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Sunday 2-4: Just couldn't catch a break in a couple of Sunday's games. The A's/CWS game was 1-0 in the 6th and a disaster inning sent it over. The Rays/Twins game was 3-3 in extra innings before the Rays put up 4 runs to send it way over. The Braves almost made an epic comeback but fell short. Glad too see my Giants came through and the Cards/Phillies over hit in the 4th. Not a great day obviously but could have been worst.
57-35 Last 92 (61.9%)
34-18 Last 52 (65.3%)
Season: 154-145-3
ML: 85-77
RL: 24-15
Totals: 33-40-2
Props: 12-13-1
Monday Bases
Rays ML (-135): The red hot Tampa Bay Rays will head into Seattle to take on the M's, who are fresh off taking 2 out of 3 from the Angels. The M's will be returning home after a very long road trip. I love playing this angle and have used it quite often. Teams returning home after a lengthy road trip tend to lay and egg at the plate the following day. It also does help they are facing a Rays team who are playing with a lot of confidence ever since Longoria returned to the line up. They will be Rays will be sending Alex Cobb to the mound and are hoping he will continue his hot ways. Cobb is 2-1 with a 2.14 era in his last 3 outings. He has improved upon his seasons numbers dramatically lately. His WHIP of 0.86 in his last 3 outings has been a big factor. He should also benefit from playing in the pitchers ball park in Seattle and going against the #30 ranked team against right handed pitching. The M's will be countering with Blake Beavan, a young right hander who comes in with a 5.17 era on the year. Beaven has had a slight improvement in his last 3 outings with a 3.54 era. The Rays will have the offensive advantage in this one being the #18 ranked team against right handed pitching. They have also done well lately batting .333 in there L5 against righties. Both teams have exceptional bullpens with the Rays coming at #3 and the M's right behind them at #6. Ill take the slight advantage in the pitching department, the offensive production, the hot team and fade the M''s returning home from a load road with a long night of wifey and family time ahead of them tonight.
Pirates ML (-125): The Pirates used a 9 run 4th inning to erase a 5-0 hole and avoid being swept by the Padres in Sunday's series finale. Those time of comeback wins usually gives a team a huge confidence boost and I am hoping that will roll right into Mondays game against the Dodgers. The Dodgers will head into the Pittsburgh area after taking 2 out 3 down in south beach. This game will feature the Dodgers Aaron Harang and the Pirates Jeff Karstens. Coming into this game Harang enters with a 7-7 mark and a 3.80. His home and away splits are about the same with his era around 3.60 at both locations. He has struggled in his last 3 outings though with an 0-3 mark and a 5.89 era. His struggles have been caused by a rising WHIP and an awful 13/11 strike out to walk ratio. He is also averaging 4.15 per game in night starts. The Pirates Jeff Karstens will be the one looking to maintain the momentum from Sunday's heroics. On the year Jeff is 4-2 with a 3.89 era. His last 3 outings have seen him struggle a bit going 0-1 with a 4.50 era. 2 of those outings have came on the road though where he hasn't been nearly as sharp. Luckily this contest he will be at home and looking to improve on a 2-0 mark and a 1.33 era. Jeff has had success at home with a WHIP of 0.96. He has only allowed 1 home run thus far in 27 innings of work at home. In terms of bullpen play both teams are pretty reliable with the Pirates coming in at #12, meanwhile the Dodgers coming at #10. Both teams are near the bottom against right handed pitching on offense with the Pirates coming at # 26 and the Dodgers coming at #27. The starting pitching, the bullpens, and the offensive productions are all pretty close across the board. Id give an edge to to Karstens since he has had success pitching at home. The Pirates are one of the better teams with a 36-20 mark at home, meanwhile the Dodgers are 1 game above .500 with a 29-28 mark. This should be a pretty close game, but I think the home field will have an impact in this one. I also feel the Pirates will have a great of momentum after a very big much needed win on Sunday.
White Sox / Jays U 8.5 (-120): Let's first admit the offensive outburst on Sunday of 10 runs from the Jays was a pretty fluky thing to happen. They had entered that contest having scored 10 runs combined in there last 5 games. Ill continue to bank on the fact a team that is batting below .200 against righties with a AAA/AA line up batting order more times then not will be held in check. Phil Hughes had an absolutely awful outing for the Yankees and it was a tee ball session for the Jays hitters. In this game they will be facing a season veteran in right hander Jake Peavy. I highly doubt Peavy will be anywhere close to as bad as Phil Hughes was on Sunday. Peavy enters the game with a 3.08 era on the season. He has done very well on the road with a 2.96 era. He has also been hot as of late with a 2.18 era in his last 3 outings. He will have the advantage of facing majority of a line up that has never seen him before. Jake is also just 1 month removed from a strong outing against a then way more healthier Jays line up. He went 7 strong allowing just 1 run on 5 hits. The Jays will be countering with hands down they're best pitcher (since all the injuries) n Carlos Villanueva. On the year Villanueva is enters with a 3.30 era. He has been successful at home with a 4-0 mark an a 3.00 era. He will be facing a White Sox line up who is missing a big piece in there line up in Paul Konerko. He will also be facing a White Sox line up that only features 1 player (Adam Dunn) who has had double digit plate appearances vs him. The rest of the White Sox line up have had very minimal experience vs Carlos, with a lot of it coming when he made relieve appearances. The Sox are batting just .240 as a team in there last 10 games against right handed pitching as well. Both teams bullpens are a little shaky, but I think we will have some wiggle room in this one. I expect Peavy and Carlos to both have strong outings in a low scoring affair.
