Big Tone - definitely don't let some negativity deter you. At the end of the day we're in this thing together (or should be) trying to figure out a profitable system that should at least be a bit fun to follow and maybe provide some side cash.
I've only followed this for a couple weeks but it seems like the recent losses have been on pretty mediocre teams overall (PIT, SEA, OAK). Could always make those half unit plays.
Something else I'm interested in seeing/tracking is what would happen if you bet the other side on some of those borderline teams. (I.e - if pirates are one game over .500 at home but 6 below overall then bet their opponent). Could get some nice positive lines in the process. Just thinking out loud.
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Big Tone - definitely don't let some negativity deter you. At the end of the day we're in this thing together (or should be) trying to figure out a profitable system that should at least be a bit fun to follow and maybe provide some side cash.
I've only followed this for a couple weeks but it seems like the recent losses have been on pretty mediocre teams overall (PIT, SEA, OAK). Could always make those half unit plays.
Something else I'm interested in seeing/tracking is what would happen if you bet the other side on some of those borderline teams. (I.e - if pirates are one game over .500 at home but 6 below overall then bet their opponent). Could get some nice positive lines in the process. Just thinking out loud.
CLE isn't a system play based on their home record... but if you want to play it because if DET away record then cool. Another borderline play is NYY because MIL away record is so good.
Ill skip on CLE as i want to only want to stick to system plays... But ill bail on the Yanks until i see them get their pitching right.
Thanks!
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Quote Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:
CLE isn't a system play based on their home record... but if you want to play it because if DET away record then cool. Another borderline play is NYY because MIL away record is so good.
Ill skip on CLE as i want to only want to stick to system plays... But ill bail on the Yanks until i see them get their pitching right.
This system sucks! It has too many winners in one day. Now I have nothing to bet this whole weekend and I don't have to deposit more money in my account! Thought I would keep the hate on the system rant going.
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This system sucks! It has too many winners in one day. Now I have nothing to bet this whole weekend and I don't have to deposit more money in my account! Thought I would keep the hate on the system rant going.
This system sucks! It has too many winners in one day. Now I have nothing to bet this whole weekend and I don't have to deposit more money in my account! Thought I would keep the hate on the system rant going.
Haha love it.
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Quote Originally Posted by Hues10:
This system sucks! It has too many winners in one day. Now I have nothing to bet this whole weekend and I don't have to deposit more money in my account! Thought I would keep the hate on the system rant going.
this isn't directed at anyone in particular, b/c i've had several PM's from people wanting me to provide the series picks. I'M NOT GOING TO DO THIS.
first off, this isn't my system. Big Tone put it up originally, and I just read what he posted, tried it out, and followed his methodology. I guess i just happened to be active early on, and understood what he was prescribing, so we bounced ideas off of each other really as a way to "self check" to make sure we didn't overlook something like a 2 game series, a home-home, or misread a statistic.
I'm not here for followers, i'm not here to do the work for others, i'm just here to win money for me. I am absolutely open to questions about a specific series as it pertains to the system, and will give my input if asked AND i happen to check covers.com, but please don't ask me to just send you my picks after i've done the work to figure them out.
oh, and BOL to all. i cleared my 3 chases yesterday, and hit 5 of 7 new starts, and just cleared NYY today. still chasing STL.
cheers.
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this isn't directed at anyone in particular, b/c i've had several PM's from people wanting me to provide the series picks. I'M NOT GOING TO DO THIS.
first off, this isn't my system. Big Tone put it up originally, and I just read what he posted, tried it out, and followed his methodology. I guess i just happened to be active early on, and understood what he was prescribing, so we bounced ideas off of each other really as a way to "self check" to make sure we didn't overlook something like a 2 game series, a home-home, or misread a statistic.
I'm not here for followers, i'm not here to do the work for others, i'm just here to win money for me. I am absolutely open to questions about a specific series as it pertains to the system, and will give my input if asked AND i happen to check covers.com, but please don't ask me to just send you my picks after i've done the work to figure them out.
oh, and BOL to all. i cleared my 3 chases yesterday, and hit 5 of 7 new starts, and just cleared NYY today. still chasing STL.
I'm not going to lie. I didn't back Cleve last game vs padres. Couldn't take another risk. But I did win some money back from the next series. And parlayed was hous stl col ariz ttex. 100 to win 1800. Plus the straight wagers on them.
I missed out on Yankees and stl and cubbies though. That would've been nice.
I guess it got out of hand when everyone started losing. We just have to keep it together. And tone Dutch or brad have to be the ones to say the system plays.
