We have one team that is fighting for the playoffs and another one that knows their season is over. But this is baseball, and motivation is not really going to make someone perform better than normal. It's no like Albert Pujols is going to swing his bat harder or Jose Reyes is going to run slower. If you cap based on motivation in baseball that you probably lost a lot of $ in that Red Sox / Orioles game last night. Both of these teams are very similar in terms of hitting, fielding, and bullpen. The big difference is that we have a better overall starting pitcher in Capuano (according to both advanced and standard stats actually). This game is closer to 50/50, and according to my model has New York winning this one 52% of the time. Current odds of -200 or so have St Louis winning this game 67% and New York 33%. Something is very 'off' here.
#2: San Francisco Giants -105
BumG has been one of the best pitchers in baseball in the last month or so (him and Vazquez for the Marlins). I backed him in his last start against Kuroda a couple of weeks ago and I see no reason not to do so again in this spot. Sandoval should be back in the lineup for San Fran, who have a bunch of left-handed options available to them. Kuroda has a 4.09 xFIP against lefties and I expect him to get 'hit' again by the Giants tonight.
======================================
I was going to make UNDER 9 in the CHW/CLE game as my 3rd play today but most of the places have it at 8.5 now. My model has that one at 7.5 total runs and 10 would be needed for this wager to lose. If you can find 9 at decent odds somewhere (maybe a local) I'd play it.
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2011 MLB Record: 190 - 150 @56%for+20.55 Units
Thur 09/22
#1: New York Mets +185
We have one team that is fighting for the playoffs and another one that knows their season is over. But this is baseball, and motivation is not really going to make someone perform better than normal. It's no like Albert Pujols is going to swing his bat harder or Jose Reyes is going to run slower. If you cap based on motivation in baseball that you probably lost a lot of $ in that Red Sox / Orioles game last night. Both of these teams are very similar in terms of hitting, fielding, and bullpen. The big difference is that we have a better overall starting pitcher in Capuano (according to both advanced and standard stats actually). This game is closer to 50/50, and according to my model has New York winning this one 52% of the time. Current odds of -200 or so have St Louis winning this game 67% and New York 33%. Something is very 'off' here.
#2: San Francisco Giants -105
BumG has been one of the best pitchers in baseball in the last month or so (him and Vazquez for the Marlins). I backed him in his last start against Kuroda a couple of weeks ago and I see no reason not to do so again in this spot. Sandoval should be back in the lineup for San Fran, who have a bunch of left-handed options available to them. Kuroda has a 4.09 xFIP against lefties and I expect him to get 'hit' again by the Giants tonight.
======================================
I was going to make UNDER 9 in the CHW/CLE game as my 3rd play today but most of the places have it at 8.5 now. My model has that one at 7.5 total runs and 10 would be needed for this wager to lose. If you can find 9 at decent odds somewhere (maybe a local) I'd play it.
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
New York Mets 73-82 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 86-69 (56%)
C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.88 (#94 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#66 in MLB), and tERA of 3.77 (#52 in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .263. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 41% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
J. Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.28 (#137 in MLB), xFIP of 4.03 (#118 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#126 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.44, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .283. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 60%, FB%: 22% for a 2.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
New York Mets have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road record of 42-38 (53%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals have the #19 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a home record of 43-34 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Washington Nationals 75-79 (49%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 98-57 (63%)
B. Peacock, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.02 (#111 in MLB), xFIP of 6.27 (#256 in MLB), and tERA of 3.26 (#17 in MLB), with a BABIP of .133, LOB% of 100%, and E-F of -4.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.67, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .118. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 46% for a 0.9 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
R. Oswalt, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.43 (#45 in MLB), xFIP of 3.94 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 3.86 (#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .325, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .283. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington Nationals have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-44 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-28 (65%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
A. White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 7.63 (#254 in MLB), xFIP of 5.07 (#230 in MLB), and tERA of 7.72 (#252 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.88. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.3, with a WHIP of 1.71, and opponent BA of .294. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 43% for a 1.02 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 24%.
