I'd like to start making one bet a day on a 1st inning runs scored prop. I feel like with enough analysis we can run up a nice record. I've been tracking this in April and doing just fine, but with the input of more people I think it can only improve.
That said, I use Bovada and their odds seems harder to beat, especially on the no runs scored. A good pitchers matchup can run from -150 to -165. I don't see a lot of great value in that. So we may have to pick more yes bets, or just shy away from the obvious pitcher's duels.
As for strategy, I like to look at the lead-off hitters for both teams and how they fair against today's starter. Getting the first guy out goes a long way in pitching a scoreless frame.
Let me know what you guys think. If anyone is willing to post a certain stat everyday, for example the lead-off guy vs starter, let me know. As a group we should be able to nail down a profit!
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