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I'm not going to lie. I didn't back Cleve last game vs padres. Couldn't take another risk. But I did win some money back from the next series. And parlayed was hous stl col ariz ttex. 100 to win 1800. Plus the straight wagers on them.
I missed out on Yankees and stl and cubbies though. That would've been nice.
I guess it got out of hand when everyone started losing. We just have to keep it together. And tone Dutch or brad have to be the ones to say the system plays.
(H) BOS *Sale pitches game2 Saturday and they play a doubleheader on Sunday to make this a 4game series (H) BAL (H) DET (A) COL (A) LAD *borderline no play w/ MIA at exactly .500 at home; play at own risk (H) CWS (H) MIL (H) KC (H) LAA (H) SD *bordeline no play w/ SD exactly .500 at home; play at own risk
Non system plays potentially worth the risk:
(A) CLE *Oakland .438 overall < CLE .540 overall; CLE Road winning % .619 greater than OAK home winning % .533 (H) HOU *2 top 12 teams, HOU top 3 (A) WAS *Washington road record .605 > CIN home record of .534; WAS top 5, CIN bottom 6
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System plays for Friday:
(H) BOS *Sale pitches game2 Saturday and they play a doubleheader on Sunday to make this a 4game series (H) BAL (H) DET (A) COL (A) LAD *borderline no play w/ MIA at exactly .500 at home; play at own risk (H) CWS (H) MIL (H) KC (H) LAA (H) SD *bordeline no play w/ SD exactly .500 at home; play at own risk
Non system plays potentially worth the risk:
(A) CLE *Oakland .438 overall < CLE .540 overall; CLE Road winning % .619 greater than OAK home winning % .533 (H) HOU *2 top 12 teams, HOU top 3 (A) WAS *Washington road record .605 > CIN home record of .534; WAS top 5, CIN bottom 6
(H) BOS *Sale pitches game2 Saturday and they play a doubleheader on Sunday to make this a 4game series (H) BAL (H) DET (A) COL (A) LAD *borderline no play w/ MIA at exactly .500 at home; play at own risk (H) CWS (H) MIL (H) KC (H) LAA (H) SD *bordeline no play w/ SD exactly .500 at home; play at own risk
Non system plays potentially worth the risk:
(A) CLE *Oakland .438 overall < CLE .540 overall; CLE Road winning % .619 greater than OAK home winning % .533 (H) HOU *2 top 12 teams, HOU top 3 (A) WAS *Washington road record .605 > CIN home record of .534; WAS top 5, CIN bottom 6
just a disclaimer, personally now that teams have a number of games under their belt, i'm ticking up my overall %trigger number to .450 instead of .400 (only SF and PHI are <.400) i'll post the plays that fit the original system, but denote those that don't hit that mark that i will be staying away from until i figure out the second half adjustments.
also, i'm trying to play this Friday conservatively since these guys, especially the good players on good teams are in the all star game, versus other guys getting a long rest. don't want to force too much action.
i am on for sure: BAL BOS MIL LAA
approaching with caution:
DET - <.450 overall
CWS - caution on this one, CWS could fall below .500 in this series and is <.450 overall
not playing:
KC fits, but until TEX figures out if they're sellers at the trade deadline or going to fight for a wildcard spot i'm not playing any series with them. that said, KC has the best record in the AL since June 1.
notes:
I'm staying away from road teams unless it's just completely lopsided.
regarding HOU, MIN's away record is better than houston's home record.
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Quote Originally Posted by Boston_Brad:
System plays for Friday:
(H) BOS *Sale pitches game2 Saturday and they play a doubleheader on Sunday to make this a 4game series (H) BAL (H) DET (A) COL (A) LAD *borderline no play w/ MIA at exactly .500 at home; play at own risk (H) CWS (H) MIL (H) KC (H) LAA (H) SD *bordeline no play w/ SD exactly .500 at home; play at own risk
Non system plays potentially worth the risk:
(A) CLE *Oakland .438 overall < CLE .540 overall; CLE Road winning % .619 greater than OAK home winning % .533 (H) HOU *2 top 12 teams, HOU top 3 (A) WAS *Washington road record .605 > CIN home record of .534; WAS top 5, CIN bottom 6
just a disclaimer, personally now that teams have a number of games under their belt, i'm ticking up my overall %trigger number to .450 instead of .400 (only SF and PHI are <.400) i'll post the plays that fit the original system, but denote those that don't hit that mark that i will be staying away from until i figure out the second half adjustments.
also, i'm trying to play this Friday conservatively since these guys, especially the good players on good teams are in the all star game, versus other guys getting a long rest. don't want to force too much action.
