Posted:
#1
Don't fade the Yankees at home. I am not saying to lay the huge juice of -150 to -200, because I sure as hell don't. But if you want to be around in the long run, you need to have rules. 1 rule should be not to get sucked into the "value trap" betting against the yanks or redsox at home because you see +150 to +175 as "value". There is no value there...
On the road, versus a young gas thrower like Cueto is when you take your shots, against a guy they never seen before that can throw hard strikes. Chances are they will be underdogs or if they have their #1 or #2 going should be close to a pick.
I don't want people to think I'm hating or a serious homer, I just want people to understand risk: on any inning of any game an A-Bomb can go off and ruin your bet. Why take the chance?
I didn't have them tonight, and don't bet on them much unless I'm being stupid. I usually take the runline if I do, because if they win it is usually by more than 1, and if they lose you save yourself a good 40%.
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