Key you must know I would never bet a team with that kind of juice, come on now, fun is fun but money is a different world, for instance I bet Kershaw twice last year and only because he was close to even money and I think I only made about 4 bets all year.
I play covers contest for fun and just to see how I can do,CBB on sides I am 480-456-20, of course they are all -110, and at a modest 51.26% I would of lost 10,800, I can not believe you think I would play any of my FAV. Teams for money, actually the way you bet is the only way you could play those kind of odds as your risk is always the same but even over time those kind of losses would affect your system which is why you do them seldom but once in awhile.
That is one reason I have never been a big football bettor, you need to hit 54% or so to pay the juice and those services that local's use now juice shit to -120 or more, which was one reason I bought out of it since I was getting 10% of the charge to service I made good money last 7 years not counting virus year. When I was working most my bets were done on my 2 days off, except baseball were I would take a dog or 2 before work, I would some days take every team +200 and up without even looking at games, 2-5 was close to even and if I had a +300 that hit I made money if that won. I do not advice doing this daily but once in awhile it was ok, but it is not a big winner, just fun.
But I thought you knew shit talk is just that since I been doing it for 13 years we been fooling around, but real betting is different but last year has not been that, for me the virus seasons have killed me and not used to playing every day so had to change things and when baseball starts I will open a couple on line accounts and go that way, the service was screwing lines and juice so I quit them.
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@KeyElement
Key you must know I would never bet a team with that kind of juice, come on now, fun is fun but money is a different world, for instance I bet Kershaw twice last year and only because he was close to even money and I think I only made about 4 bets all year.
I play covers contest for fun and just to see how I can do,CBB on sides I am 480-456-20, of course they are all -110, and at a modest 51.26% I would of lost 10,800, I can not believe you think I would play any of my FAV. Teams for money, actually the way you bet is the only way you could play those kind of odds as your risk is always the same but even over time those kind of losses would affect your system which is why you do them seldom but once in awhile.
That is one reason I have never been a big football bettor, you need to hit 54% or so to pay the juice and those services that local's use now juice shit to -120 or more, which was one reason I bought out of it since I was getting 10% of the charge to service I made good money last 7 years not counting virus year. When I was working most my bets were done on my 2 days off, except baseball were I would take a dog or 2 before work, I would some days take every team +200 and up without even looking at games, 2-5 was close to even and if I had a +300 that hit I made money if that won. I do not advice doing this daily but once in awhile it was ok, but it is not a big winner, just fun.
But I thought you knew shit talk is just that since I been doing it for 13 years we been fooling around, but real betting is different but last year has not been that, for me the virus seasons have killed me and not used to playing every day so had to change things and when baseball starts I will open a couple on line accounts and go that way, the service was screwing lines and juice so I quit them.
Well, I'm glad you cleared that up. Maybe I had not had enough coffee yet this morning (Posted at 6:00 A.M.) but it appeared you had been spending too much time with Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN. Just the same, I will be able to LMFAO at all the geniuses that think they will be able to make a fortune betting the Yankees, Dodgers and Padres every day all season. You know they are coming, just waiting for CBB to end.
I suppose I should have noted #800 in LC's honor, but I was so frustrated with you I forgot to mention it. If he would just register as Abe Lincoln or Aunt Je___a (politically incorrect word) we would catch on, but it might take the mods years to do that. So many other critters have gotten away with it, why not LC?
Have a nice day, and play $100 on Idaho, then tell your book to "let it ride" until they win the tournament. If it hits you will have no further need of advice from me, sac, or any of the fools that pass out on your bar every evening. Instead of bartending at the freakin resort you could buy the damn place. Yee-Haw
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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@JEG53
Well, I'm glad you cleared that up. Maybe I had not had enough coffee yet this morning (Posted at 6:00 A.M.) but it appeared you had been spending too much time with Puff, The Magic Dragon, AGAIN. Just the same, I will be able to LMFAO at all the geniuses that think they will be able to make a fortune betting the Yankees, Dodgers and Padres every day all season. You know they are coming, just waiting for CBB to end.
I suppose I should have noted #800 in LC's honor, but I was so frustrated with you I forgot to mention it. If he would just register as Abe Lincoln or Aunt Je___a (politically incorrect word) we would catch on, but it might take the mods years to do that. So many other critters have gotten away with it, why not LC?
