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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Marvellous Monday Picks 07/07 ("So you mean if I bet these plays, I can buy a Lamborghini Diablo?")

    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
    celticsftw88
    gamblingsnob
    anj109
    barbs40
    EDDIEW
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    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    celticsftw88
    celticsftw88
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:50 PM ET #51

    you both have a point. here's a solution:

    lana: don't make a post in a thread promoting the opposite side of your bet, even if you do it to try and help people. people take things the wrong way and then come to your thread to bash you.

    lana haters: the guy has a good record, there's no reason to talk shit whenever he gets a few wrong since you can't really argue with success. the problem is that you will never get the same results as him unless you tail every one of his picks every single day over a period of time. when people that bet one or two of his games just so happen to be unlucky enough to have bet on the losing picks doesn't make it his fault. so don't bash him when you lose being an idiot and blindly tailing one of his picks without research because he really doesn't give a fuck since he was prolly up that day.
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    you both have a point. here's a solution:

    lana: don't make a post in a thread promoting the opposite side of your bet, even if you do it to try and help people. people take things the wrong way and then come to your thread to bash you.

    lana haters: the guy has a good record, there's no reason to talk shit whenever he gets a few wrong since you can't really argue with success. the problem is that you will never get the same results as him unless you tail every one of his picks every single day over a period of time. when people that bet one or two of his games just so happen to be unlucky enough to have bet on the losing picks doesn't make it his fault. so don't bash him when you lose being an idiot and blindly tailing one of his picks without research because he really doesn't give a fuck since he was prolly up that day.
     
    gamblingsnob
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:51 PM ET #52

    Lana - Good Luck tonight.

    Just a heads up.

    Matt Garza laying about 2:1 to ANY team is not a Rays or no play.

    You have to understand value, and Garza at 2:1 is not value.

    I was on KC, but this is not a rub in your face type of thing.

    I just dont understand calling Matt Garza against Gil Meche at 2:1 Garza or nothing.


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    Lana - Good Luck tonight.

    Just a heads up.

    Matt Garza laying about 2:1 to ANY team is not a Rays or no play.

    You have to understand value, and Garza at 2:1 is not value.

    I was on KC, but this is not a rub in your face type of thing.

    I just dont understand calling Matt Garza against Gil Meche at 2:1 Garza or nothing.


     
    anj109
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:53 PM ET #53

    Garza didn't lose that game.....clutch hitting did.... bases loaded, no outs, and no runs?? plenty of men left on in scoring position. Should never have gone into extra innings and should have been a 7-3 win by TB, just a poor hitting performance by their 2,3,4 hitters
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    Garza didn't lose that game.....clutch hitting did.... bases loaded, no outs, and no runs?? plenty of men left on in scoring position. Should never have gone into extra innings and should have been a 7-3 win by TB, just a poor hitting performance by their 2,3,4 hitters
     
    barbs40
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:56 PM ET #54

    Chris Cune, very good question and here is your answer. 

    He's betting 4 units now because he knows at his current 53% winning he'll never get to his "100 units" by the end of the year.  Lana's picks and gambling style do not work over the long haul.  Plain and simple.

    I'm new to covers but have been gambling for 12 years and making a good living at it for the past 7 so I've earned the right to come in this thread and speak my mind. 

    He's winning 53% of his games but is up 59 units?  He's going to have to bet over a 1000 games this season at his current pace.  That in itself is just ridiculous.

     

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    Chris Cune, very good question and here is your answer. 

    He's betting 4 units now because he knows at his current 53% winning he'll never get to his "100 units" by the end of the year.  Lana's picks and gambling style do not work over the long haul.  Plain and simple.

    I'm new to covers but have been gambling for 12 years and making a good living at it for the past 7 so I've earned the right to come in this thread and speak my mind. 

    He's winning 53% of his games but is up 59 units?  He's going to have to bet over a 1000 games this season at his current pace.  That in itself is just ridiculous.

     

     
    EDDIEW
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:57 PM ET #55

    Hutch I didn't know he went into another thread  ..Sorry  
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    Hutch I didn't know he went into another thread  ..Sorry  
     
    TheGooRoo
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:57 PM ET #56

    I'm not here to stir up trouble, but your post in the KC thread cannot go unnoticed:
     
    "It's not often that I come comment in other threads warning about a bet. Yours is usually the reaction that I get. Then after the game, I can't find any of you around because you are mad you didn't listen. I'm just trying to help. I never said you had to listen to me. Just know that I told you so."
     
