Boston vs. Baltimore Play of the Year!!!

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:



It actually is. Do your research before you speak.

Favorites win by one run about 17% of the time, Champ.

So again, Favorites usually lose if they dont cover the RL.



Dont be so closed to education. Enlighten yourself.

Do the math...Let's just say that Favs win 50% of the time overall...

okay...so that means that when favs win, they win by only 1 run 17% of the time.  So the 33% of the time they will cover the RL then right? 

So you are wrong to say that if the fav. wins the game, they cover the RL...you are over-exerrating the facts...

From the scenario that was made up above....let me ask you this question....Do I not win my bet if the game happens to fall under the 33% portion?  the answer is yes....just like I win my bet if I they only win the game by 1 run.

I am going to Camdem Yards tonight.  I live in Baltimore and am one of the sad fans they still have left.

I too think the Orioles lose their 9th game in a row.  But there is verylittle insight into your play of the year.  All I read is you complaining about the haters and bashers in here.  I am not one of them....their are a lot of interesting details with this 15 win team tonight....They just fired their manager Trembley and promoted the third base coach to interim.  He may put a little more pressure on the players to produce.  They are still a very poor ballclub, yes, but Chris Tillman is making his second start this year and threw a third of an inning short of a quality start last week.  He is a couple weeks removed from a no hitter in AAA.  It is very hot here today and the ball may jump out of the yard tonight.  The Orioles mostly score their few runs on HR's.  Now the Red Sox are starting to hit better and Clay Buchholz is pitching well. 

There are a lot of ? marks surrounding tonights game and to say it is your play of the year without any reasoning is a stretch.  The Orioles have done well against Boston this early season and I think that is why the line isn't even higher.  ie. -180 -200.

I mean no disrespect....and am only looking for a productive argument. 

Insightful comment...I could sit here and type all night to describe my system that essentially generated tonight's play on the boston red sox.  I dont think it would do any of us any good.  You still wouldnt understand 100%, nor would I expect anyone without sitting down and going through the numbers, etc.  I understand the arguement you are making...By no means do people need to follow this play, and I dont care if they dont...I understand why one would question me to follow this play since I dont have any more logic than the play comes from a system that is complicated.  Thanks for the comment.

GL

i feel really uneasy about REDSOX RL play now with all these discussions!