H. Sosa, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.87 (#206 in MLB), xFIP of 4.46 (#172 in MLB), and tERA of 4.91 (#171 in MLB), with a BABIP of .27, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.65, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 38% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Colorado Rockies have the #14 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-42 (43%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 7 in a row.
Houston Astros have the #26 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-46 (38%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
San Francisco Giants 84-71 (54%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 77-77 (50%)
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.66 (#7 in MLB), xFIP of 3.1 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.23 (#16 in MLB), with a BABIP of .323, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.55. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.93, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .255. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
H. Kuroda, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.78 (#83 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#46 in MLB), and tERA of 4.29 (#101 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 35% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 40-37 (52%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Los Angeles Dodgers have the #5 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.46 (#161 in MLB), xFIP of 4.53 (#186 in MLB), and tERA of 4.93 (#172 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.54. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
A. Swarzak, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 4.34 (#150 in MLB), xFIP of 4.72 (#207 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .257, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of 0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 44% for a 0.87 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Seattle Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-46 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Minnesota Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a home record of 30-47 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 11 in a row.
New York Mets 73-82 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 86-69 (56%)
C. Capuano, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 3.88 (#94 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#66 in MLB), and tERA of 3.77 (#52 in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .263. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 41% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
J. Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.28 (#137 in MLB), xFIP of 4.03 (#118 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#126 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.44, with a WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .283. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 60%, FB%: 22% for a 2.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
New York Mets have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road record of 42-38 (53%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
St Louis Cardinals have the #19 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a home record of 43-34 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Washington Nationals 75-79 (49%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 98-57 (63%)
B. Peacock, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.02 (#111 in MLB), xFIP of 6.27 (#256 in MLB), and tERA of 3.26 (#17 in MLB), with a BABIP of .133, LOB% of 100%, and E-F of -4.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.67, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .118. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 46% for a 0.9 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
R. Oswalt, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.43 (#45 in MLB), xFIP of 3.94 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 3.86 (#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .325, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .283. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington Nationals have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-44 (43%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-28 (65%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
A. White, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 7.63 (#254 in MLB), xFIP of 5.07 (#230 in MLB), and tERA of 7.72 (#252 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.88. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.3, with a WHIP of 1.71, and opponent BA of .294. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 43% for a 1.02 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 24%.
H. Sosa, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.87 (#206 in MLB), xFIP of 4.46 (#172 in MLB), and tERA of 4.91 (#171 in MLB), with a BABIP of .27, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.65, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 38% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Colorado Rockies have the #14 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-42 (43%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 7 in a row.
Houston Astros have the #26 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-46 (38%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
San Francisco Giants 84-71 (54%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 77-77 (50%)
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.66 (#7 in MLB), xFIP of 3.1 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.23 (#16 in MLB), with a BABIP of .323, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.55. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.93, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .255. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
H. Kuroda, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.78 (#83 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#46 in MLB), and tERA of 4.29 (#101 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.1, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 35% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 40-37 (52%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Los Angeles Dodgers have the #5 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
B. Beavan, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.46 (#161 in MLB), xFIP of 4.53 (#186 in MLB), and tERA of 4.93 (#172 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.54. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
A. Swarzak, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 4.34 (#150 in MLB), xFIP of 4.72 (#207 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .257, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of 0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 44% for a 0.87 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Seattle Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-46 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Minnesota Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a home record of 30-47 (39%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 11 in a row.