    The arrogance of this post is simply off the charts.  Good luck chasing with Philly   
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    I'm not here to stir up trouble, but your post in the KC thread cannot go unnoticed:
     
    "It's not often that I come comment in other threads warning about a bet. Yours is usually the reaction that I get. Then after the game, I can't find any of you around because you are mad you didn't listen. I'm just trying to help. I never said you had to listen to me. Just know that I told you so."
     
    The arrogance of this post is simply off the charts.  Good luck chasing with Philly   
     
    gamblingsnob
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 4:58 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by DogLover39:

    you are such an arrogant fuck, you know that?

    you think youre the greatest thing since fuckin sliced bread

    i for one cant stand your tout-ish threads on the daily and hope you somehow vanish

    you piss off and leave hutch alone, the man knows the handicapping game way better then your ass does but the difference is he's not full of himself and a cocksucker like you.

    hutch



    decaf, homeboy


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    Quote Originally Posted by DogLover39:

    you are such an arrogant fuck, you know that?

    you think youre the greatest thing since fuckin sliced bread

    i for one cant stand your tout-ish threads on the daily and hope you somehow vanish

    you piss off and leave hutch alone, the man knows the handicapping game way better then your ass does but the difference is he's not full of himself and a cocksucker like you.

    hutch



    decaf, homeboy


     
    KburtonD
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:06 PM ET #58

    ....dude ur just a dogloving asshole.....
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    ....dude ur just a dogloving asshole.....
     
    sfbay66
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:08 PM ET #59

    he's up 59 units, well 55,  so what difference does it make if he plays dogs or not, or makes 1000 plays in a season. he's winning money
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    he's up 59 units, well 55,  so what difference does it make if he plays dogs or not, or makes 1000 plays in a season. he's winning money
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:08 PM ET #60

    Hutch -- Get out of here. I don't need your backhanded compliments. My record speaks for itself and all of those wins are based on similar premises as the one you have already heard me talk about. Where are your picks? It's amazing how I do a service at a success rate that not even 1% of others could do and yet I am still wrong. Why don't I see you the 1,000 times I am right about games?
    ________
     
    First of all, I didn't give you compliment....backhanded or otherwise.  I wished you success with your wagers and I mean that sincerely (and you'd know this is true if you've read any of my posts....I've gone at it tooth and nail numberous times with Helmut, but I still hope he wins money.....nothing is more important then that in my opinion).
     
    Secondly, I've never once criticized your picks.  Not once.  I dis-agreed with you on a line....ONE time.  And I disagreed with a line that you made something like -270 when it was a posted -170.  Are you really going to sit there and tell me that I signal you out for abuse because of this ONE instance?    And are you really going to hang your hat (as far as me being on your $hit all the time) on your contention that a line was $1.00+ off at the books? 
     
    Third.  I've never ONCE come into your threads and made fun of you after a loss, why would I come in here and suck your weiner after a win? 
     
    Lastly, let me remind you that the only reason I posted in your thread was in response to EDDIE......who somehow thinks that you are the golden child and that anyone who disagrees is an asshole.  My only point was to show him that you're not exactly a bucket of roses when you post in other peoples' threads either.  
     
    As for my picks, I post occassionally in the penalty box nation thread.  Certainly not every day.  
     
    I've never given you a hard time about posting your picks...why do you feel you need to give me a hard time about posting mine?
     
    If we're going to have a discussion, let's limit it to the subject at hand.  There is no need to go after me for only coming into your threads when you lose (that's not true and not why I posted in it today), there is no reason to accuse me of making a back-handed compliment (I never even made a compliment at all), there is no reason to get in a pissing contest over posting picks (I've never given anyone....especially you) a hard time about posting or not posting, and there is no reason to accuse me of coming in here and telling you that you are wrong (something I never did....read the post again).
     
    But I do appreciate your willingness to completely change the subject.  If you do it often enough, people sometimes don't even catch it.   
     
     
     
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    Hutch -- Get out of here. I don't need your backhanded compliments. My record speaks for itself and all of those wins are based on similar premises as the one you have already heard me talk about. Where are your picks? It's amazing how I do a service at a success rate that not even 1% of others could do and yet I am still wrong. Why don't I see you the 1,000 times I am right about games?
    ________
     
    First of all, I didn't give you compliment....backhanded or otherwise.  I wished you success with your wagers and I mean that sincerely (and you'd know this is true if you've read any of my posts....I've gone at it tooth and nail numberous times with Helmut, but I still hope he wins money.....nothing is more important then that in my opinion).
     
    Secondly, I've never once criticized your picks.  Not once.  I dis-agreed with you on a line....ONE time.  And I disagreed with a line that you made something like -270 when it was a posted -170.  Are you really going to sit there and tell me that I signal you out for abuse because of this ONE instance?    And are you really going to hang your hat (as far as me being on your $hit all the time) on your contention that a line was $1.00+ off at the books? 
     
