Kansas Race Weekend Plays

Qualifying  Matchups

Reutti over Truex +100   .50 unit

Edwards over Biffle +120   .50 unit

Kyle over Gordon +150   .50 unit

Ragan over Menard -105    .50 unit

Love these plays, 2 of them I believe are line mistakes, other 2 are value plays. Reutii has out q'd Truex 2 out of 3 this yr on cookie cutters, while also out qing Truex last 2 at Kansas.

Ragan has 1 bad Q run this year (42) with a 1st and an 8th on cookies, but looking further into the numbers, Ragan had the 2nd fastest car that day during practice and simply spun out coming onto the backstretch, simply an unusual qualifying mistake. I know Menard has out Q'd Ragan last 2 races here, but think momemtum is on Davids side right now.

Edwards Q runs on cookies this year are 3rd, 2nd, and 3rd...and I am getting him at Plus odds, can't pass that up with the way he is running right now.

Kyle getting 1 1/2 to 1 odds on out Qing Jeff who he has 2 out of 3 this year, and coming off a bad Q run and bad race run....I will take those odds all day, way too much value to pass on.

Locked In Value Plays

Ragan @ +3800   .04 unit

Ambrose @ +5300   .04 unit

Reutti @ +6500   .04 unit

AJ @ +6500   .04 unit

ADDED

Biff @ +975   .12 unit

Ragan @ +4100   .03 unit      (.07 units total)

Field to win in Nationwide @ +550    .13 unit

Like Joey who is running the 20 car this week, last 3 races at Chicago have been won by a JGR car....maybe the 2nd week in a row we see the Field win a nationwide race.

DO NOT PLAY THIS

Gibbs pulled the 20 car from the field for this weekend, so you have no one running as the field that has any chance in the world to win this. Pissed about this, this line will go up alot more now. Only going to have a 42 car field also. 

Joe Gibbs Racing on Wednesday morning withdrew its No. 20 Toyota entry from Saturday's STP 300 at Chicagoland Speedway, despite that car's 15-point lead in the Nationwide Series owners' points.

exactly , makes no sense at all. I have to contact dimes back , trying to get it voided. They said they couldn't confirm it yet...I will let you know how I make out. It is bullshit if they don't, line will be 3 to 4 times those odds, only reason they were that low was because of Joey.

Quote Originally Posted by Looselugs:

shooter, you have a ton of work on this weekends races . thanks for all you do here. your work is much appreciated. and as always gl.

    appreciate the kind words, had some extra time the last few weeks, so I have been putting a little more time into capping and it has been paying off thus far. GL this weekend.