C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.64 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.13 (#130 in MLB), and tERA of 4.67 (#147 in MLB), with a BABIP of .269, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 49% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
T. Cahill, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.22 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP of .301, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 25% for a 2.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Texas Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road record of 41-36 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Oakland Athletics have the #11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a home record of 42-38 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Odds: TEX -150 (60%) OAK +141 (41%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: A's =======================================
LAA Angels 85-70 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 78-77 (50%)
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.93 (#98 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#85 in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.54. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58, with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
H. Alvarez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 4.1 (#119 in MLB), xFIP of 3.54 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 4.74 (#154 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.75, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .26. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 25% for a 2.15 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
LAA Angels have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #23 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 76-79 (49%) @ Cleveland Indians 76-78 (49%)
P. Humber, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.47 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.83 (#87 in MLB), and tERA of 3.62 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .241. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Gomez, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.87 (#93 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.04. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.2, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .303. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Chicago White Sox have the #6 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 43-37 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Cleveland Indians have the #17 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-36 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Odds: CHW +105 (49%) CLE -111 (53%) O/U = 9
Lean: UNDER =======================================
Baltimore Orioles 65-90 (42%) @ Detroit Tigers 90-65 (58%)
Z. Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.71 (#69 in MLB), xFIP of 4.01 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 4.13 (#87 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.68, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Turner, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 3.95 (#101 in MLB), xFIP of 4.29 (#152 in MLB), and tERA of 3.93 (#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .3, LOB% of 48%, and E-F of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .256. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 43% for a 0.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-49 (36%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Detroit Tigers have the #22 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a home record of 45-29 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
C. Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.64 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.13 (#130 in MLB), and tERA of 4.67 (#147 in MLB), with a BABIP of .269, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 49% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
T. Cahill, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.22 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 3.92 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP of .301, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 25% for a 2.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Texas Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road record of 41-36 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Oakland Athletics have the #11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a home record of 42-38 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Odds: TEX -150 (60%) OAK +141 (41%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: A's =======================================
LAA Angels 85-70 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 78-77 (50%)
E. Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.93 (#98 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#85 in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.54. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58, with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
H. Alvarez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 4.1 (#119 in MLB), xFIP of 3.54 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 4.74 (#154 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.48. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.75, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .26. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 25% for a 2.15 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
LAA Angels have the #20 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #23 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 76-79 (49%) @ Cleveland Indians 76-78 (49%)
P. Humber, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.47 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.83 (#87 in MLB), and tERA of 3.62 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .241. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Gomez, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.87 (#93 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.04. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.2, with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .303. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Chicago White Sox have the #6 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 43-37 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Cleveland Indians have the #17 bullpen, #18 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-36 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Odds: CHW +105 (49%) CLE -111 (53%) O/U = 9
Lean: UNDER =======================================
Baltimore Orioles 65-90 (42%) @ Detroit Tigers 90-65 (58%)
Z. Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.71 (#69 in MLB), xFIP of 4.01 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 4.13 (#87 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.68, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 28% for a 1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Turner, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 3.95 (#101 in MLB), xFIP of 4.29 (#152 in MLB), and tERA of 3.93 (#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .3, LOB% of 48%, and E-F of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .256. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 43% for a 0.92 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-49 (36%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Detroit Tigers have the #22 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a home record of 45-29 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Hey Bodio. First time poster from Mexico City. I'm in a tough spot thanks to the Red Sox blowing 2 leads two days in a row. I like the Mets enough not to bet the Cardinals but not lay money on them, not today at least.
I'm thinking about the Rays. I don't bet on story (motivation, playoff chase, etc), but fundamentals, but today you can't help but feel both are pretty aligned. Especially if the Yankees sit some of their veterans. What do you think ?
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Hey Bodio. First time poster from Mexico City. I'm in a tough spot thanks to the Red Sox blowing 2 leads two days in a row. I like the Mets enough not to bet the Cardinals but not lay money on them, not today at least.
I'm thinking about the Rays. I don't bet on story (motivation, playoff chase, etc), but fundamentals, but today you can't help but feel both are pretty aligned. Especially if the Yankees sit some of their veterans. What do you think ?
you are correct on your assessment that this is baseball on the cardinals/mets match up. i took st louis hard and i have been riding them for the last 12 games.
they are hot and mets are not. i know its juicy but sometimes you gotta go with the better team playing better ball whether or not playoffs are on the line or not. good luck with the mets.
rain delay
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you are correct on your assessment that this is baseball on the cardinals/mets match up. i took st louis hard and i have been riding them for the last 12 games.
they are hot and mets are not. i know its juicy but sometimes you gotta go with the better team playing better ball whether or not playoffs are on the line or not. good luck with the mets.
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mets? really?
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