MLB Chase Series #13 and #14

there might be some days where I dont post on here but my sheet will always be updated 

Series 13

Series 13

G2 New York Yankees (V. Nuno) (+108)

Anyone know where semp and shady are?

Seattle ML

This is a tough scheduling situation for the Yankees. New York finished a three-game sweep of the Royals in Kansas City and then had to travel to Cleveland yesterday for a doubleheader and now are back home to face the Mariners. The Yankees have won six of seven games and not only is the travel situation an issue but they face off against one of the best starters in the league. C.C. Sabathia takes the hill and he is again having a fine season with a 3.23 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through eight starts. He has allowed three runs or less in three straight starts and he faces a Mariners team he has dominated over the years but he has not squared off against Felix Hernandez though. Seattle has won three of its last four games and six of nine so it has been playing pretty well to get to just two games under .500. Hernandez is again having a dominant season as he is 5-2 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in eight starts. He has actually been more effective on the road than at home as he has a 1.25 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in five starts while going 4-1 in the process. Speaking of the road, Yankee Stadium has been a great place for him as he is 4-1 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in five starts. The Yankees are 7-15 in their last 22 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Orioles ML

The Baltimore Orioles get the nod Tuesday as a home favorite over the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of this interleague series. For a second straight season, the Orioles have proven to be underrated, going 23-15 to this point.

Baltimore has one of the best pitching staffs in the league. A big part of that is tonight’s starter, Chris Tillman. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.76 ERA in seven starts this year, including 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three.

Andrew Cashner has been solid at home for San Diego (16-21), but it has been another story on the road. Cashner is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.625 WHIP through two road starts in 2013.

San Diego is 22-53 (-23.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. The Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games. Baltimore is 23-6 in its last 29 games following an off day. The Orioles are 4-0 in Tillman’s last 4 starts overall. Bet Baltimore Tuesday.

Tues plays. Big card for me. Really need to stop these lol

One play for now will play more in a bit

Bad day 0-2 yesterday.

Texas ML

Daniel Straily is likely to be sent down to the minors when Brett Anderson probably gets activated from the DL some time this week. I don't want to miss the chance to fade Straily one last time. The rookie has a 7.06 ERA and is off a bad start at Seattle this past Friday when he was battered for six runs in five innings. And that was on the road. Straily is 0-1 with an 8.84 in his last four home starts. The A's are not playing well losing seven of their last nine. Their best offensive player, Yoenis Cespedes, is in a 2-for-26 slump as he battles the flu.

I see you did pretty well yesterday king!

Royals ML

The Royals are two games over .500 while the Halos are nine games under and now the league’s worst pitcher is favored for the team that is nine games under? Say what? Barry Enright is the best option the Angels have in a poor group of potential call-ups. Enright won over Aaron Heilman and Armando Gallarraga not because he was pitching well, but because the other two were pitching so poorly. As a result, Enright got the promotion and a break when his call-up coincided with a game in Chicago against the light hitting White Sox. All Enright did was walk five batters in 3.1 innings and was yanked after allowing five runs. Enright had a 3.91 ERA in 99 innings for Arizona in 2010 and that was his last season in the majors that he threw any significant amount of innings. The past two seasons in the majors were both short-lived as Enright threw a combined 40 innings over that span and posted a 7.41 ERA and 14.73 ERA respectively. We’re not even sure why this guy is still around. He has the worst set of skills we’ve ever seen. Enright’s MLB profile over 146 career innings reads as follows: a 26% groundball rate, a 29% line-drive rate and a 45% fly-ball rate. He also has a low strikeout rate (76 K’s in 146 IP) and a high walk total (50 BB in 146 IP). Enright is a disaster waiting to happen. That moderate success he had in Arizona three years ago was a complete mirage and he’s been dealing batting practice ever since. This is not major league material, instead it’s prime fade material and the fact that he’s favored over anyone is ludicrous.

Wade Davis is a risk too. He’s been bouncing around between the starter’s role and the bullpen for years. He’s always had decent skills but he has not been able to sustain any consistency whatsoever. However, he still has 28 K’s in 35 innings this year and has been hurt by an unlucky 71% strand rate. Even more interesting is that the total in this game is 8½ and that strongly suggests one of these pitchers is likely to throw a decent game. The chances of Enright throwing a good game are about the same as Manti Te'o’s girlfriend showing up at his NFL debut. This is a pure fade on Enright.

I did so so. Had two pushes lol ;). Anyways playing the rangers again since it ended with a push

Since my G1 yanks resulted in a push im not playing anymore in the series. And wow i didnt relize that the giants and baltimore were only playing a 2 game series. Loss for Balt 

St Louis -1.5

The New York Mets have dropped the first three of this four game series to fall to 14-23 on the year and 5-11 on the road. Meanwhile the St Louis Cardinals are one of the best teams in baseball right now at 26-13 and 12-6 at home. They've scored 20 runs in their three games with the Mets so far (compared to the Mets with 9 runs) and have a good chance at a handful more this afternoon. New York sends Jon Niese to the mound who is 2-4 on the year with a 5.93 ERA, .301 OBA and 1.76 WHIP. Over his last two starts he has gone just 8.1 innings combined allowing 15 hits and 15 earned runs against. He walked 9 in those two starts and struck out just 4. On the road he is 1-2 with a 8.40 ERA this season. Going for St Louis will be Adam Wainwright who took a no hitter into the eighth in his last start, but ended up giving up 2 hits and 0 earned runs in a complete game shutout. Wainwright improves to 5-2 on the season with a 2.30 ERA, .245 OBA and 0.99 WHIP. His numbers are m icroscopic at home where he is 2-1 with a 0.72 ERA, .131 OBA and 0.56 WHIP over three starts. The Mets are 0-5 in Niese's last 5 starts, while the Cardinals are 6-1 in Wainwright's last 7 starts. St Louis is also 10-3 in Wainwright's last 13 home starts, 44-19 in their last 63 home games, and 6-1 in their last 7 vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Cardinals have won 29 of their last 40 meetings with New York in St Louis and I look for that to continue this afternoon. Take the Cardinals on the -1.5 run line.

