Marvellous Monday Picks 08/11

ChilitoKid:  Good post  I agree but it's hard to figure out which game has the most value.  I play a handful of games a day but bet differently I seem to get more unlucky than lucky but I believe there will be a big run of good beats coming. To make money in Sports it's tough but like Blackjack gotta win your double downs and splits.  Gotta win your big bets especially on +value bets. 

GL lans. been following your posts, and although I don't agree with all of them, when I'm unsure of a game, I look to see if you played it. if you did, i tail you. More often than not, it wins. keep up the good capping...

There are more people in your corner than you think...

With you on both of these, GL! 

GL on them with you buddy so far are you on Houston?

hard hit on the mets game...looks like your gonna be 2 out of 3 tonight!

Fish

 

Lanastasis,

Just look @ how many units you are up...there are many people here on covers that will never be winning @ sports betting...just be thankful that you can still make a profit doing this.

 

F#$k all the haters out there...just ignore them...you have been doing okay.

 

BOL today

GL Lany I like Florida too

Go get 'em today slugger. 

Thanks buddy I am going on the Over for the Houston game and Houston pray for me. 

Lana, did you see two sox game O/U goes from 8.5 to 9.5?

and Yank/Min also 9.5 to 10.5... what do you think lof late line move? Do you think good idea to jump in all Over to both games??

lan..anybody who tells you that the amount of games you play each nite doesnt matter either hasnt been gambling very long or are losing alot.. if you read any book on sports betting one of the 1st thing they will tell you is limit the  number of plays.. ESPECIALLY if you find yourself in a bit of a slump..EVERY game has some positive as well as some negatives on both sides  obviously the more positives the bigger the favorite .. i noticed viewing your picks you are willing to sometimes lay 2-1  for multiple units.. if you lay 2-1  for 2.5 units and lose you then have to win 5 games at even odds just to beak even..yes they seem real easy at first but suppose you bet the  mets today and pedro leaves game leading 4-1.. looks good until bullpen implodes and kills your bet..suppose you bet a monster pitcher against a relative schmo  and the schmo pitches well enough to  keep the game close.. you are then betting 2-1 against  the bullpen  rather than the monster  pitcher.. thats not what the line is based on   and i doubt if its that much of a factor in handicappind.. i realize it plays some factor but most of the time you are playing on the starters..if you take out webb and lee  the next best pitchers all have anywhere from 5 to 8 loses..most handicapping books  will tell you to limit your favorites to no more than 7 1/2 favs  (thats $1.50.. any more than that and the math will kill you.. they actually have stats that show you if you play all favs at x price  then you have to win x percentage of plays.. obviuosly the higher the fav the higher win percentage.. if you factor in playing 10 games a nite  and you would have to have tomorrows paper to show a profit.. if you find your self  in a slump  the WORST thing you can do is come out firing  with a full card.. its very evident you have talent at picking games  and you're 11-0 proves that out but you need to rethink your money management  and your amount of games.. some one who plays 10     = games a nite usually is an indication that his self confidence is not quite as high as he might think people who do this for a living play very few games each nite and even pass on nites that everything  doesnt click exactly..if your doing this just for fun then what you are doing is fine but if you are serious about it then what i am telling you is spot on.. sorry to go on and on and im not criticizing you just passing on imformation given to me 20 years ago.. and its still true..it may take a while to figure out how to elininate plays but if you put a cap on the odds and springled in a few live dogs you will be surprised how much better you will do.. yes you will throw away a few winners  but if that 2-1 fav goes down you saves 2 free plays for tomorrow.. BEST OF LUCK