done fine, but longer term the "value" has been non-existent

    It is foolish to think that if your scenario regarding currencies always going to zero happens, that there is value to anything..gold included.


    By value, I just mean a product for exchange.  Gold has ALWAYS had value and will ALWAYS have value.  BTW, I am not suggesting the dollar will go to zero anytime soon.  I will say at some point the US dollar will lose all value.  You can say commodities are in a bubble.  I will say commodities will continue to rise in "dollar" value as long as the Fed continues to throw billions into the system.  I do not have any of my investable dollars in cash, everything is currently invested in stocks and in commodities.  I do not have any bonds or bond mutual funds.  I trust the Fed will continue to create inflation and this will be good for commodities and for stocks. 

    Good luck with your investments.

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    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:



    Define "value" value relative to what?

    Me thinks long term charts and real "value" relative to things other than wampum say otherwise..in the very near term these commodities have done fine, but longer term the "value" has been non-existent

    It is foolish to think that if your scenario regarding currencies always going to zero happens, that there is value to anything..gold included.


    By value, I just mean a product for exchange.  Gold has ALWAYS had value and will ALWAYS have value.  BTW, I am not suggesting the dollar will go to zero anytime soon.  I will say at some point the US dollar will lose all value.  You can say commodities are in a bubble.  I will say commodities will continue to rise in "dollar" value as long as the Fed continues to throw billions into the system.  I do not have any of my investable dollars in cash, everything is currently invested in stocks and in commodities.  I do not have any bonds or bond mutual funds.  I trust the Fed will continue to create inflation and this will be good for commodities and for stocks. 

    Good luck with your investments.

     
    cd329
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2010 - 1:55 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyClay:

     

    You can't compare food to medium of exchange.  True that you need food to survive.  But in order to exchange goods, we need a medium of exchange in a civilized society.  Let's say that there's an economic collapese and you have all the food you want.  That's great.  But what would happen after a week or a month?  Let's say you need gas for your car.  But the person with gas don't want to trade it for food.  What if that person needs a blanket for warmth or ammuntions for his gun for protection? 

     

    What if all your foods like your steak are spoiled after a week?  You would then need new fresh and clean food.  And you have a new pair of shoe to trade for food.  But noone wants your shoe.  What would you do then?

     

    you have basically made my point for me. If the whole world collapses, things besides gold are going to be worth way more.

    If i had food, clothing, guns, bullets, fuel, etc etc am certainly not going to trade them for gold bars.  Am gonna trade for other things that i need to live and gold bars wont be one of those things. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyClay:

     

    You can't compare food to medium of exchange.  True that you need food to survive.  But in order to exchange goods, we need a medium of exchange in a civilized society.  Let's say that there's an economic collapese and you have all the food you want.  That's great.  But what would happen after a week or a month?  Let's say you need gas for your car.  But the person with gas don't want to trade it for food.  What if that person needs a blanket for warmth or ammuntions for his gun for protection? 

     

    What if all your foods like your steak are spoiled after a week?  You would then need new fresh and clean food.  And you have a new pair of shoe to trade for food.  But noone wants your shoe.  What would you do then?

     

    you have basically made my point for me. If the whole world collapses, things besides gold are going to be worth way more.

    If i had food, clothing, guns, bullets, fuel, etc etc am certainly not going to trade them for gold bars.  Am gonna trade for other things that i need to live and gold bars wont be one of those things. 

     
    SportsFan9698
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2010 - 2:27 PM ET #73

    The prospect of the entire economy collapsing makes for great imagination and movies, but it's simply not going to happen.

    The USD can and will dissolve to ZERO.  This is all but fact.  The process and speed in which it goes to zero is debatable beyond religion. 

    If it were to be a hyperinflationary event, of course there would be some degree of chaos in our world for some time.  But I have no fear that we would all be living in Mad Max type of society.  Although it would not be a good time to be an anti-gun activist.

    Another currency would eventually step in and provide a market need in which the USD has failed.  In the time that transpires before that currency steps in, gold, silver, pre-64 coinage, and other means will serve just fine.

    I really really REALLY highly doubt that we will ever see a time when an ounce of silver, or definitely an ounce of gold will be worthless because you cannot eat it.  Just my opinion.