    Third.  I've never ONCE come into your threads and made fun of you after a loss, why would I come in here and suck your weiner after a win? 
     
    Lastly, let me remind you that the only reason I posted in your thread was in response to EDDIE......who somehow thinks that you are the golden child and that anyone who disagrees is an asshole.  My only point was to show him that you're not exactly a bucket of roses when you post in other peoples' threads either.  
     
    As for my picks, I post occassionally in the penalty box nation thread.  Certainly not every day.  
     
    I've never given you a hard time about posting your picks...why do you feel you need to give me a hard time about posting mine?
     
    If we're going to have a discussion, let's limit it to the subject at hand.  There is no need to go after me for only coming into your threads when you lose (that's not true and not why I posted in it today), there is no reason to accuse me of making a back-handed compliment (I never even made a compliment at all), there is no reason to get in a pissing contest over posting picks (I've never given anyone....especially you) a hard time about posting or not posting, and there is no reason to accuse me of coming in here and telling you that you are wrong (something I never did....read the post again).
     
    But I do appreciate your willingness to completely change the subject.  If you do it often enough, people sometimes don't even catch it.   
     
     
     
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:11 PM ET #61

    EDDIE-

    Fair 'nuff.  All I ask is that people understand the whole story before they start throwing around accusations.  I'm just sorry lanny didn't understand my intentions.  I hope I explained them well enough so we can all move on.

    I won't clutter this thread anymore. 

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    EDDIE-

    Fair 'nuff.  All I ask is that people understand the whole story before they start throwing around accusations.  I'm just sorry lanny didn't understand my intentions.  I hope I explained them well enough so we can all move on.

    I won't clutter this thread anymore. 

     
    KburtonD
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:11 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by sfbay66:

    he's up 59 units, well 55,  so what difference does it make if he plays dogs or not, or makes 1000 plays in a season. he's winning money

    Well said sir...well said

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    Quote Originally Posted by sfbay66:

    he's up 59 units, well 55,  so what difference does it make if he plays dogs or not, or makes 1000 plays in a season. he's winning money

    Well said sir...well said

     
    str8_chaser
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:12 PM ET #63

    this is getting ridiculous. 
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    this is getting ridiculous. 
     
    sims_key
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:15 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

    Fair 'nuff.  All I ask is that people understand the whole story before they start throwing around accusations.  I'm just sorry lanny didn't understand my intentions.  I hope I explained them well enough so we can all move on.

    I won't clutter this thread anymore. 

     

    hutch - good luck on getting him to understand your intentions.  i know what you mean bro.  been there, done that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

    Fair 'nuff.  All I ask is that people understand the whole story before they start throwing around accusations.  I'm just sorry lanny didn't understand my intentions.  I hope I explained them well enough so we can all move on.

    I won't clutter this thread anymore. 

     

    hutch - good luck on getting him to understand your intentions.  i know what you mean bro.  been there, done that.

     
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:17 PM ET #65

    Hey Lanny.  I had wanted to post something like this before, but never got around to it.  I think your system (whatever it may be) is really good at identifying line-up mis-matches, or line values, or whatever you want to call them; and, I suspect that over time it will do (and has done) very well.  I have noticed, however, that it appears to be completely detached from the stuff that typically makes baseball profitable for me every year - namely leveraging what has gone before either to make plays or get off of them.  Today was a great example.  You've got a 4-unit play on a team that is looking to finish up a 4-game sweep, and a 7-0 homestand.  That's just not a place I'm dying to be, especially when I've got to pay -180 (or a near-even-money RL) to -get it. 
     
    When I was tailing relentlessly before inter-league kneed me in the groin (again), I was actually out-perorming your system by laying off games like this where I just didn't like the situation. You may find that, over time, you do better playing all that fit then trying to pick and choose like I did; but, if nothing else, you may want to take a second look at spot where the odds you have to pay are out of whack with the true odds of the event (four-game sweep; perfect homestand) occurring.  Just a thought.  I'll be back on board tonight, if I can get home before the 7-o-clock starts. 
     
    Glad to hear you survived the Warped tour fiasco.  I think it's here in a few weeks.  I'm not much of an outdoor music guy, though. 
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    Hey Lanny.  I had wanted to post something like this before, but never got around to it.  I think your system (whatever it may be) is really good at identifying line-up mis-matches, or line values, or whatever you want to call them; and, I suspect that over time it will do (and has done) very well.  I have noticed, however, that it appears to be completely detached from the stuff that typically makes baseball profitable for me every year - namely leveraging what has gone before either to make plays or get off of them.  Today was a great example.  You've got a 4-unit play on a team that is looking to finish up a 4-game sweep, and a 7-0 homestand.  That's just not a place I'm dying to be, especially when I've got to pay -180 (or a near-even-money RL) to -get it. 
     
