8-11-13, 1-2, -7.37 Units, -49.1% ROI
YTD – 192-204-36, +53.1 Units, +2.69% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: Since there was a lot of bantering about it yesterday I will restate for about the hundredth time that the odds you can ly-take on any proposition are relative to the pay back. Value is not dependent on any +$ or very low -$ number. Value is related to win probability. Since Kershaw had literally everything going for him yesterday I computed his win probability at 74%. If that is a true edge, and I have no reason to think it is not, I can lay up to -212 with him and still have fair bet. Since I only had to lay -190, Kershaw is the value side. Lay it. Don’t look back. -190 pays 52.6 cents on the dollar of risk. Is it not value to make an investment that pays a gain of 52.6% in a matter of hours?
Angels F5 +150 FG +159 (Richards / Kuroda)
Let’s flip a coin. You call heads or tails. If you are correct I will pay you $1.59. If you are wrong you pay me $0.59. That is about the status of this game. It can easily go either way (nature of the beast), but only one side is worthy of investment. Maybe wagering on the Angels in this spot is gambling, but it is absolutely for sure wagering on the Yankees is gambling. They have nowhere near a 62.8% probability of winning this game.
Diamondbacks F5 -118 FG -113 (Feldman / Miley)
Bounce back time for the Dbacks and Feldman is almost the perfect choice of victims. The O’s are not the greatest lefty hitters in the world and Miley is on the uptick. Reversal of fortune often happens when a team like the Orioles goes to a highly touted venue to play the reigning champs, comes away successful, then faces a home team coming off a bad series versus an invader that should not have been able to take two of three from them in their own crib.
BOL
Start the week off right 
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