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MLB - Monday 4/19 - 11:05am EST start

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
the Sox game scares me
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Hendog:

 come again


If the Red Sox win by 1, I win 0.75 on the moneyline and lose 0.75 on the runline and breakeven.

If the Red Sox win by more than 1.5 runs, I win 0.75 +0.75 (128) = 171.

If the Red Sox lose outright, I lose 0.75 (170) = 127.5 on the money line and 0.75 on the run line - 2.205 units

So I'm risking 1.71 units to win 2.025 units which in essence means I am risking 1.71 units (-118.42)
 
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Posted: #28
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by acesfullmike:

but how do you rationalize the math in order for these 2 correlated plays to make you money over the long run

seems like these are more of "general public" hunch plays bc they are the mighty Red Sox and wont get swept by the Devil Rays

I usually understand all your plays but this one makes no sense to me - what am i missing?



All I can say is I'm not high on Niemann and am high on Lackey. The dynamics of the 1105am Patriot Day start and the focus the Red Sox will give after losing the first three games is more than enough for me to justify laying 1 run -118. Sorry of you disagree.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:



If the Red Sox win by 1, I win 0.75 on the moneyline and lose 0.75 on the runline and breakeven.

If the Red Sox win by more than 1.5 runs, I win 0.75 +0.75 (128) = 171.

If the Red Sox lose outright, I lose 0.75 (170) = 127.5 on the money line and 0.75 on the run line - 2.205 units

So I'm risking 1.71 units to win 2.025 units which in essence means I am risking 1.71 units (-118.42)


Should read I am risking 2.025 units to win 1.71 units which means I'm laying -118.42.
 
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Posted: #31
Good Luck today, GH.  I decided to hedge half unit on Bos RL and TB ML and see where that goes.


 
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Posted: #32
Game...I don't have a read on this game but the sox are not as strong this year.  Their offense lost alot.  Papa is off roids out and done.  V-Mar is not a winner.(he is a stat player which is counter sox culture)  Pedoria is a winner but not as good as people think....This team is going to have to pitch to win and dunno if mentally they are ready to accept that after for years outscoring teams....That said I dunno what happens today, but I would seriously consider laying off the sox for awhile....especially cause the manager is going to be swithcing around the line-up eventually and that usually pisses everyone off, lowering production...

2 cents
 
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Posted: #33
I like it GH, I just took it on the -1 becasue i can use Pinny. I gotta think the Sox come to play more focused on Patriot Day
 
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Posted: #34
let's go LACKEY!!!



 
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Posted: #35
Game, what you think of Tigers, Royals, and Giants?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #36
Red Sox playing like dog crap. I see them winning, but not gonna take the chance on this game.   
 
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Posted: #37

Rays are hitting Lackey all over the place

Un

 
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Posted: #38

BOL today Game.

 
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Posted: #39
The good news is Angel Campos is on your side.
 
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Posted: #40
rotfin u
 
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Posted: #41
I don't post much, but all this juvenile nonsense in these threads is getting way out of hand.

If you don't like GH's plays, fine! Nobody's asking you to! Make up your own mind and make your own bets, but all the middle school age idiocy is not needed.

Maybe they need to enforce an age restriction on this site, because 12-year-olds like Rotfin are unneeded and add absolutely nothing to what could really be, and has been in the past, a wonderful place to share thoughts and ideas, and make informed decisions.

Best of luck GH! You're one of the few upstanding guys on this site, and I appreciate your input!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by fastpitchdad:

rotfin u


just ignore this loser fastpitchdad, everyone should just ignore him, don't respond to haters
 
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Posted: #43
Good Luck Hunter with the rest of your card.
 
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Posted: #44
GL
 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by Gennaro53:

Good Luck Hunter with the rest of your card.

 
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Posted: #46
shocked to see you on the sox today, they have no businees laying 170 to a team that just beat them 3 games in a row. anyway BOL with the late games.  
 
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Posted: #47
Seems like an action play more than anything, never have I seen Game play juice over -150 for the time I've been here and my time of lurking.
 
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Posted: #48

GameHunter -

Do you have any way to moderate this thread to eliminate the posts from the negative nellies and haters?

These people have nothing constructive to add and seem to want a forum to conduct a low-risk (for them) pissing contest with you.

If I were you I would not respond to them at all (Rotfin, mainly).

I am not referring to people who need the long explanation regarding creating a -1RL by making 2 matched bets. Everyone's Math skills aren't the same, so no problem there.

Don't even give them the benefit of a response other than maybe their name with this .

I would even suggest supporters of yours to answer the crybabies this way instead of your having to.

Let's move on and keep up the good work. What I have learned from you would have been worth paying several "Petrocellis" instead of the ones we are ahead. Call it Gambling Tuition but with a full sholarship.

Just my 2 cents.

 

 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by depressed:

Seems like an action play more than anything, never have I seen Game play juice over -150 for the time I've been here and my time of lurking.

He did play a  couple of runlines in the last few days, so this -1 is actually not the his first juicy play this year, as rare as they may be.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by depressed:

Seems like an action play more than anything, never have I seen Game play juice over -150 for the time I've been here and my time of lurking.

You are retarded.
How is playing a -1 RL -118 a juicy play.
Enlighten me.
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