There is absolutely no way that the top 15-20 Vegas sports books nor the top 10-15 offshores just hand over their transactional data to a 3rd party - their books, their exposure, their ticket count and handle - it's just 100% not happening.
These are corporations that protect their data - just like every other financial company dealing with risk based cash products - like brokerages and insurance companies.
Is William Hill or The Westgate just going to pipe out their real time transactions, books and records?
Nunca en un millon de años.
This time of year in MLB there is little open interest, a thin float, so a little money makes for large swings in price - just like small cap, low float stocks; a small positive article in a magazine causes a 10% move, just because there are hardly any shares in the float. Same thing with these low interest games. ESPN shows a highlight or puts up a stat and the line moves. Books move their lines on a sneeze.
Is it smart money? sharp money? square money? girl money?
Sharps might be only playing one game and the line moves - but is there enough or any square interest (real or reported by the 3rd party) for it to be noted as RLM? Or it is just one sided sharp steam on a team that should win?
There is no way to know. The websites that give you % and handle are fulla shineola and are no different than Covers consensus here where it's a contest with fake money determining the % and handle.
JMHO
I agree 100%. It would be similar to Merck handing over the recipe for one of their top drugs and letting anyone with the resources replicate it and sell the generic version on the market lmao
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Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:
There is absolutely no way that the top 15-20 Vegas sports books nor the top 10-15 offshores just hand over their transactional data to a 3rd party - their books, their exposure, their ticket count and handle - it's just 100% not happening.
These are corporations that protect their data - just like every other financial company dealing with risk based cash products - like brokerages and insurance companies.
Is William Hill or The Westgate just going to pipe out their real time transactions, books and records?
Nunca en un millon de años.
This time of year in MLB there is little open interest, a thin float, so a little money makes for large swings in price - just like small cap, low float stocks; a small positive article in a magazine causes a 10% move, just because there are hardly any shares in the float. Same thing with these low interest games. ESPN shows a highlight or puts up a stat and the line moves. Books move their lines on a sneeze.
Is it smart money? sharp money? square money? girl money?
Sharps might be only playing one game and the line moves - but is there enough or any square interest (real or reported by the 3rd party) for it to be noted as RLM? Or it is just one sided sharp steam on a team that should win?
There is no way to know. The websites that give you % and handle are fulla shineola and are no different than Covers consensus here where it's a contest with fake money determining the % and handle.
JMHO
I agree 100%. It would be similar to Merck handing over the recipe for one of their top drugs and letting anyone with the resources replicate it and sell the generic version on the market lmao
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