At one unit per play
2012 Regular Season - 51.23 units - 6.72% RoR
2013 Regular Season – 29.12 units – 1.18% RoR
This year there will be NO “unit” compilation. “Units” has become so many
different things to so many different people that almost all significance has
been lost. No two people seem to agree on what, exactly, a unit is or what it
means. It has become as irrelevant as the W-L record, as least as far as
baseball is concerned where it is possible to hit 60% and lose money or hit 40%
and earn money. We already see guys playing 7 to 10 “units” on multiple plays
to build up a fictitious record. No one really can put his finger on a “unit”.
Heck, a couple years ago I had lot of fun right here with calling my unit $1
and playing 100 “units” per game, but I could have called my unit 10 cents and
said I was playing $1,000 per game or called my “unit” $200 and claimed I was
playing a ½ unit per game. None of it makes sense and much too easy to
manipulate.
As I have stated for years; the only method of tracking that
can not be manipulated or deceiving is Return on Risk. If a guy is playing a -125
favorite his return on risk is 80 cents per dollar wagered. Period. Finis. End
of the line. End of story. Sayonara brother. It matters not whether he is
risking 2, 10, or 40 “units”, nor does it matter whether he lays the juice and
wagers $125 to win $100 or flat plays his standard wager of $100 to win $80, he
is still playing for 80 cents on the dollar of risk. Every handicapper should
be rated by Return
on Risk, but to the best of my knowledge I am the only capper on
this site doing so; therefore….
This year I will play with an established bankroll of
$10,000 and begin the season at 2% of bankroll or $200 per play, FLAT. Anyone that knows me knows I am
not an “add the juice on favorites” player, and will never be, but that is
another subject for another day.
I will track only that which is relevant and can not be manipulated in any way,
W-L-P record, money earned or lost, and Return on Risk.
The $200 per wager is adjustable depending on results, as a
guy that is making or losing money is an idiot if he does not snowball the
effect on his bankroll, but the first adjustment will not come until at least
Monday, April 4, when we are four weeks into the season, and np more often than
weekly after that.
This is a good method of bankroll management worthy of study because as we must never, ever forget “Bad money management has ruined more sports gamblers than bad picks ever did”
BOL