I think Power shows up again this year, if you recall, last year he was one of the stronger cars till the end when he F'd up and wrecked the car. Helio for the win looks like a good value play also.
The question is, how many cars actually have a shot at winning on Sunday? I would guess maybe 5 or 6 tops....
thinking about locking Power and Heilo in tonight, still debating. 
can't argue against backing Penske, but it bares mentioning that Power has never won on an oval. I tend to agree with your guess as to how many actually have a shot at winning, naturally more with a screwed up pit/fuel strategy possibility. Another thing to consider when looking for matchups is that Franchitti has led 239 out of a possible 600 laps in the last three indy 500's. An even more impressive stat is that he has 60 top five finishes out of 105 career starts, along with 17 wins. We'll see what we got once they attach some numbers to these matchups.
Lugs, i certainly do, but prefer Danica @ -120 over Marco more. Danica is a much more consistent driver than Marco, and this is arguably her best track. (3rd + a 5th finish). Though one can argue it's not the wisest choice to play with turd matchups, it would be hard to argue taking john andretti (+150) vs scheckter (-180). Not only did he qualify better, but:
john: 1 top 10 in last 9 races and running at the end in 6 of the 9
sheckter: 3 top 10's in last 23 races and running at the end in only 13 of the 23
just seems like +150 is prolly worth a shot on this one....locked in on danica -120 vs marco for now...will try and dig depper this evening
IndyCar Motor Racing Money Line
Race Matchups - Indianapolis 500 - Indianapolis Motor Speedway - Speedway, IN - Sunday, 11:00 AM EST - ABC
Thu 5/26 9001 Scott Dixon -125
12:00PM 9002 Dario Franchitti -105
Thu 5/26 9003 Scott Dixon -160
12:00PM 9004 Will Power +130
Thu 5/26 9005 Dario Franchitti -150
12:00PM 9006 Will Power +120
Thu 5/26 9007 Will Power -125
12:00PM 9008 Alex Tagliani -105
Thu 5/26 9009 Alex Tagliani -160
12:00PM 9010 Oriol Servia +130
Thu 5/26 9011 Oriol Servia -130
12:00PM 9012 Dan Wheldon +100
Thu 5/26 9013 Dan Wheldon -105
12:00PM 9014 Helio Castroneves -125
Thu 5/26 9015 Helio Castroneves -130
12:00PM 9016 Ryan Briscoe +100
Thu 5/26 9017 Ryan Briscoe -160
12:00PM 9018 Marco Andretti +130
Thu 5/26 9019 Danica Patrick -125
12:00PM 9020 Marco Andretti -105
Thu 5/26 9021 Marco Andretti -130
12:00PM 9022 Tony Kanaan +100
Thu 5/26 9023 Tony Kanaan +115
12:00PM 9024 Danica Patrick -145
Thu 5/26 9025 Ed Carpenter -145
12:00PM 9026 Vitor Meira +115
Thu 5/26 9027 John Andretti -160
12:00PM 9028 Bruno Junqueira +130
Thu 5/26 9029 Tomas Scheckter -180
12:00PM 9030 John Andretti +150
vitor meira + 115 vs ed carpenter -145 historical/career breakdown:
vitor - top 5's , 23.7% eddie 4.8%
top 10's, 55% 27%
running at finish 75.4% 72.8%
history at indy only: vitor averages an 11.25 place finish and eddie a 14.28 finish, though eddie has finished much better the last two years.
Considering their qualifying efforts (vitor 11th, eddie 8th) and overall practice performances, i lean to a dog play here.
danica -120 vs marco -105 historical/career breakdown:
danica- top 5's, 18.6% marco 26.7%
top 10's, 53.9% 47.6%
running at finish 88.2% 69.7%
history at indy only: danica averages an 8.5 place finish and marco averages 12.4.....marco either runs very well here or shits the bed, while danica has finished 8th or better in 5 of her 6 career starts
danica qualified 25th and marco 27th...
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