Yankees -1.5

Starting a 10 unit chase of Detroit vs Texas today...BOL

Ottawa ML

Game 1 saw the Senators outshoot Pittsburgh 36-30, but the Penguins won 4-1. The score isn't much of an indication of how close this series should end up being in my opinion. If you can remember in the first series the Penguins won the first game 5-0 but sat back ant dropped the second 4-3 to the Islanders at home. Ottawa was 2-1 on the road in Round 1 and I wouldn't be surprised to see another win here. Craig Anderson has been great for the most part of this year and these playoffs, but had an off game in Game 1 letting in 4 goals (although they weren't bad goals). He has the ability to steal a game, and tonight could be the night for that. I wanted to watch the first game of the series before pulling the trigger on Ottawa, and I think now is the time given the big +180 price tag. Take the Senators as big underdogs to win outright.

KC Royals ML

The Royals are 20-17 and just a game behind the Tigers but unlike previous years when a decent start for the Royals meant little, this season is different. The Royals are a legit contender. Amazingly, they’ve had this good start while most of their top young hitters have struggled. Third baseman Mike Moustakas is hitting just .194. Both first baseman Eric Hosmer and catcher Salvador Perez have hit just one jack each. Designated hitter Billy Butler, a career .299 hitter, is batting an uncharacteristic .262. Once that quartet gets going, and they’ve already started to pick it up, the Royals will own the majors most potent offense, if they don’t already.  The Royals are third in the league in team batting average behind San Fran and Detroit and will face a struggling Jarrod Parker here. Parker has struggled to repeat the rookie success he had last year and that’s no surprise, as the book on him is out. He comes into this start with a 6.86 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP after walking 22 batters and surrendering 53 hits in 40.2 innings of work. Parker is not THIS bad, but he’s not very good either. With Brett Anderson once again on the DL, the A's can't afford to send Parker down to work out the kinks and we get the benefit of that by fading this righty, who is not very confident right now. Then there’s James Shields. Shields’ has been one of the most consistent starters in baseball with consistently strong skills every year since 2010. This year has been no different as Shields enters this matchup with a 53 K’s and 14 walks in 58 frames, a 2.48 ERA a 3.22 xERA, and a 0.97 WHIP. He's thrown seven pure quality starts in eight starts this season so we can expect solid numbers at O.co Coliseum (-31% LHB HR, -12% RHB HR). A pitching mismatch, a hitting mismatch and a cheap price. Bet KC ML.

Yankees ML

Off back-to-back losses, I look for the New York Yankees (25-16) to bounce back with a blowout victory tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays (17-24). Given the edge they have on the mound in this one, that shouldn't be a problem. Hiroki Kuroda continues to be one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. The right-hander has gone 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.046 WHIP through eight starts in 2013. Kuroda is 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in five career starts against Toronto as well.

This play is as much of a fade against Mark Buehrle as anything. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.479 WHIP through eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four road starts. Buehrle is also 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.613 WHIP in 14 career starts against New York. The Blue Jays are 16-43 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Yankees are 40-18 in their last 58 home games vs. a left-handed starter. New York is 15-1 in Kuroda's last 16 starts when working on 4 days of rest. Bet the Yankees Friday.

Red Sox ML

We just used the fact that Scott Diamond was 0-7 in his career at home withen the line is within 20 cents of pickem last Sunday.  Now he is 0-8 in his career as the Twins were shutout 6-0.  Here it is active again and we'll play against Diamond again.  The SDQL for this trend is:

starter=Scott Diamond and H and -120<=line<=120

As a team, Minnesota is 0-14 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and 5-23 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they used at least five pitchers.

Boston is a very reliable 31-11 as a road favorite when they are off a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off their opponents starter and a relentless 35-15 as a road favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series.

Finally, the Boston Red Sox have the highest win percentage in the league on the road after a one-run win and it is not the last game of a series, going 28-14.  Boston should not give yesterday's win back.

Cleveland ML

The beat goes on for the Indians, who continue to find different ways to win every night. On Friday, it was a 3-run homer by Jason Kipnis in the 10th inning that pushed the Tribe to a 63 win over Seattle. Cleveland has now won 15 of 20 overall and 10 of 12 at home and will like its chances on Saturday behind starter Zach McAllister, who is 2-0 with a 2.74 ERA in his last three starts. meanwhile, the Mariners' Joe Saunders, while pitching effectively at Safeco Field, has been drilled on the road, where his ERA is a sky-high 12.54 (ouch!) in four starts!

4 team ML Parlay (Red Sox, Cardinals, Indians, Pirates). Pays approx 6-1

San Jose Sharks ML

The Sharks look to bounce back from their losses in the first two games of the series and take advantage of a Kings team that is 1-8 in its last 9 road games. San Jose is a very good home team and this is a must-win spot for them. May chase one more game if they lose.