Today Is Monday, And FADE The Red Sox/TAIL The Yankees!

Penny is better at home, but he's had games where he gave up 8, 5 and 7 at home. I just think in their current slump, Jackson will shut them down.

Now somebody please fucking explain to me what is going on in the A's/Orioles game!!!!!!!

I can now get the A's at +150.

I will take them if I must at this price if nobody can talk me out of it.

Great analysis...I'll look into that system very closely.

Quote Originally Posted by chilitokid:

Sparky

I'm the 1st one to bet against Boston sports teams but I'm the 1st one to bet on them too. I tink the Red Sox have a major advantage tonight in this pitching matchup. The main reason being the Red Sox players have seen Jackson quite a bit whereas Detroit hasn't seen Penny too often. Jackson is 0-5 at Boston and Penny is 7-4 at Boston. The #'s favor Penny.

 

GL

 

Like I mentioned multiple times in other threads...the Red Sox' stats against Jackson are 100% irrelevant. Jackson had a 5.72 ERA in 50 innings against the Yanks from 06-08 when he was with the Rays. You know...when he had a 5.08 overall ERA. Thats better than the ERA against the Red Sox(5.44 during that span). Now Jackson, with his 2.62 ERA and an entirely new pitcher, has 13 innings against the Yanks with a 1.39 ERA. Cliff Lee used to be awful...he turned his career around and now he is an ace. Jackson has turned his career around and has one of the best ERA's in the majors. The 7th best pitcher ERA wise in baseball to be exact and 2nd best in the AL behind Greinke and in front of Roy Halladay. He's simply a better pitcher than Penny and the Sox' offense is brutal.

Quote Originally Posted by LakeTahoeKid:

So much for the line movement upwards on the Yanks today. It must be the Mitre effect afterall. I guess him "surviving" a whole 4.3 IP in Toronto was considered a success. Well at least the line didn't go down (OK, 1 cent). 

Also, from what I've now learned about Rzepczynski (get another last name will ya!) he's got good stuff and has potential for a promising future. NY is a late-inning comeback team and so I think if you like, which I now do (I kinda flip-flopped), Toronto, a 1st 5 inning bet might be the way to go here (same with Detroit).

I also like the OV 10' +104 in NY and the UN 9' +113 (Matchbook) in Boston. FTR, 1 U each on all 4. I'm +10 U on the board YTD.

Yanks will hopefully pull it out late for Sparky and Co. 

GL to all tonight 

I never said I didn't like Rzepczynki(probably msssing a z somewhere). I think he has a nice future, but the Yanks are rolling and I just can't fade them. I'll bet against the Sox and bet on the Yanks until 1 loses/wins. GL to you.

Don't mention it. I'm beyond confused on to why this line jumped up so much. How sad is it that I can put a unit on them now and it almost counts as 2 of the original line. I'm still trying to figure out the reason behind it. I have no clue.

Sergio should never get credit.  But he's #5...Joba is #4 . Thats until they start to skip his starts to keep his innings low. Come playoff time I'm not sure if Mitre will even be on the roster. I wouldn't bet on it. They have Ortiz, Hirsh and Gaudin now. If none of them work out, then they have a problem. I still think Cashman is looking to pickup someone off the waiverwire eventually. And I think Gaudin is there to replace Tomko and make spot starts. He'll be the guy who cleans up in 10-2 leads and 10-2 deficits. I wasn't a fan of the Hinske or Hairston acquisitions but they've proved me wrong so I hope I'm wrong here and he helps the team.

Adding...

Yankees -140(1 unit)

Athletics +150(1 unit)

Tigers EVEN(1 unit)

Orioles -1.5 +130(1.5 units)

I've decided to keep it all even instead of just adding 1 more unit to the A's bet. And then I hedged a bit too with the Orioles runline to cut some loses if the O's win(hopefully by 2 or more). I really don't have a clue what I'm doing here but lets hope for the best shall we.