    When I was tailing relentlessly before inter-league kneed me in the groin (again), I was actually out-perorming your system by laying off games like this where I just didn't like the situation. You may find that, over time, you do better playing all that fit then trying to pick and choose like I did; but, if nothing else, you may want to take a second look at spot where the odds you have to pay are out of whack with the true odds of the event (four-game sweep; perfect homestand) occurring.  Just a thought.  I'll be back on board tonight, if I can get home before the 7-o-clock starts. 
     
    Glad to hear you survived the Warped tour fiasco.  I think it's here in a few weeks.  I'm not much of an outdoor music guy, though. 
     
    Consilience
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:19 PM ET #66

    "Spitfire -- Well, if I take them seriously, then I would lose my mind, so I have to take them in stride. "

    Keep your cool Lan, set the right example brotha. Much respect goin' your way for all you do

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    "Spitfire -- Well, if I take them seriously, then I would lose my mind, so I have to take them in stride. "

    Keep your cool Lan, set the right example brotha. Much respect goin' your way for all you do

     
    abaum87
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 5:51 PM ET #67

    good luck tonight Lanny,

    appreciate the picks and thanks for the  , seriously been collecting some cash this season,  

    BOL

     

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    good luck tonight Lanny,

    appreciate the picks and thanks for the  , seriously been collecting some cash this season,  

    BOL

     

     
    Spitfire15
    Spitfire15
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:08 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by str8_chaser:

    this is getting ridiculous. 


    Amen.
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    Quote Originally Posted by str8_chaser:

    this is getting ridiculous. 


    Amen.
     
    DRocNJ
    DRocNJ
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:16 PM ET #69

     Good Luck tonight amigo
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     Good Luck tonight amigo
     
    Pimpdaddy55
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:26 PM ET #70

    Good luck they are only jeolous there not you  
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    Good luck they are only jeolous there not you  
     
    bigksolo74
    bigksolo74
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:31 PM ET #71

    Are you sure your not related to GameHunter or Matrixx for that matter??
     
    You are beginning to make me wonder....
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    Are you sure your not related to GameHunter or Matrixx for that matter??
     
    You are beginning to make me wonder....
     
    lanastasis
    lanastasis
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:41 PM ET #72

    * Hou/Pit O 9.5 -116         2.32 UNITS



    ~ Today's card ~

    * Tampa -1.5 +125               4 UNITS
    * Philly -129                         5.16 UNITS
    * Hou/Pit O 9.5 -116            2.32 UNITS
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    * Hou/Pit O 9.5 -116         2.32 UNITS



    ~ Today's card ~

    * Tampa -1.5 +125               4 UNITS
    * Philly -129                         5.16 UNITS
    * Hou/Pit O 9.5 -116            2.32 UNITS
     
    nygiants17
    nygiants17
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:45 PM ET #73

    i hope u didnt go big on philly tonight.
    mets win 6-4
    pedro gets it done
    besides who has confidence in adam eaton anyway
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    i hope u didnt go big on philly tonight.
    mets win 6-4
    pedro gets it done
    besides who has confidence in adam eaton anyway
     
    lanastasis
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:46 PM ET #74

    Hutch -- This bickering is pointless. I'm good for a peace pipe, if you are.

    MaineRoad -- Thanks for the heads up. Well, all I can say is to do what's best for you. You're not the only one who has selectively chosen my plays and done very well. If you can do that, more power to you. I try not to let any psychology get into my picks though (getaway day, losing/winning streak, post blowout game). I would be willing to bet that all of this stuff will even out over time. I also only cap on proven results and it would be sort of hard to go through my previous games and factor for these things to see how I would do. I will keep doing my thing but good luck if you try to tweak it.
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    Hutch -- This bickering is pointless. I'm good for a peace pipe, if you are.

    MaineRoad -- Thanks for the heads up. Well, all I can say is to do what's best for you. You're not the only one who has selectively chosen my plays and done very well. If you can do that, more power to you. I try not to let any psychology get into my picks though (getaway day, losing/winning streak, post blowout game). I would be willing to bet that all of this stuff will even out over time. I also only cap on proven results and it would be sort of hard to go through my previous games and factor for these things to see how I would do. I will keep doing my thing but good luck if you try to tweak it.
     
     
    bluecrew08
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2008 - 6:46 PM ET #75

    hey lanny, keep doing what u doing, and to the posers stop hating u wish u had lan's record, nuff said
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    hey lanny, keep doing what u doing, and to the posers stop hating u wish u had lan's record, nuff said
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