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SITUATIONAL PLAYS TODAY

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Posted: #1

4-6 Yest. The numbers are what they are as tracked Ytd.  Percentages are there, yet been stuck in the mud the last few days.  Time for results today!

MIL -115 (26-14 Ytd in situational matchup)

W.SOX - 125  (26-14 Ytd in situational matchup)

MIL OVR 4 RUNS  (34-18 Ytd in situational matchup)

W SOX OVR 4 RUNS  (34-18 Ytd in situational matchup)

TEX -1.5 RL - 115  (16-4 Ytd in situational matchup) HOT

TEX OV 5.5 RUNS  (7-1 Ytd in situational matchup) HOT

IT'S ALL IN THE NUMBERS!

 
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Posted: #2

Mud eventually hardens

GL

 
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Posted: #3

Like ur plays

mixed on MIL though

GL

 
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Captain
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Posted: #5
I like to look at these daily.  Thank you for posting!  Thse are very helpful.
 
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Posted: #6

MIL -115 (26-14 Ytd in situational matchup)

W.SOX - 125  (26-14 Ytd in situational matchup)


hey bro, do these two plays fall under the same situation? since they are both 26-14.. might u explain what this situation is

 
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Posted: #7
BOL Sensei
 
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Posted: #8
PicknRole - Yes those do fall into same situation. 

It's the way I track every past teams  matchups, results and current lines for MLB.  Small window of games create situational matchups.

 
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Posted: #9
i love this thread

makes me feel so good to see a horrible bettor be on whitesox

angels r looking good

pheww!
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Brakon00:

i love this thread

makes me feel so good to see a horrible bettor be on whitesox

angels r looking good

pheww!


why is the sox play so horrible?  they are on a roll and the angels  have been struggling.. whats your motivation to play the angels? 
 
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Posted: #11
 
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Posted: #12
d-TOWN.. Just one question.. how many of your 84355 posts have been , lol good luck to you too.. bring out the brooms baby
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Brakon00:

i love this thread

makes me feel so good to see a horrible bettor be on whitesox

angels r looking good

pheww!

2 hitter Sox win, Yeh Angels are looking good losing 6 of 7.  Time to move on junior!

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Brakon00:

i love this thread

makes me feel so good to see a horrible bettor be on whitesox

angels r looking good

pheww!

What a straight shitbag to come into someones post and hate on them....you must of been beat your whole life....scumbags lurk everywhere....since your such a genius post your fucking picks everyday so we can scrutinize you.....computer gangsters and real life pussies.....

 
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Posted: #15
Love the hot bets.Let's get these winna's
 
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Posted: #16

Texas based loaded no outs...and get nothing. Starting to look like the Brew crew today.....

 
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Posted: #17

Grease...tough day buddy 1-5, all square plays again. Your "situations" are as chalky a square could play.

Grease is now 10-20 last 5 days. I am sorry to even have to bump this.

And to collector girl, quit talking with your mouth full........fluffy.

 

 

 
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Posted: #18

Crap day, Tex and Mil left dozens on base.

Billy, trollin the threads lookin to bash.  Nobody responds to you. At least post my win/loss since at least July 1st, looks much better.

Don't manipulate my numbers in your favor in order to sling the bs.

See ya tomorrow

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by SenseiKreese:

Crap day, Tex and Mil left dozens on base.

Billy, trollin the threads lookin to bash.  Nobody responds to you. At least post my win/loss since at least July 1st, looks much better.

Don't manipulate my numbers in your favor in order to sling the bs.

See ya tomorrow



Not looking for any response Grease just want the rest of the folks to know that your alleged "situations" are nothing but chalk without any statistical proof that they are situational plays at all.

And because you seemed to have difficulty earlier posting an accurate record, I thought I'd help out.

There's no one here other than you and me anyway other than a few of your thread fluffing newbie aliases and your girlfriend collect anyway so no harm done.

Have a good day.





 
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Posted: #20

Quote Originally Posted by billysink:



Not looking for any response Grease just want the rest of the folks to know that your alleged "situations" are nothing but chalk without any statistical proof that they are situational plays at all.

And because you seemed to have difficulty earlier posting an accurate record, I thought I'd help out.

There's no one here other than you and me anyway other than a few of your thread fluffing newbie aliases and your girlfriend collect anyway so no harm done.

Have a good day.





 
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Posted: #21
I think that "certain" situational plays warrant merit....however,I think that money line movement...is the best way to go...while it does not work all the time......nothing does...I would rather be on the "right" side of the move than the "wrong side"
 
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I would never lay 1.5 run line..unless you think blowout...or a mediocare pitcher is going for the opposition in a hitters park..roughly 34% of games land on one run. Good luck with this
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Rip100:

I would never lay 1.5 run line..unless you think blowout...or a mediocare pitcher is going for the opposition in a hitters park..roughly 34% of games land on one run. Good luck with this


Roughly 28-30% of games end on one run.

The fact that you would never lay the 1.5 run line is insane. Its gives you so much value because games arent won by 1 run enough to justify taking the ML.

You are banking on something that happens 28-30% of the time, I will bet on something that happens 70-72% of the time.

Most people hate being enlightened to this, so I dont expect much of a positive response.


 
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Posted: #24
Favorites are covering ATS this season at just lower than 42%.  Therefore, if you can get odds of +140 on up, then you will be better than break even, long term with sound money management of course.

With dogs covering ATS only 58% of the time, you will be getting better than break even odds at -120 or less, but you rarely see that. 

So as you can see, it really all depends on the price your given.  What RJ fails to mention is added % if the dogs wins SU, therefore if given the right price, RL CAN offer +EV.  Home Dogs are hitting at damn near 60%, so right there you can get value at -145 or cheaper. 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Rip100:

I would never lay 1.5 run line..unless you think blowout...or a mediocare pitcher is going for the opposition in a hitters park..roughly 34% of games land on one run. Good luck with this


  Tommy Hunter and the streaking Texas Rangers vs Baltimore on the road... Even though they lost, how could you lay the -270 over the -1.5 @ -120.... Get a clue!  They should of won that game by atleast 2.
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