Fridays MLB Tips

Pitt 1-5. Cincy 11-4. DeSclafani 6-2. F5ML 2-6-2. Garcia UND hm 15-3-2. Mia UND rd 7-1-1. Milw UND vs (R) 16-6-3. Ariz vs NLC 9-26.

SD off win 0-6. Pineda F5ML 2-13-3. Tamp UND 19-7-2. Minn GM1 off rd gm 3-12. Santana 5-15. Balt UND 20-2. Hou UND 33-15-1.

LAA vs div 4-11. Hernandez hm 11-3. Mets dog 23-52. Syndergaard OV 8-3. Det IL OV 12-2. Verlander IL hm 16-2.

Cubs rd 3-7. Oak OV vs (L)18-8-1. Oak hm 7-3. Oak IL hm 39-19, RL 27-18. Dod UND hm 38-16.

MLB Fri 'UNDER' pitchers: DeSclafani 2-5 O/U (Cin)... Verlander 7-14 O/U (Det)... Snell 3-6 o/U (TB)... Gallardo 5-8 O/U (Balt).

V.King

MLB Fri 'OVER' pitchers: Friedrich 10-4 O/U (SD)... De La Rosa 10-5 O/U (Col)... Tomlin 11-6 O/U (Clev)... Ch. Anderson 12-7 O/U (Milw).

Atlanta: 6-14 at St. Louis, and 12-27 vs right handers this season... Milwaukee: Anderson 6.91 ERA with 2.06 WHIP last 7 starts; and San Diego: 12-5 Fridays this season... Cleveland: 13-4 on Fridays, and Tomlin 8-2 with 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP away team starts this season... Texas 17-3 vs Houston.

Playbook

> Nationals: 12-4 last 16 games as a host in this series; and Gonzalez 3-0 with 0.47 ERA last three home team starts in this series. Giants: Samardzija 0-7 with 7.37 ERA last seven team starts during August; and 0-2 with 4.50 ERA career team starts. *Recommended play on Washington Nationals.

M.Lawrence

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Cin-Pitt: DeSclafani 7-3; Taillon 5-3
SF-Wsh: Samardzija 11-11 (0-3 last 3); Gonzalez 8-13
Atl-StL: De la Cruz 1-2; Garcia 10-11
Mia-Colo: Phelps 0-0; De la Rosa 7-8
Mil-Az: Anderson 8-12; Shipley 1-1
Phil-SD: Hellickson 12-10; Friedrich 7-7
Cle-NY: Tomlin 15-4; Pineda 10-11
Min-TB: Santana 5-15; Snell 3-6
Blt-Chi: Gallardo 8-5; Gonzalez 8-8
Tex-Hst: Perez 12-10; Keuchel 9-13
Tor-KC: Liriano 0-0/9-12; Gee 2-5
LAA-Sea: Lincecum 3-5; Hernandez 7-6
NYM-Det: Syndergaard 13-7; Verlander 13-9
Chi-A’s: Lester 15-6; Overton 2-2
Bos-LA: Wright 13-8; Kazmir 12-9

By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Cubs (4-0 last four, 7-1 last eight)

The best team in baseball is at again. Although the Cubs came out of the gate groggy and needed Aroldis Chapman to come fortify the bullpen rotation, all the pieces appear to be in pace to make a run at 100 wins. Currently, Chicago leads all of MLB with a record of 66-41, the only team among the 30 that can boast of a winning percentage of above .600. Three of their last four victories have been by a single run, so Joe Maddon and Co. are definitely getting used to excelling in tight games. The Cubs are in Oakland for a strange three-game series on the west coast before returning home for a nine-game homestand that they're hoping will help pull away the NL Central.

Coldest team: Diamondbacks (0-4 last four, 5-17 last 22)

Although he's Arizona's top pitching prospect by a long shot, the verdict remains out on 24-year-old Braden Shipley, which makes this one interesting. Shipley dominated in L.A. his last time out, holding the Dodgers to only five hits over six scoreless innings. He'll be making his first home start and has the D'Backs (-130) as a decided favorite against the Brewers, who counter with inconsistent righty Chase Anderson.

Hottest pitcher: Justin Verlander (11-6, 3.54 ERA)

There's no denying Verlander's resurgence at this point. Despite dummies wanting to scapegoat supermodel girlfriend Kate Upton due to all the time he spent with her, Verlander righted his own ship, fixing his mechanics and coming up with the right variety in his repertoire to reinvent himself. He's won nine of his last 11 decisions, but will be facing a monster in interleague play, as we'll relay below.

Coldest pitcher: Tim Lincecum (2-5, 8.49 ERA)

You would be hard-pressed to name anyone with tougher luck pitching-wise than the Angels, which explains the Lincecum reclamation project trotting back out there again. There's no question he can still bring it, but it's obvious he's lost most of his mental fortitude on the mound. Fade him while you can. Lincecum hasn't pitched longer than five innings in seven of his eight major-league starts tis season and has given up more than a single run every time out after a successful debut at Oakland. He has won one decision out of his last five and has surrendered a homer in every game this season besides that opener. Lincecum walked a season-high six batters in this last outing against Boston, which sets up Felix Hernandez and Seattle (-175) as a heavy favorite in his fourth start since coming off the disabled list following the All-Star break. He's 1-0 with two no-decisions since returning.

Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (20-2 last 22)

The Orioles' pitching has fallen in line. Credit whoever you want, be it manager Buck Showalter or veteran pitching coach Dave Wallace, guys are taking care of their responsibilities. Despite a 5-3 loss to the Rangers on Thursday, Baltimore continues an excellent run on the mound since guys are stepping up and the bullpen has been lights out. As things stand entering Friday, the Orioles hold first place in the AL East by percentage points.

