Posted:
#76
OK to answer all of the questions:
Superfigg: I use a few sites to download most of the stats..but I do look at close games and see what happened, and adjust my stats accordingly...
To give you 1 example of what I am doing: letting a run score due to indifference because they are up 2 in the 9th...I adjust accordingly...Screws with a a pitchers ERA, especially early in the season, and also, pumps up the other teams run scored per game, again, more so early in the season....which than would mess with my system...which is part of my key to what i am doing..throwing out the crap and keeping the true stats to get a true number
Sportsrecords: I will post all season long....and I will try to get them out early in the morning as soon as I can get an early line on the games...I have a real job so occassionally I may be a little late with the post...
Cool Money & Brendanb
As far as biggest drawdown and bankroll...I wait until the middle of April, due to the fact that the 1 year when I lost money..I lost 95% of it in April... See below for my min and max year to year for drawdown...Spent the whole damn season just getting back to even...
Remember my baseball plays are always for the same amount, for example, if you are a $100 a unit better- favorites are always to win $100, (example $200 to win $100) and dogs are always $100 to win whatever the math comes out to ($100 to win $200) ....if you bet $100 a unit…..keep it that way all season. This takes patience!!!
This chart represents the most I was up or down in any 1 season, hence also why I suggest a $2,000 bankroll ...this is $100 a unit
Min Max Final
1997 (1,982) 5,926 $2,693
1998 (1,725) 5,396 $3,586
1999 (1,196) 9,172 $8,838
2000 (1,528) 8,874 $6,888
2001 (459) 13,116 $12,916
2002 (325) 8,998 $8,398
2003 (548) 6,807 $6,807
2004 (6,081) 100 ($701)
2005 (286) 7,554 $4,479
2006 (1,030) 5,983 $5,173
2007 (341) 11,396 $11,396
Generally speaking , Aside from 1 year....all you need is $2,000 per unit....That is not to say this year will not be different, but from a % standpoint...10 out of 11 years you would be fine..
G/L To all
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