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#1
Thursday 1-4: Yesterday was just one of those very frustrating days when the breaks weren't going your way. I kinda felt that was gonna be the theme of the day after the Brewers epic choke job. Then I talked myself out of backing the Jays. But that's the beauty of this marathon, you get to wake up the next day and bounce right back. So here we go...
89-73 Last 162 (54.9%)
Season:187-181-5
ML: 104-94
RL: 30-20
Alternative Line: 1-2-1
Totals: 38-50-3
Props: 14-15-1
Friday Bases
Brewers TT O 4 (-120): The Brewers are red hot from the plate and they will be returning home to continue there recent tear. The Brewers are batting .336 L5 and .312 L10 against right handed pitching. In this game they will be facing Jeff Karstens of the Pirates. Karstens enters with a 3.47 era on the year. But most of his success has come from the confines of PNC Park. When Karstens hits the road, his 5.14 era is on full display. One other notable, Karstens left his previous start with a groin injury, he will pitch tonight but he might not be feeling 100%. I like the added chance of an early bullpen activation for extended innings. I like the Brewers chances of winning this game, but the Brewers pitching has burned me, so I am changing gears with this team and backing they're red hot offense.
Mets F5 -.5 (-115): Dickey has absolutely owned the Marlins. In his last 6 games against the Marlins he is 6-0 with a 0.84 era. He is also 3-0 with 0.95 era in his last 3 outings in Miami. Dickey also owns very good #s against the Marlins biggest threat Stanton. Stanton is 3-13 with 5 strike outs and 0 homers. Jose Reyes is 2-16, Carlos Lee has the best #s against Dickey at 9-25 but a lot of those #s came when Lee was in his prime. Since then Lee is 2-11 last 2 seasons and 4-18 in his last 3 seasons. Dickey should be able to continue his dominating ways against a non potent line up. Nathan Eovaldi will be taking the mound for the Marlins in this game. He enters with a 4-9 record and a 4.54 era. In his last 3 outings he is 1-2 with a 5.52 era and WHIP of 2.05. I am choosing to eliminate the bullpen play in this one going with the first 5 only. I like the RL laying -.5 on it as well, I can see the Marlins not scoring in the first 5 innings against Dickey. The Mets offense might only need 1-2 runs to cover the first 5.
Rangers ML (-144) Pure fade of Jimenez and the Tribe. Jimenez is much better at home then he is on the road, but he will be facing a Rangers team who is more then capable of lighting him up regardless of the location of this game. Beyond that the Tribe are playing absolute terrible baseball and look as if they are going through the motions to wrap up a disappointing 2nd half of the season. Ryan Dempster has started to adjust to pitching in the AL with a 2-0 record and a 1.93 era in his last couple starts. He should be able to take advantage of an Indians line up cannot score. This game would easily be -200+ if it was in Arlington. Despite the venue, I don't see the Rangers losing this game. They are also aware of what the team right below them (Oakland) just did against the Tribe. They will want to take a page of there book and do the same... it starts with tonight.
Josh Reddick (-120) vs. Dustin Pedroia: Reddick should have a nice mismatch tonight facing Boston's Aaron Cook, while Pedroia will face the A's Brandon McCarthy who thrives at home. Reddick is 1-2 lifetime vs Cook and Pedroia is 2-9 lifetime vs McCarthy. Just a hunch, but I think Reddick has a big night tonight
Best of luck tonight... ill be busy preparing my 2nd and final draft tonight. The only difference is I am hosting this one so I won't be around at all.
89-73 Last 162 (54.9%)
Season:187-181-5
ML: 104-94
RL: 30-20
Alternative Line: 1-2-1
Totals: 38-50-3
Props: 14-15-1
Friday Bases
Brewers TT O 4 (-120): The Brewers are red hot from the plate and they will be returning home to continue there recent tear. The Brewers are batting .336 L5 and .312 L10 against right handed pitching. In this game they will be facing Jeff Karstens of the Pirates. Karstens enters with a 3.47 era on the year. But most of his success has come from the confines of PNC Park. When Karstens hits the road, his 5.14 era is on full display. One other notable, Karstens left his previous start with a groin injury, he will pitch tonight but he might not be feeling 100%. I like the added chance of an early bullpen activation for extended innings. I like the Brewers chances of winning this game, but the Brewers pitching has burned me, so I am changing gears with this team and backing they're red hot offense.
Mets F5 -.5 (-115): Dickey has absolutely owned the Marlins. In his last 6 games against the Marlins he is 6-0 with a 0.84 era. He is also 3-0 with 0.95 era in his last 3 outings in Miami. Dickey also owns very good #s against the Marlins biggest threat Stanton. Stanton is 3-13 with 5 strike outs and 0 homers. Jose Reyes is 2-16, Carlos Lee has the best #s against Dickey at 9-25 but a lot of those #s came when Lee was in his prime. Since then Lee is 2-11 last 2 seasons and 4-18 in his last 3 seasons. Dickey should be able to continue his dominating ways against a non potent line up. Nathan Eovaldi will be taking the mound for the Marlins in this game. He enters with a 4-9 record and a 4.54 era. In his last 3 outings he is 1-2 with a 5.52 era and WHIP of 2.05. I am choosing to eliminate the bullpen play in this one going with the first 5 only. I like the RL laying -.5 on it as well, I can see the Marlins not scoring in the first 5 innings against Dickey. The Mets offense might only need 1-2 runs to cover the first 5.
Rangers ML (-144) Pure fade of Jimenez and the Tribe. Jimenez is much better at home then he is on the road, but he will be facing a Rangers team who is more then capable of lighting him up regardless of the location of this game. Beyond that the Tribe are playing absolute terrible baseball and look as if they are going through the motions to wrap up a disappointing 2nd half of the season. Ryan Dempster has started to adjust to pitching in the AL with a 2-0 record and a 1.93 era in his last couple starts. He should be able to take advantage of an Indians line up cannot score. This game would easily be -200+ if it was in Arlington. Despite the venue, I don't see the Rangers losing this game. They are also aware of what the team right below them (Oakland) just did against the Tribe. They will want to take a page of there book and do the same... it starts with tonight.
Josh Reddick (-120) vs. Dustin Pedroia: Reddick should have a nice mismatch tonight facing Boston's Aaron Cook, while Pedroia will face the A's Brandon McCarthy who thrives at home. Reddick is 1-2 lifetime vs Cook and Pedroia is 2-9 lifetime vs McCarthy. Just a hunch, but I think Reddick has a big night tonight
Best of luck tonight... ill be busy preparing my 2nd and final draft tonight. The only difference is I am hosting this one so I won't be around at all.
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Rangers pick seems risky. I could see this Indians team break out of it's slump when it's least expected like tonight against the Rangers.
Only because of Dickey I have a small parlay with the F*n Mets
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