Wed MLB Tips

VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Dodgers (7-3 last 10)

Following an 8-6 loss to the Brewers to begin their homestand, the Dodgers haven’t lost since by running off five consecutive victories. The last two wins came against the NL East-leading Nationals in low-scoring affairs, while Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up a total of five runs. In four of the five victories during this hot streak, the Dodgers have allowed two runs or fewer. 19-year old Julio Urias owns an 0-2 record in five starts for the Dodgers, but tossed five scoreless innings in his last outing against Milwaukee as he faces Washington tonight going for the sweep.

Coldest team: Rays (3-7 last 10)

It’s been a bad week for Tampa Bay since grabbing the first two games of its series against Seattle. The Mariners won the final contest at Tropicana Field last Thursday, beginning a tailspin for the Rays. Tampa Bay got swept at home by red-hot San Francisco and has lost the first two games of its series at Cleveland. The Rays have been lit up in this stretch by allowing at least five runs in each of their last six losses, while getting blanked by the Tribe on Tuesday. Chris Archer heads to the mound tonight for the Rays looking to avoid the sweep, as Tampa Bay owns a 1-5 record in his past six starts.

Hottest pitcher: Cole Hamels, Rangers (7-1, 2.88 ERA)

Cincinnati snapped Texas’ seven-game winning streak last night with a 8-2 victory as Hamels tries to get the Rangers back on track this evening. Hamels is coming off a masterful performance in his last outing, scattering three hits in 7.2 scoreless innings of a 1-0 triumph at St. Louis as a short road underdog. Texas is 3-0 in Hamels’ last three starts (all as a ‘dog), as the southpaw has given up 11 hits and three earned runs in this stretch. However, the Rangers are 0-3 in his last three outings as a favorite, as Texas is a -210 favorite against Cincinnati tonight.

Coldest pitcher: Francisco Liriano, Pirates (4-7, 5.03 ERA)

Pittsburgh has dropped four straight starts made by Liriano, while scoring only five runs in this span. Liriano hasn’t been good in this stretch either by giving up 20 runs, including five home runs. Since posting a 3-1 record in his first four home starts, Liriano is winless in his last two outings at PNC Park. Last season, Liriano beat the Giants twice in two starts, including a 5-2 victory at PNC Park last August. It’s been a rough stretch overall for Pittsburgh, who has lost 11 of its past 13 contests.

Biggest UNDER run: Red Sox (5-1 last six)

Boston’s explosive offense has been shut down in the first two games of its series against Chicago, scoring just two runs in two losses. The Red Sox have finished ‘under’ the total in four consecutive home games, while Boston’s pitching has allowed nine runs in this stretch. In the last 11 games played at Fenway Park, the Red Sox are 8-3 to the ‘under,’ as Eduardo Rodriguez toes the rubber tonight. Rodriguez is 3-1 to the ‘under’ this season for the Red Sox, but the southpaw has given up 14 earned runs in three June starts.

Biggest OVER run: Twins (8-1 last nine)

Two of the worst teams in baseball played in one of the most thrilling games of the season on Tuesday as Minnesota outlasted Philadelphia, 14-10. Both teams rallied from deficits as the Twins pulled away to post their fourth straight ‘over,’ and move to 11-1-1 to the ‘over’ in the past 13 games at Target Field. Minnesota extended its streak to 20 consecutive games in which its pitching staff has allowed at least four runs, as Kyle Gibson takes the mound tonight looking to improve on an ERA of 6.06 in six starts.

Matchup to watch: Rockies vs. Yankees

Somehow, Colorado has had New York’s number this season by winning each of the first three matchups. The Rockies swept a two-game series at Coors Field last week, while taking the opener in the Bronx on Tuesday, 8-4 as a +145 underdog. The Yankees try to avoid another sweep this afternoon as they send out CC Sabathia to the mound. The southpaw has allowed six earned runs in his previous seven outings, but New York owns a 4-3 record in this stretch. Jon Gray counters for Colorado as the right-hander has delivered five straight quality starts, while striking out 33 batters over the last month.

Betcha didn’t know: Since rallying from a 10-run deficit at San Diego on June 2, the Mariners have limped to a 2-9 record on the road in the last 11 games. Seattle has dropped each of its first two games in its four-game set at Detroit, as Hisashi Iwakuma tries to stop the bleeding for the Mariners. The M’s bullpen won’t feel a lot of pressure tonight as Iwakuma has pitched seven innings in each of his last five outings.

Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-230) vs. Cardinals

Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+100) at Red Sox

Biggest line move: Mariners (+115 to +100) at Tigers

 L.A. Dodgers: Urias 1.00 ERA with 1.11 WHIP home team starts, as opposed to 6.92 ERA and 1.77 away WHIP this season; and host team 5-0 in Urias’ MLB team starts. Washington Nationals: Ross 0-1 with 9.78 ERA career team start in this series.

M.Lawrence

> Chicago Cubs: 16-4 off a loss this season; and Arrieta 31-3 last 34 overall team starts, including 15-0 last 15 vs. N.L. Central foes... Pittsburgh: 5-15 this month... Tampa Bay: Archer 0-4 career team starts in this series; Cleveland: 14-6 this month... Arizona 1-10 Wednesdays this season.

Playbook

Consider playing ON these teams HOME/AWAY on the run line when you handicap them to win the game:
Chicago Cubs: 32/39 wins by 2 or more runs (82%)
LA Dodgers: 25/31 wins by 2 or more runs (81%)
Boston Red Sox: 28/33 wins by 2 or more runs (85%)
Colorado Rockies: 21/25 wins by 2 or more runs (84%)
St Louis Cardinals: 27/30 wins by 2 or more runs (90%)

 

Consider playing AGAINST these teams HOME/AWAY on the run line when you handicap them to lose the game:
New York Yankees: 24/30 losses by 2 or more runs (80%)
Texas Rangers: 18/22 losses by 2 or more runs (82%)

 

Consider playing ON these teams at HOME when you handicap them to win the game:
Toronto Blue Jays: 12/14 home wins by 2 or more runs (86%)
Detroit Tigers: 13/15 home wins by 2 or more runs (87%)
LA Angels: 11/12 home wins by 2 or more runs (92%)

 

Consider playing AGAINST these teams at HOME when you handicap them to lose the game:
Colorado Rockies: 13/15 home losses by 2 or more runs (87%)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 17/20 home losses by 2 or more runs (85%)
San Diego Padres: 14/17 home losses by 2 or more runs (82%)
New York Yankees: 10/12 home losses by 2 or more runs (83%)
Detroit Tigers: 10/12 home losses by 2 or more runs (83%)
Cleveland Indians: 10/12 home losses by 2 or more runs (83%)

 

Consider playing ON these teams on the ROAD when you handicap them to win the game:
Washington Nationals: 15/19 road wins by 2 or more runs (79%)
San Francisco Giants: 15/19 road wins by 2 or more runs (79%)
Tampa Bay Bucs: 12/14 road wins by 2 or more runs (86%)
Baltimore Orioles: 10/11 road wins by 2 or more runs (91%)
Kansas City Royals: 9/11 road wins by 2 or more runs (82%)

 

Consider playing AGAINST these teams on the ROAD when you handicap them to lose the game:
Atlanta Braves: 16/17 road losses by 2 or more runs (94%)
Miami Marlins: 10/11 road losses by 2 or more runs (91%)
Oakland Athletics: 14/16 road losses by 2 or more runs (88%)

By  J.Gavazzi

The Yankees are 0-10 RL as a 140+ home favorite after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Killersports

The Mariners are 20-0 RL as a road dog when they won the last two games their starter started and it is not the first game of a series.

Killersports

The Royals are 15-0 RL as a dog after a game in which they struck out at least ten times.

Killersports

The Brewers are 11-0 RL as a dog in the last game of a series after a loss in which they were tied at the end of 6 innings.

Killersports

The Padres are 0-10 RL vs a team that has lost at least their last two games in the last game of a series.

I would say Giants hotter then Dodgers 

The Cubs are 0-15 RL at home when they are off a home loss in which they held the lead.

Killersports

The Astros are 0-10 RL SU as a favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start.

Killersports

The Rockies are 0-14 SU as a 135+ dog after a 4+ run win.

Killersports

Yesterday had a few heavy dogs winning- thanks to bullpens choking

RLeath you like Marlins or braves?

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ST LOUIS in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1293, -32.2 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (198-143, +47.4 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (1365-1244, +5.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (193-156, +17.3 units)

You gotta figure Cubs is due for a slump?

The Royals are 10-0 SU when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.

Killersports

Colo IL rd RL 13-43. Sabathia IL 14-5. Duffy UND 16-5. Syndergaard UND hm 14-7. Cubs off loss 16-4. Arrieta 31-4.

When Twins are home Favorites - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Playing on Wednesday (41-23 SU)(27-31-6 OU)#Twins