i am on for sure: BAL BOS MIL LAA
approaching with caution:
DET - <.450 overall
CWS - caution on this one, CWS could fall below .500 in this series and is <.450 overall
not playing:
KC fits, but until TEX figures out if they're sellers at the trade deadline or going to fight for a wildcard spot i'm not playing any series with them. that said, KC has the best record in the AL since June 1.
notes:
I'm staying away from road teams unless it's just completely lopsided.
regarding HOU, MIN's away record is better than houston's home record.
just a disclaimer, personally now that teams have a number of games under their belt, i'm ticking up my overall %trigger number to .450 instead of .400 (only SF and PHI are <.400) i'll post the plays that fit the original system, but denote those that don't hit that mark that i will be staying away from until i figure out the second half adjustments.
also, i'm trying to play this Friday conservatively since these guys, especially the good players on good teams are in the all star game, versus other guys getting a long rest. don't want to force too much action.
i am on for sure: BAL BOS MIL LAA
approaching with caution:
DET - <.450 overall
CWS - caution on this one, CWS could fall below .500 in this series and is <.450 overall
not playing:
KC fits, but until TEX figures out if they're sellers at the trade deadline or going to fight for a wildcard spot i'm not playing any series with them. that said, KC has the best record in the AL since June 1.
notes:
I'm staying away from road teams unless it's just completely lopsided.
regarding HOU, MIN's away record is better than houston's home record.
The record tweak had to happen. The road teams are the only ones that have screwed us so far. I'm going to be cautious moving forward as well. Probably playing KC but need to do a little more research. Definitely playing those 4 though.
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Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
just a disclaimer, personally now that teams have a number of games under their belt, i'm ticking up my overall %trigger number to .450 instead of .400 (only SF and PHI are <.400) i'll post the plays that fit the original system, but denote those that don't hit that mark that i will be staying away from until i figure out the second half adjustments.
also, i'm trying to play this Friday conservatively since these guys, especially the good players on good teams are in the all star game, versus other guys getting a long rest. don't want to force too much action.
i am on for sure: BAL BOS MIL LAA
approaching with caution:
DET - <.450 overall
CWS - caution on this one, CWS could fall below .500 in this series and is <.450 overall
not playing:
KC fits, but until TEX figures out if they're sellers at the trade deadline or going to fight for a wildcard spot i'm not playing any series with them. that said, KC has the best record in the AL since June 1.
notes:
I'm staying away from road teams unless it's just completely lopsided.
regarding HOU, MIN's away record is better than houston's home record.
The record tweak had to happen. The road teams are the only ones that have screwed us so far. I'm going to be cautious moving forward as well. Probably playing KC but need to do a little more research. Definitely playing those 4 though.
Quick question. Why wasn't Washington a system play nor Houston? But Baltimore against cubbies? And red sox vs Yankees a nail biter series. Don't cry just reply.
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Quick question. Why wasn't Washington a system play nor Houston? But Baltimore against cubbies? And red sox vs Yankees a nail biter series. Don't cry just reply.
Brad stop crying all the time like a little girl. If Baltimore loses tonight which they did they face arieta tmr. Anyways let's get to the point. How wasn't Washington a play ?!nor Houston.
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Brad stop crying all the time like a little girl. If Baltimore loses tonight which they did they face arieta tmr. Anyways let's get to the point. How wasn't Washington a play ?!nor Houston.
Not going to re-explain it for you. Clearly you're an idiot. You love to boast when the system wins and b*tch when teams lose. You are a cancer to this thread. Just be thankful we can't choose, who is and is not allowed to respond. You're privilege would've been revoked a long time ago.
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Not going to re-explain it for you. Clearly you're an idiot. You love to boast when the system wins and b*tch when teams lose. You are a cancer to this thread. Just be thankful we can't choose, who is and is not allowed to respond. You're privilege would've been revoked a long time ago.
Brad stop crying all the time like a little girl. If Baltimore loses tonight which they did they face arieta tmr. Anyways let's get to the point. How wasn't Washington a play ?!nor Houston.
WAS wasn't a play b/c this is focused on home teams.
HOU wasn't a play b/c their home record was lower than MIN road record.
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Quote Originally Posted by GamblingIsFun:
Brad stop crying all the time like a little girl. If Baltimore loses tonight which they did they face arieta tmr. Anyways let's get to the point. How wasn't Washington a play ?!nor Houston.
WAS wasn't a play b/c this is focused on home teams.
HOU wasn't a play b/c their home record was lower than MIN road record.
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