Bubba's $$$$ Thread MONDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 05.02.16

@NEWWMI THANKS FOR ANORHER WINNNERRR

2-2 now

@Newwmi thanks for another winner

Thanks bro ...appreciate it ... looking at anything else today ?

Newmi  

Newmi is awesome ! His soccer plays are always spot on! Thanks for the over and a good way to kick off the week

@ Newmi Dude you're something else man !! Thanks

Unfortunately Helsingborg couldn't get a consolation goal, but can't expect them all to hit at +210.

@Bnyce21...You are only allowed 4 $$$$s per week.  Your Cubs over made number 5.  Anything over that doesn't count and although I do keep track of everyone's $$$$s per week I ask that you keep track of your own as well.  Any $$$$ play past 4 should not be labeled as a $$$$.  If you go 4-0 in a week (Monday - Sunday) you earn a fifth Golden $$$$ to be used at any time (2 in a day or 5 in a week).  This can all be found in the first post of every daily thread.

Newmi! ... 

Afternoon Everyone:

I will probably bet this like a $$$$ play but because so many of you do not wager on Run Lines, I will not put this into action.  But I absolutely think Houston is in one of the best spots possible.  Yes, I know the middle of their order (H) is struggling, but these guys are too good not to hit.  And who comes to town but the Twinkies.  They are coming off a sweep by the tigers, their bullpen used quite a bit and a pitcher (Berrios) who is on a pitch count.  Altuve is smoking right now and I see DK throwing a gem.  Only hot hitter is Mauer and we get a L v L who is .200 lifetime vs DK.

Note to ALL Ranger backers (like me)  Yu Darvish pitched two scoreless innings and reached 98 on the gun.  Sorry AL west, the sheriff is on his way back and How Does a weekend series against Hamels and Darvish look with that lineup.  Oh yeah, Josh Hamilton rehabbing, Choo coming back and Giminez working his way back too.

Finally some notes on other games:

Final Card:  Based on no last minute lineup changes...

$$$$ Houston -1.5 (+115) vs Min $$$$$

Concerning A J
Philadelphia and Rangers first half
AJ on turf 11.2 innings 1.54 all at Toronto

Good luck everyone on this Monday. No $$$$$ play for me today.
My favorite play today is the Mets, Also like Giants a little. May tail on the Spurs and Astros.

I hope to play  Keuchel but not there yet. I believe this MInn pitcher is supposed to be very good. Minn 149 at bats vs
 Dallas to none vs him. May still play Dallas

Agree Mets

I won't consider this a $$$$ since technically, I am over -150 (-210/even) on the -1 line, and Pimpnation is all over it, but I really like this play even though we have the kiss-of-death prohibitive (81%) Covers favorite.  I am not going to lie, I certainly wish Houston was playing a little better, but 25% of their measly 8 wins were with Kuechel at home. 

This is just is a huge pitching mismatch in my opinion.   Kuechel has been way better at home than on the road and he is proving it again this year.  Two great games at home and 3 stinkers on the road.  MN has always had trouble hitting against lefties and this year is no exception (under .180).   You add Berrios on the other side, and this play seems too easy.  

Since I only like one other game in baseball (I also like SA and I like the over as well in that game), at least I can load up on it.  My other play is Hammel tonight. I realize Cole is a good pitcher on the other side, and he is 7-1 against the Cubs yada, yada, yada.  Like Zimmermann the other day, Hammel has a better ERA than Jake for christ's sake (How do you think the Oriole organization is feeling about getting rid of those two?). 

I am sticking with my Jake/Lester/against Lacky/Hammel/selective on Hendricks strategy for the time being.  The strategy is doing quite well for me.

Btw, unlike others on the thread, I pay zero attention to soccer, but anybody know someone who grabbed Leiceister at 5000-1?  That would have been a nice haul.

Again, really appreciate the thread.  I never tail blindly, but some of the additional analysis has certainly helped reinforce and press my picks and look at some sleepers from time to time as well.

GL!

Reload of our food stamp $$$$

today, I will be fading the cinn reds. 

sf got cueto on the mound.  What we know about cueto is that all of his starts, he pitches for at least 7 innings.  That is consistency to me.  What more striking is that he's a winning pitcher when he starts. 

4-1 in his hast 5 starts

What we know is that sf is a team that can beat teams who has a losing record.  I mean if you can not beat a team with a losing record then what does that make of you? 

On the flip sides, cinn is starting finnegan, a guy who does not pitch past the 7 inning mark.  It means that he gets into trouble early so they yanked him early. 

What is more interesting is this that cinn has a hard time beating pitchers who are good. 

cinn 6-21 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

cueto is returning home and is going to show off to his old pals what a mistake they have made for trading him.  Cinn is playing horrible as of late. 

Lost 3 games to 1 to the cubs
lost 3 games to the mets
Lost 2 games to 1 to the pirates

but this is a more interesting fact here.  The first game of a new series for cinn this year. 

Philly, the very first game they won
pitts they lost
cubs they lost
stl they lost
co they lost
cubs they lost
mets they lost
pitts they lost

sf ???

see a trend going here? 

cueto last time he starts was a game with the padres.  He got a shutout.   Score is a tad sad at 1-0 sf wins but still, a good pitching day his last time around. 

Looking for cueto to make a statement against his old team pals today.  I can talk about cueto  but I am not too sure about his run support.  I think sf will win but will they cover by 2 runs?  I dunno. 

I'm on sf -1 for money but for this game sake

SF -1.5 RL +110 for $$$$ 

Just wanted to make a shout out to bubba and the brothers on here for the recognition from last time around.  I wrote a big response but my freaking phone died out on me. 

I needed every one of you guys to post leans and games so that I may tail you guys to keep that bankroll afloat. 

Lets go make some money for this week. 

Today I'm jumping to the ice for my $$$$ play. Been doing well on NHL playoff O/U picks. Exception of having the Under in both preds/sharks game and both teams just having meltdowns in the final minutes.

Tonight the series shifts to Pittsburgh, the pens are red hot and have been playing the best hockey when it really counts. These two teams are 2 & 3 in the league in goals per game at approx. 3 each. I think we are going to see a bit of an adjustment from Washington tonight to increase the number of scoring chances. They played nearly an entire period in game 2 without registering a shot, I don't think that happens again today. Far too many weapons, and Ovi is due to light the lamp. I don't believe the goaltending and overall defense of the Penguins can contain the Caps. On the flip side, Brandon Holtby has had a remarkable season, one of the best in recent memory. The playoffs have always been a hill this caps team hasn't been able to conquer the past few years. Special teams will be big tonight, both power play units are deadly. I usually like playing unders in Caps playoff games, but both these teams are high energy with playmakers all over the ice. Think this one opens up a bit tonight in Pittsburgh, similar to the first game.

$$$$ play Washington/ Pittsburgh OVER 5 (-120)

Side play:
Laying the -150 for Texas Rangers TT over 4 against RA Dicky.

Best of luck whether you fade or follow.