MY LINES................................
OKC -.84 over Warriors
close-out game for OKC, we do not use my lines.
Historically when the road team wins the series they do it in game 6 coming in just like what OKC has done.
This points to OKC winning tonight.
However, when the better team is down in a series even down 3-1 they have many times come-back and forced a game 7.
We also have a large line adjustment in this game with the book jacking-up the line to favor OKC. Line opened Warriors -2.5 in OKC's 1st home game of the series in game 3, then off 2 big blowouts now the line gets jacked-up to OKC -2 then the public buys in and drives it up to 2.5.
Your now getting 5 additional points on Warriors in this game.
Buy low, sell high.
By backing OKC you are buying 5 points higher and by backing Warriors you are buying 5 pts lower.
When you see a line get jack-up like this almost always take the value in points as it indicates the book is anticipating the public to over-react to the past 2 games at OKC and sure enough the public did and drove the line higher.
This all tells us a story, it tells us the generally feeling amoungst many people is OKC is a lock to win tonight , and looking around the site you find this same generally feeling amoungst many here, this is indicative that OKC may have peaked and has nowhere to go but down.
They are playing on such a high level that people begin to feel they can not lose, this is more indicative of a peak then anything else.
Durant and Westbrook laughing at Curry's defense is another indication the team is so cocky now they have peaked , it's not sustainable.
When we see the comments of Curry, Ker and other Warriors they are showing altimate respect to their opp this is indicative that they will bring their biggest, best game all season into game 6 where OKC may think this is an easy win because they are playing on such a high level they can not lose especially because Curry can not defend them.
We pass on this game but I would not count Warriors out in this game and would not be surprised if Warriors roll OKC tonight.
We give each team about a 50-50 shot to win SU, don't really see an egde here, let's wait it out for game 7 or game 1 of finals.
over 219
Hot Forum Topics