Back to the normal M-F grind for me tomorrow, ill be limited on time so my card won't extend pass these 3 games. Best of luck to everyone and let's kick the week off on a high note.
57-35 Last 92 (61.9%)
34-18 Last 52 (65.3%)
Season: 154-145-3
ML: 85-77
RL: 24-15
Totals: 33-40-2
Props: 12-13-1
Monday Bases
Rays ML (-135): The red hot Tampa Bay Rays will head into Seattle to take on the M's, who are fresh off taking 2 out of 3 from the Angels. The M's will be returning home after a very long road trip. I love playing this angle and have used it quite often. Teams returning home after a lengthy road trip tend to lay and egg at the plate the following day. It also does help they are facing a Rays team who are playing with a lot of confidence ever since Longoria returned to the line up. They will be Rays will be sending Alex Cobb to the mound and are hoping he will continue his hot ways. Cobb is 2-1 with a 2.14 era in his last 3 outings. He has improved upon his seasons numbers dramatically lately. His WHIP of 0.86 in his last 3 outings has been a big factor. He should also benefit from playing in the pitchers ball park in Seattle and going against the #30 ranked team against right handed pitching. The M's will be countering with Blake Beavan, a young right hander who comes in with a 5.17 era on the year. Beaven has had a slight improvement in his last 3 outings with a 3.54 era. The Rays will have the offensive advantage in this one being the #18 ranked team against right handed pitching. They have also done well lately batting .333 in there L5 against righties. Both teams have exceptional bullpens with the Rays coming at #3 and the M's right behind them at #6. Ill take the slight advantage in the pitching department, the offensive production, the hot team and fade the M''s returning home from a load road with a long night of wifey and family time ahead of them tonight.
Pirates ML (-125): The Pirates used a 9 run 4th inning to erase a 5-0 hole and avoid being swept by the Padres in Sunday's series finale. Those time of comeback wins usually gives a team a huge confidence boost and I am hoping that will roll right into Mondays game against the Dodgers. The Dodgers will head into the Pittsburgh area after taking 2 out 3 down in south beach. This game will feature the Dodgers Aaron Harang and the Pirates Jeff Karstens. Coming into this game Harang enters with a 7-7 mark and a 3.80. His home and away splits are about the same with his era around 3.60 at both locations. He has struggled in his last 3 outings though with an 0-3 mark and a 5.89 era. His struggles have been caused by a rising WHIP and an awful 13/11 strike out to walk ratio. He is also averaging 4.15 per game in night starts. The Pirates Jeff Karstens will be the one looking to maintain the momentum from Sunday's heroics. On the year Jeff is 4-2 with a 3.89 era. His last 3 outings have seen him struggle a bit going 0-1 with a 4.50 era. 2 of those outings have came on the road though where he hasn't been nearly as sharp. Luckily this contest he will be at home and looking to improve on a 2-0 mark and a 1.33 era. Jeff has had success at home with a WHIP of 0.96. He has only allowed 1 home run thus far in 27 innings of work at home. In terms of bullpen play both teams are pretty reliable with the Pirates coming in at #12, meanwhile the Dodgers coming at #10. Both teams are near the bottom against right handed pitching on offense with the Pirates coming at # 26 and the Dodgers coming at #27. The starting pitching, the bullpens, and the offensive productions are all pretty close across the board. Id give an edge to to Karstens since he has had success pitching at home. The Pirates are one of the better teams with a 36-20 mark at home, meanwhile the Dodgers are 1 game above .500 with a 29-28 mark. This should be a pretty close game, but I think the home field will have an impact in this one. I also feel the Pirates will have a great of momentum after a very big much needed win on Sunday.
White Sox / Jays U 8.5 (-120): Let's first admit the offensive outburst on Sunday of 10 runs from the Jays was a pretty fluky thing to happen. They had entered that contest having scored 10 runs combined in there last 5 games. Ill continue to bank on the fact a team that is batting below .200 against righties with a AAA/AA line up batting order more times then not will be held in check. Phil Hughes had an absolutely awful outing for the Yankees and it was a tee ball session for the Jays hitters. In this game they will be facing a season veteran in right hander Jake Peavy. I highly doubt Peavy will be anywhere close to as bad as Phil Hughes was on Sunday. Peavy enters the game with a 3.08 era on the season. He has done very well on the road with a 2.96 era. He has also been hot as of late with a 2.18 era in his last 3 outings. He will have the advantage of facing majority of a line up that has never seen him before. Jake is also just 1 month removed from a strong outing against a then way more healthier Jays line up. He went 7 strong allowing just 1 run on 5 hits. The Jays will be countering with hands down they're best pitcher (since all the injuries) n Carlos Villanueva. On the year Villanueva is enters with a 3.30 era. He has been successful at home with a 4-0 mark an a 3.00 era. He will be facing a White Sox line up who is missing a big piece in there line up in Paul Konerko. He will also be facing a White Sox line up that only features 1 player (Adam Dunn) who has had double digit plate appearances vs him. The rest of the White Sox line up have had very minimal experience vs Carlos, with a lot of it coming when he made relieve appearances. The Sox are batting just .240 as a team in there last 10 games against right handed pitching as well. Both teams bullpens are a little shaky, but I think we will have some wiggle room in this one. I expect Peavy and Carlos to both have strong outings in a low scoring affair.
Back to the normal M-F grind for me tomorrow, ill be limited on time so my card won't extend pass these 3 games. Best of luck to everyone and let's kick the week off on a high note.
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