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SJP's "Do The Philli" MLB Analysis & Picks (May 30th, 2011)

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Reconsidering this.

It's a rule of thumb: When a line stands out this drastically, it's a common sharp play to play the side that stands out.

yep. i took over 13. this total is too high for these 2 offensively challenged teams.

Example: When you see a Total set at 5.5, you play the under.
Example: When you see a Total set at 13, you play the over.

Thoughts?
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:





It reminds me of the "Elaine Dance" from Seinfeld. Hers was a little more hurky jerky.



LOL!
 
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Posted: #53
@ImTakingRoyals

Yes. Exactly.

I still haven't pulled the trigger though.
 
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Posted: #54
Chicago Cubs/Houston Astros

Nothing. I'm going with my first instinct.
 
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Posted: #55
None of the pitchers look sharp between Braves/Padres/Nationals/Phillies.

I hope they settle in sooner than later.
 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Reconsidering this.

It's a rule of thumb: When a line stands out this drastically, it's a common sharp play to play the side that stands out.

Example: When you see a Total set at 5.5, you play the under.
Example: When you see a Total set at 13, you play the over.

Thoughts?

as long as its not done blindly

 
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Posted: #57

I'm sure you've seen the "Flu Game" on ESPN classic.

Doubt greatly you saw it live like most of us degenerates.

 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by mkbini:

as long as its not done blindly



Since 2006, Totals set at 6 or less have went Under roughly 69% of the time.

Conversely, since 2006, Totals set at 12.5 or higher have went Over roughly 71% of the time.
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

None of the pitchers look sharp between Braves/Padres/Nationals/Phillies.

I hope they settle in sooner than later.

halladay will settle in long b4 hernandez does.
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by Megamaniak:

I'm sure you've seen the "Flu Game" on ESPN classic.

Doubt greatly you saw it live like most of us degenerates.



LOL! This totally reminded me of a friend of mine that always has to listen to songs first and like songs first. Then, when you hear it and like it, she makes it a point to tell you she liked it first. It's so annoying.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by The_True:


halladay will settle in long b4 hernandez does.


I was reading this message as Morse hit a HR for the Nationals.
 
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Posted: #62
Halladay does not look good today at all. It happens to everyone.
 
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Posted: #63

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Since 2006, Totals set at 6 or less have went Under roughly 69% of the time.

Conversely, since 2006, Totals set at 12.5 or higher have went Over roughly 71% of the time.

I know and agree. By saying not blindly the meaning is - sometimes that line is the result of some absence on a good hitter and that is treated by me when in NBA somebodys missing and the line is changing drastically. I never play that.

 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



I was reading this message as Morse hit a HR for the Nationals.

good cuz i need the nationals to put up 1-2 runs so when the phils put up 6 it goes over
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by mkbini:

I know and agree. By saying not blindly the meaning is - sometimes that line is the result of some absence on a good hitter and that is treated by me when in NBA somebodys missing and the line is changing drastically. I never play that.



Agreed. I rarely play a game with a star player missing because Vegas will overcompensate at times and "sucker" people in.
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by The_True:


good cuz i need the nationals to put up 1-2 runs so when the phils put up 6 it goes over


This is Halladay's off day. He looks out of whack.
 
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Posted: #67
good luck sarah, also on the nationals under.  Have a fun day and do some dancing!  I will hopefully also be dancing tonight!
 
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Posted: #68

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



LOL! This totally reminded me of a friend of mine that always has to listen to songs first and like songs first. Then, when you hear it and like it, she makes it a point to tell you she liked it first. It's so annoying.

That game was played back when I was in college in the 90's. I'm just trying to figure out how old you were back then... I'm guessing like 7 or 8... but yeah... I find you highly annoying as well. 

 
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Posted: #69
I'm getting tired of watching runs being thrown up on the board so easily on my Unders.

Thank God for The Jersey Shore Marathon on MTV!
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by MclatchyHostage:

good luck sarah, also on the nationals under.  Have a fun day and do some dancing!  I will hopefully also be dancing tonight!


Halladay is killing it for us. Who would have thought that?
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Megamaniak:

That game was played back when I was in college in the 90's. I'm just trying to figure out how old you were back then... I'm guessing like 7 or 8... but yeah... I find you highly annoying as well. 



Apparently I was blind when I was 7 or 8? LOL! I grew up with my family constantly watching sports.

You didn't understand that I was comparing you to my annoying friend.

Not looking to ruin my karma, so exit stage left. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #72
only 2 runs so far... I think doc will settle down and throw up some zeros and I also expect Livan to put up some zeros.  Still feel good about the under.  Positive thinking!  I've also been sucked into the jersey shore marathon, not sure why but I can't seem to look away.
 
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Posted: #73

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Apparently I was blind when I was 7 or 8? LOL! I grew up with my family constantly watching sports.

You didn't understand that I was comparing you to my annoying friend.

Not looking to ruin my karma, so exit stage left. Thanks.

I'll go no such place... anybody that bets UNDER 6.5 when it's 96 degrees in the shade needs to be outed for the idiot they really are... it might well hit for you... but it's definitely not the smartest wager.

Karma   

 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by Megamaniak:

I'll go no such place... anybody that bets UNDER 6.5 when it's 96 degrees in the shade needs to be outed for the idiot they really are... it might well hit for you... but it's definitely not the smartest wager.

Karma   



Good stuff. Bye, bye.
 
 
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Posted: #75

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Reconsidering this.

It's a rule of thumb: When a line stands out this drastically, it's a common sharp play to play the side that stands out.

Example: When you see a Total set at 5.5, you play the under.
Example: When you see a Total set at 13, you play the over.

Thoughts?

ive never seen a 5.5 total (halladay and JJ might have been cant remember). rodrigo lopez is an extreme fly ball pitcher. i cant see laying anything around -150 could be a good bet

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