Posted:
#51
Saturday, 6-24
G1: Rasmussen (OSU) vs Gilbert (LSU)Rasmussen is going to be high risk/high reward for the Beavers. He's just a year off Tommy John surgery and only pitched 22.1 IP this season in 7 apps, 4 were starts. His last start was against Yale in the regionals where he went four innings and gave up one run. OSU wants something similar and then they'll turn it over to their pen to do the rest. Gilbert worked more out of the pen with only four of his 27 appearances as starts. He's been great though with a 2.21 ERA and he's got all the pitches, a plus fastball and a variety of good off-speed stuff. He's mopped up for Poche in his subpar postseason starts before the CWS and kept LSU in a winning position every time.
Total is 8 on this game and that feels about right. I'd lean under there as both these pitchers could shut down the offenses much like we saw in the last game with Lange and Thompson. I tend to think the better play in this game is LSU +125. Oregon State hasn't lost much this year and now they're in an elimination game coming off their 1st loss in weeks.
G2: Faedo (FLA) vs Janczak (TCU)
A repeat of their CWS opener that Florida won 3-0. Total is set at 8.5 and I think you can thank TCU's output last night for that. I think that is at least a run, maybe a run and a half higher than what I would have expected. I'd be stunned if Janczak was as bad as he was in the first game when he walked five and only went four innings. Faedo could easily be as electric again and limit a TCU offense that despite yesterday's output has not been consistent, especially the top of the order. To me the best play is under 8.5
Good luck with whatever you play today.
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