61-38 Last 99 (61.6%)
38-21 Last 59 (64.4%)
Season:158-147-3
ML: 88-79
RL: 24-14
Totals: 34-41-2
Props: 12-13-1
Thursday Bases
Rangers ML (+117): This 4 game set would have sweep written all over it, if it weren't for the Yankees Ivan Nova being the starting pitcher. He is probably the worst starting pitcher in the rotation right now. His #s have been terrible, especially as of late. In his last 3 outings Nova is 1-2 with a sky rocketing 9.17 era. I wouldn't put much stock into his last outing against a very depleted Blue Jays line up. Any team with a decent offense has been able tag Nova at will. He has struggled all season long at home with a 6.16 era and a 3-4 record. Teams have been able to take advantage of Nova and the short porch in right field. In 57 innings pitched at home this year Nova has allowed 12 home runs, which is a home run every 4.75 innings. He has only had 2 starts all year where he didn't allow at least 1 long ball at home. His WHIP of 1.58 in his last 3 outings is the exact same as his season long WHIP at home. I don't think we will see anything special or different from Nova, other then his usual sub par performance. On the other side of the hill we have Derek Holland. I might be too high on this guy from his last outing, but I was thoroughly impressed watching him out pitcher Verlander on Saturday. It was hands down his best outing of the season and a major confidence boost for a young pitcher. In the game he went 7 strong innings allowing just 1 run (lead off homer) and holding the Tigers to just 3 hits. Holland is also coming into this game looking to get some demons off his back from a not so great track record for the Yankees in his young career. He apparently has had this game circled on his calendar for a while and is very determined to have a strong outing as reported in the Star-Telegram for Texas. Actions speak louder then words of course, but I like fact we have a very motivated and confident pitcher taking the mound in this one. Confidence is a huge thing when it comes to pitching, especially in young one. He will of course need all of this against the high powered Yankees. Call me a sucker, but I think Holland out pitches Nova and the Rangers avoid the sweep with a much needed win in the Bronx on Thursday. Ill take a stab at the dog in this one.
Mets ML (+125): In this contest we will have the Mets Matt Harvey squaring off against Cincy's Homer Bailey. Let's start off with the 23 year old Matt Harvey. He will be making just his 5th start in his young career. He has had quality starts in 3 of his 4 outings, including a very impressive 1st home start last week against Atlanta. In that game he let his nerves get the best of him in the 1st inning and had some trouble commanding the zone. He allowed a free pass and a 2 run home run to Heward. After that though, Harvey settled down nicely. He allowed just 1 hit in the rest of his outing. On the evening he finished with 5 innings, 2 runs, 2 hits, 5 BBs and 3 strike outs. Each start this kid makes will give him more and more confidence, and I expect him to be just as good against the Reds. His chances of a strong outing are good considering the Reds rank near the bottom of the league at #23 overall against right handed pitching. Harvey will also benefit from facing an entire Reds line up who has never seen him before, thus giving him the advantage of navigating through the Reds offense the first few times thru the batting order. On the other side of the hill the Reds will be sending Homer Bailey. On the year Bailey comes in with a 10-7 mark and a 4.08 era. But he has been free falling fast in his lately though and has an era of 9.00 in his last 3 outings. If you look at those 3 outings wondering if he faced good offensives, you would be a bit surprised that the 3 awful starts came against the Cubs, the Pirates and the Padres. All of which aren't known to be high powered offenses by any stretch. At home this season Bailey comes in with an era of 5.35 and he has allowed 15 home runs in 67 innings of work, which works out to be a home run in every 4.5 innings. He will be facing a Mets team that has actually done very well against right handed pitching, coming in at #7 overall. Bailey will be facing the Mets for the 4th time in his career and he is 1-1 with a 7.41 era. The Mets line up will also feature some notables who have had pretty good success against Bailey. David Wright is batting .556 (5-9), Duda .600 (3-5), Hairston .300 (3-10), and Thole .375 (3-8) to name a few. I think the Mets will be able to get enough runs on the board to get a win for the young Matt Harvey.
White Sox ML (-130): The pitching match up of Liriano vs Laffey in this one, gives the Sox a small edge. Liriano hasn't been good, but he is capable of having a strong outing. Laffey has been fading very fast which is apparent based on a 8.82 era in his 3 outings. He has struggled at home with a 5.54 era. In all honesty though, I wasn't too concerned with the pitching match up in this game. I know Villaneuva isn't starting for the Jays, and the White Sox are an above average team. This is mainly a pure fade of the Jays and they're depleted line up. They got the 1 win they were gonna get in this series in game 1 with Villanueva pitching. I think the Soxs will give Liriano some run support and leave Canada on a winning note.
I am waiting too see what the # is, but looking at the Thursday's card, I think a MLB Grand Salami UNDER might be in order. Ill have too wait n see in the am (if I am awake in time lol)
Best of Luck everyone