Biggest OVER run: Twins (6-0 last six, 34-16-4 last 54)

The Twins have gone through multiple runs where they’ve gone cold, but over the last few months, they’ve been by far the most dependable ‘over’ team going. Part of it is an improved and attack, while a brutal bullpen could be to blame for what has transpired the rest of the time. Despite its offensive resurgence, Minnesota owns the worst record in the American League. They’re terrible anyway you slice it beyond engaging in slugfests. This matchup between them and Tampa Bay puts together two of the league's worst teams as they seek to properly finish out the string while improving.

Matchup to watch: Red Sox at Dodgers

These teams haven't played since 2013, so if nothing else, a lack of famiiarity makes this intriguing. Beyond all that, both teams are desperate, battling for wild cards in their respective leagues. Boston re-established control of the second AL wild card, but remains only one-half game ahead Detroit, which lost to the White Sox on Thursday. L.A. finally snapped its losing streak against surging Colorado, but remains two back in the NL West and just three up on Miami and St. Louis for the NL wild cards. With no definitive date set for Clayton Kershaw's return, the Dodgers have to capitalize on their opportunities at home. Talented veteran lefty Scott Kazmir will work against knuckle-baller Steven Wright in an excellent pitching matchup to get things started.

Betcha didn’t know: Noah Syndergaard has already beaten Cy Young Award winner Jake Arrieta this season, taking the Cubs down 2-1 on July 19 in the pitcher's duel everyone expected. In his first meeting against a Cy Young Award winner, he took down three-time recipient Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers 2-1. He hasn't faced Tim Lincecum or Roy Halladay, once the ace of the team that drafted him with the 38th pick of the 2010 draft, Toronto. He's lost to Madison Bumgarner this season (May 1), but the Giants ace doesn't have a Cy Young Award. Jake Peavy does, but the Mets' Norse horse hasn't faced him in the majors. He's never gone head-to-head with R.A. Dickey, who he was traded for. That makes him perfect against Cy Young winners, which comes to mind since he faces Justin Verlander tonight. He beat Max Scherzer, who won a Cy Young with the Tigers in 2013, on May 17, taking down the Nationals 2-0 while striking out 10 over seven shutout innings. He's never faced CC Sabathia, Johan Santana, The only Cy Young recipient he's ever faced who beat him was Zack Grienke, who won 5-2 for the Dodgers in Game 2 of last year's NLDS after Chase Utley's historic slide took out Ruben Tejada. So, yes, you're reading right. Going into tonight, Syndergaard is perfect in the regular season against Cy Young winners, expanding his myth.

Biggest public favorite: Red Sox (-140) at Mariners

Biggest public underdog: Rangers (+115) at Orioles

Biggest line move: Angels (-130 to -140) vs. Athletics

Great work as always. Much appreciated!!

CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 13 games at home
NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

NY METS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of NY Mets's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games at home

TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas

BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Toronto

MIAMI vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Colorado's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing at home against Miami

MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

CHI CUBS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chi Cubs's last 19 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

BOSTON vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Boston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Boston
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games

PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
Cincinnati: 3-14 SU in road games after having won 3 of their last 4
Pittsburgh: 75-49 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders

San Francisco at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
San Francisco: 25-13 SU against left-handed starters
Washington: 13-16 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10

Atlanta at St Louis, 8:15 PM ET
Atlanta: 14-42 SU in road games in the second half of the season
St Louis: 23-8 SU off a loss to a division rival as a favorite

Miami at Colorado, 8:40 PM ET
Miami: 6-12 SU as a road favorite of -110 or higher
Colorado: 27-21 SU after 2 straight games without giving up a stolen base

Milwaukee at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
Milwaukee: 27-18 SU when the money line is +125 to -125
Arizona: 21-41 SU after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

Philadelphia at San Diego, 10:40 PM ET
Philadelphia: 15-6 SU after a loss by 2 runs or less
San Diego: 5-15 SU after a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits

Cleveland at NY Yankees, 7:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 13-2 SU revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite
New York: 24-33 SU when the money line is +125 to -125

Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 7:10 PM ET
Minnesota: 9-3 SU in road games after 2 straight games without a stolen base
Tampa Bay: 26-40 SU in night games

Baltimore at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM ET
Baltimore: 31-14 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games
Chicago: 12-24 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals

Texas at Houston, 8:10 PM ET
Texas: 16-10 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Houston: 14-20 SU against left-handed starters

Toronto at Kansas City, 8:15 PM ET
Toronto: 0-7 SU in road games after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games
Kansas City: 32-19 SU in home games

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:10 PM ET
Los Angeles: 63-45 SU after 3 straight games without a stolen base
Seattle: 45-51 SU in home games in night games

NY Mets at Detroit, 7:10 PM ET
New York: 8-16 SU after allowing 1 run or less
Detroit: 27-15 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games

Chicago Cubs at Oakland, 10:05 PM ET
Chicago: 130-73 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
Oakland: 5-18 SU after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival

Boston at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
Boston: 9-3 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Los Angeles: 9-21 SU when the money line is +125 to -125

StatFox Super Situations

PHILADELPHIA at SAN DIEGO
Play Against - Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL 114-70 since 1997. ( 62.0% | 46.8 units ) 8-7 this year. ( 53.3% | 0.3 units )

MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games 95-64 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.7% | 42.9 units ) 17-15 this year. ( 53.1% | 3.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY
MINNESOTA is 22-14 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in Road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: MINNESOTA (5.5) , OPPONENT (4.1)

TEXAS at HOUSTON
TEXAS is 75-50 (+40.0 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was: TEXAS (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

ST LOUIS as Home Favorites 22 Win -22 Lost (RF) 4.7 - ( RA) 3.82 #Cardinals