- Teams who threw a no-hitter at home (Chicago White Sox) against this opponent last game are 8-0 SU since 2013.
The NY Yankees come into tonight’s contest with a Dunkel road rating of 17.604. NY is 7-2 in its last 9 interleague games as an underdog. The Atlanta Braves come in with a Dunkel home rating of 16.318. Atlanta is 8-19 in its last 27 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record. Dunkel has the score total set at 10.395. The Yankees have gone over in 5 of their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. Dunkel’s Pick: NY Yankees (+100; Over).
The NY Yankees come into tonight’s contest with a Dunkel road rating of 17.604. NY is 7-2 in its last 9 interleague games as an underdog. The Atlanta Braves come in with a Dunkel home rating of 16.318. Atlanta is 8-19 in its last 27 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record. Dunkel has the score total set at 10.395. The Yankees have gone over in 5 of their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. Dunkel’s Pick: NY Yankees (+100; Over).
Play Against
All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES)
poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
57-47 over the last 5 seasons.
54.8% (31.5 units)
Play Against
All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES)
poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
57-47 over the last 5 seasons.
54.8% (31.5 units)
Play On
Road teams (CINCINNATI)
ice cold hitting team - batting .165 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games
69-45 over the last 5 seasons.
60.5% (35.2 units)
Play On
Road teams (CINCINNATI)
ice cold hitting team - batting .165 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games
69-45 over the last 5 seasons.
60.5% (35.2 units)
9:40 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Both teams will start big-name pitchers who have struggled this season, with the Rockies sending out Jon Gray (1-3, 6.23 ERA) and the Diamondbacks countering with Robbie Ray (1-3, 8.33 ERA). This line opened with Arizona listed as a short -114 home favorite and the Rockies a + 104 road dog. Smart money has sided with the Snakes at home, pushing Arizona up to -120. Also, despite both pitchers having high ERAs, we've seen some sharp action on the under. The total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115. One variable to monitor here is the Chase Field roof. If it's closed, that benefits the under as the ball doesn't travel as well and it is perfect conditions for the pitchers. BY MSUDOGS
9:40 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Both teams will start big-name pitchers who have struggled this season, with the Rockies sending out Jon Gray (1-3, 6.23 ERA) and the Diamondbacks countering with Robbie Ray (1-3, 8.33 ERA). This line opened with Arizona listed as a short -114 home favorite and the Rockies a + 104 road dog. Smart money has sided with the Snakes at home, pushing Arizona up to -120. Also, despite both pitchers having high ERAs, we've seen some sharp action on the under. The total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115. One variable to monitor here is the Chase Field roof. If it's closed, that benefits the under as the ball doesn't travel as well and it is perfect conditions for the pitchers. BY MSUDOGS
Giants outlast Dodgers 10-8 on Donovan Solano's walk-off HR in 11th late Tuesday. Giants were +183 home dogs; other upsets by MIA (+175 & +174 at NYM), BOS (+110 at TB), DET (+123 vs. CHC), KC (+179 at STL), SEA (+178 at SD) & LAA (+125 Game 2 at HOU). Road teams went 9-7 & cut into home team's lead, which is now just 224-206, with no fans in stands; Unders went 8-6-2 with pushes on PHI-WAS (9) & KC-STL (9), plus Unders take slim 207-205-16 lead on season.
Giants outlast Dodgers 10-8 on Donovan Solano's walk-off HR in 11th late Tuesday. Giants were +183 home dogs; other upsets by MIA (+175 & +174 at NYM), BOS (+110 at TB), DET (+123 vs. CHC), KC (+179 at STL), SEA (+178 at SD) & LAA (+125 Game 2 at HOU). Road teams went 9-7 & cut into home team's lead, which is now just 224-206, with no fans in stands; Unders went 8-6-2 with pushes on PHI-WAS (9) & KC-STL (9), plus Unders take slim 207-205-16 lead on season.
Interesting trend developing for the Nationals
in 2020. Against LH starters, the Nat's are 7-2 (+5.7 Unit$), averaging 7.1 runs/game. However vs. RHP, they're 4-13 (-14.93 Unit$) averaging 1/2 the LHP output - 3.6 RPG.
Interesting trend developing for the Nationals
in 2020. Against LH starters, the Nat's are 7-2 (+5.7 Unit$), averaging 7.1 runs/game. However vs. RHP, they're 4-13 (-14.93 Unit$) averaging 1/2 the LHP output - 3.6 RPG.
Along with Nola’s increased changeup-rate, he has also thrown his curveball less frequently in 2020. Nonetheless, it has still been a pretty effective pitch, producing a .181 opposing batting average and 38.6% whiff rate.
Nola’s commitment to throwing his off-speed pitches more frequently has also greatly improved the effectiveness of his fastball. He has allowed only three hits on 136 fastballs this season, so it’s clear that his new mix of pitches is really keeping opposing batters on their toes.
Philadelphia has also been absolutely mashing left-handed pitchers. In 179 plate appearances, the Phillies have a .358 wOBA and 125 wRC+, which is significantly higher than their numbers against righties.
Corbin has been solid through his first five starts. He’s accumulated a 3.99 ERA and 3.18 xFIP and has been really effective with his slider and sinker. However, Corbin has had some major issues with his fastball, to put in mildly. Opposing hitters have tagged it for a .503 wOBA and seven extra base hits.
The Phillies rank in the top half of MLB against fastball and sinkers, so Corbin will probably go to his slider frequently on Wednesday.
Along with Nola’s increased changeup-rate, he has also thrown his curveball less frequently in 2020. Nonetheless, it has still been a pretty effective pitch, producing a .181 opposing batting average and 38.6% whiff rate.
Nola’s commitment to throwing his off-speed pitches more frequently has also greatly improved the effectiveness of his fastball. He has allowed only three hits on 136 fastballs this season, so it’s clear that his new mix of pitches is really keeping opposing batters on their toes.
Philadelphia has also been absolutely mashing left-handed pitchers. In 179 plate appearances, the Phillies have a .358 wOBA and 125 wRC+, which is significantly higher than their numbers against righties.
Corbin has been solid through his first five starts. He’s accumulated a 3.99 ERA and 3.18 xFIP and has been really effective with his slider and sinker. However, Corbin has had some major issues with his fastball, to put in mildly. Opposing hitters have tagged it for a .503 wOBA and seven extra base hits.
The Phillies rank in the top half of MLB against fastball and sinkers, so Corbin will probably go to his slider frequently on Wednesday.
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