    But if you prefer to stockpile a currency that can be consumed... many survivalists believe that whiskey and cigarettes will be very tradable in tough times.  I plan to stockpile 'shine, but I seem to keep consuming my stocks =]

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    The prospect of the entire economy collapsing makes for great imagination and movies, but it's simply not going to happen.

    The USD can and will dissolve to ZERO.  This is all but fact.  The process and speed in which it goes to zero is debatable beyond religion. 

    If it were to be a hyperinflationary event, of course there would be some degree of chaos in our world for some time.  But I have no fear that we would all be living in Mad Max type of society.  Although it would not be a good time to be an anti-gun activist.

    Another currency would eventually step in and provide a market need in which the USD has failed.  In the time that transpires before that currency steps in, gold, silver, pre-64 coinage, and other means will serve just fine.

    I really really REALLY highly doubt that we will ever see a time when an ounce of silver, or definitely an ounce of gold will be worthless because you cannot eat it.  Just my opinion.

    But if you prefer to stockpile a currency that can be consumed... many survivalists believe that whiskey and cigarettes will be very tradable in tough times.  I plan to stockpile 'shine, but I seem to keep consuming my stocks =]

     
    Vermeer
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2010 - 5:12 PM ET #74

    I am not a gold or silver bug but own both, and have for over a decade (and plan on owning more, consistently).

    Gold is not at an all time high, inflation adjusted. And of course, when people compare today's price of silver to its all time high, they seem to forget that that high was the result of a failed attempt to corner the entire market by the Hunt brothers. So historical comparisons are shaky.

     That being said, I think two factors or three major factors are in play now as opposed to 1990, for example. Some have nothing to do with a need for inflation to exist in the US or any other country.

    In no particular order of importance, they are:

    1. The buying power of ETFs and recent hedge fund interest in precious metals. Both are huge new factors influencing the demand for metal, with enormous buying power.
    2. Potentially massive demand for metals coming from industrial use, and consumer demand originating from ever more influential affluent Asians. Asian tastes are going to influence markets vastly more than a rapidly declining West.
    3. The belief that the US government consistently misleads about inflation. Who lives ex energy and ex food? And price is not revelatory of inflation.As anyone buying cereal, or coffee, for example knows, the price per item may be the same, but the amount in the box/container is less, markedly less.
    4. As for not being able to eat gold/silver, this leads to a logical response:paper is edible but not satisfying as a meal either. Neither would anyone recommend a diet of foreclosed Mcmansions.
    5. The average investor has very, very little of their total portfolio in precious metals. Ask around...even long time investors I know still own absolutely no precious metals...
     



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    I am not a gold or silver bug but own both, and have for over a decade (and plan on owning more, consistently).

    Gold is not at an all time high, inflation adjusted. And of course, when people compare today's price of silver to its all time high, they seem to forget that that high was the result of a failed attempt to corner the entire market by the Hunt brothers. So historical comparisons are shaky.

     That being said, I think two factors or three major factors are in play now as opposed to 1990, for example. Some have nothing to do with a need for inflation to exist in the US or any other country.

    In no particular order of importance, they are:

    1. The buying power of ETFs and recent hedge fund interest in precious metals. Both are huge new factors influencing the demand for metal, with enormous buying power.
    2. Potentially massive demand for metals coming from industrial use, and consumer demand originating from ever more influential affluent Asians. Asian tastes are going to influence markets vastly more than a rapidly declining West.
    3. The belief that the US government consistently misleads about inflation. Who lives ex energy and ex food? And price is not revelatory of inflation.As anyone buying cereal, or coffee, for example knows, the price per item may be the same, but the amount in the box/container is less, markedly less.
    4. As for not being able to eat gold/silver, this leads to a logical response:paper is edible but not satisfying as a meal either. Neither would anyone recommend a diet of foreclosed Mcmansions.
    5. The average investor has very, very little of their total portfolio in precious metals. Ask around...even long time investors I know still own absolutely no precious metals...
     



     
     
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2010 - 5:24 PM ET #75

    Wall:

    What do you feel the price of oil should be if, as you think, it is now in a speculative bubble? Just curious. I think China would gladly pay $150 a barrel if they could assure themselves a guaranteed supply for the next ten years.


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    Wall:

    What do you feel the price of oil should be if, as you think, it is now in a speculative bubble? Just curious. I think China would gladly pay $150 a barrel if they could assure themselves a guaranteed supply for the next ten years.


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