Have a nice day, and play $100 on Idaho, then tell your book to "let it ride" until they win the tournament. If it hits you will have no further need of advice from me, sac, or any of the fools that pass out on your bar every evening. Instead of bartending at the freakin resort you could buy the damn place. Yee-Haw
@barneybeans Strangely, I think the Giants and D-bax may be the lowly 3-4 in the division and Rockies the real doormat, but it doesn't matter, none will be a playoff threat. They should lose badly to Dodgers and Padres and play each other with similar mediocrity.
There's probably no reason to watch the D'Backs, Rox nor Giants. But there might be some good $ making opportunities out there for those MLB cellar dwellers. You can make a lot of money on the mediocre teams picking your spots wisely. IMHO.
A mediocre dog in a hitters park, vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen.
SD will be a good bet early in the season with the following conditions:
vs big name pitcher/team (Kershaw, DeGrom, Scherzer, Nola)
with Lamet or Musgrove starting
Having hot bats
Having rested pen
You might get SD -120 to +140 depending on the venue and circumstances.
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
@barneybeans Strangely, I think the Giants and D-bax may be the lowly 3-4 in the division and Rockies the real doormat, but it doesn't matter, none will be a playoff threat. They should lose badly to Dodgers and Padres and play each other with similar mediocrity.
There's probably no reason to watch the D'Backs, Rox nor Giants. But there might be some good $ making opportunities out there for those MLB cellar dwellers. You can make a lot of money on the mediocre teams picking your spots wisely. IMHO.
A mediocre dog in a hitters park, vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen.
SD will be a good bet early in the season with the following conditions:
vs big name pitcher/team (Kershaw, DeGrom, Scherzer, Nola)
with Lamet or Musgrove starting
Having hot bats
Having rested pen
You might get SD -120 to +140 depending on the venue and circumstances.
"A mediocre dog in a hitters park, vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen."
A similar thought, if not exactly the same thing. In the 5 inning game the bullpens are irrelevant, but because the 5 inning line is based on the adjusted full game line, bettors that are betting the better bullpen are shading the line that way. You often get solid 5 inning odds you would not take full game, because of the difference in bullpens. If you have a perceived edge in starter, but not the bullpen, you must consider the 5 inning line.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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@barneybeans
"A mediocre dog in a hitters park, vs a non powerhouse, opposing team starting someone who's generally on a low PC and you have the better performing and better rested pen.... a lot of these games come down pen vs pen."
A similar thought, if not exactly the same thing. In the 5 inning game the bullpens are irrelevant, but because the 5 inning line is based on the adjusted full game line, bettors that are betting the better bullpen are shading the line that way. You often get solid 5 inning odds you would not take full game, because of the difference in bullpens. If you have a perceived edge in starter, but not the bullpen, you must consider the 5 inning line.
I did it sucka. I took JEG at his word (foolish me) and jumped in with the hottest capper in CBB history. IT FREAKIN BETTER WIN, or your azz is grass and I am big power lawn mower.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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@undermysac
I did it sucka. I took JEG at his word (foolish me) and jumped in with the hottest capper in CBB history. IT FREAKIN BETTER WIN, or your azz is grass and I am big power lawn mower.
If you would of looked at his awesome CBB thread he has the bet with the points, which I did not take, instead I went with ODB on Penn St. getting 10.5 points, that service that I posted a few of his picks has been terrible, he was doing well but last 5 days he is 2-7 and now he has NW +6 today, so I followed the best CBB Capper ODB.
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@KeyElement
If you would of looked at his awesome CBB thread he has the bet with the points, which I did not take, instead I went with ODB on Penn St. getting 10.5 points, that service that I posted a few of his picks has been terrible, he was doing well but last 5 days he is 2-7 and now he has NW +6 today, so I followed the best CBB Capper ODB.
You need to go re read from 807 to 822, your envy is really coming out in droves but for some reason your showing your love for sac and even when I tried to point out that is play had issues you still jumped all over it and now you 2 girls are ganging up against me, I am starting to think you guys were involved in getting LC kicked to the curb because he liked me more.
I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW
ME KEY OR SAC OR KEY SAC
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@KeyElement
You need to go re read from 807 to 822, your envy is really coming out in droves but for some reason your showing your love for sac and even when I tried to point out that is play had issues you still jumped all over it and now you 2 girls are ganging up against me, I am starting to think you guys were involved in getting LC kicked to the curb because he liked me more.
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