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2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................

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Posted: #101
What are your lines for tonight game claw?
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by GotPhoTai:

What are your lines for tonight game claw?

they are on page 4
 
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Posted: #103
nice line on por. wish i was there for the open, but stuck with +2. bol claw
 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

MY LINES...................................................

Raptors -6.19 over Pacers
Hawks -5.71 over Celtics


Hawks line up -7 gives us a 1 pt diff on Celtics, have another indicator on Celtics as well but have an indicator on Hawks to, will look into a few things .

May have a play on a total tonight, will post later if I do.

 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

GAME 1....................Spurs VS OKC

MY LINES....................

Spurs -6.5..............looks like line opened 6.5, I'd lean Spurs at this time.

 
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Posted: #106
Celtics +8 (-119) over Hawks --- 3.57 units to win 3 units
Celtics/Hawks --- OVER 198 (-120) ---   3.6 units to win 3 units
 
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Posted: #107
Heat -6 over Hornets --- 11 units to win 10 units....best bet play
 
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Posted: #108
I'd grab the 6 quick, seems the line is rising and 6.5's are now out there.


LARGEST MISMATCH TEAMS.......off 2 SU losses and off 2 ATS losses is a great spot for these teams.

We come all in tonight, let's hope we get back on the winning side ................
 
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Posted: #109
0-1 ATS, lost 3.57 units
Totals --- 0-1 lost 3.6 units



Playoffs To Date --- 11-5 ATS, won 7.78
Totals --- 0-3, lost 8 units
Leans --- 7-1



 
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Posted: #110
We still have our 2 team series parlay on Hawks and Heat , a Heat SU win puts us in a great situation to cash.
 
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Posted: #111
Your lines for tonight's games?
 
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Posted: #112
damit  I jumped on the claws picks at the wrong time..... The claw must be solid tho he has a big following.
 
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Posted: #113

Quote Originally Posted by FinallyIPost:

damit  I jumped on the claws picks at the wrong time..... The claw must be solid tho he has a big following.

IS THE game over did they call it at Half I think they play 4 quarters   right  MIAMI  big  2nd half

 
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Posted: #114
Yeah followed claw for 10 units... huge regret. 
 
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Posted: #115
it would have been nice to see what his "numbers" were for todays games but he never provided them. This is 2 straight lost bets on the heat where the "numbers" at least for the first one pointed the other direction and i have a feeling thats the case for tonight as well.
 
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Posted: #116
Brutal I had a feeling CHA was gonna pull something like this but Claw's been pretty on point. damn bad luck. 
 
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Posted: #117
he has been very on point but weird why we never say his lines tonight
 
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Posted: #118
Boy oh boy the Heat let us down big time past 2 games.

Just dreadful............................

One thing we learned over the years.............stay the coarse with the info.....................

MY LINES ................................

Celtics -2.29 

However in a closeout game we don't use my lines.

The stronger much better teams will back the 1st closeout chance.

Are the Hawks a much better stronger team ? Well, according to shooting effiency stats the Hawks are playing in that area on a championship level and much better then the Celtics, so  we ride the Hawks tonight with a small line if they win SU almost certainly they cover.


Hawks -2 (-118) over Celtics --- 3.54 units to win 3 units

Hawks -1 1st half --- 2.2 units to win 2 units     


 
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Posted: #119
Idk man I trust your lines they've been accurate
 
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Posted: #120
0-1, lost 11 units on the Heat

2-0, won 5 units on Hawks




Playoffs to Date --- 

game ---12-6 ATS, lost .22 units
1st half --- 1-0 ATS won 2 units
totals --- 0-3, lost 8 units
leans 7-1

Losing the 2 bib plays on the Heat really cost us, 12-6 yet we lost .22 units.
It can work the other way as well, we could be around .500 but have won 2 big plays and have a nice units won to show.

We stay the coarse with the info.
 
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Posted: #121
MY LINES.....................................

Pacers -1.81
Hornets -2.68
Portland -.74

Clippers with big time injuries so my lines of no use there. We pass .

Closeout game for Raptors and Hornets.

The way the series has played out in Raptors/Pacers indicates Raptors will likely win the series, we back the stronger, much better team, in this series we do not have such a team.

This is the closest matchup according to the key stat battles and Pacers actually better then Raptors in the FG% differential stat, a very important indicator.

In these situations is  a bit more likely to go 7 games, I'll pass on the game but would .................................lean Pacers.

The way Heat/Hornets series played-out was indicating Heat to win series, they took a 2-0 series lead and 84% that team will win series, but now with Hornets taking a 3-2 series lead the %'s shift to Hornets.

However, with the Heat being the better team, when teams come back trailing late in a series it's almost always the better team, they can and often do come back to win the series.

We stay the coarse backing the largest mismatch team in the Heat, but because the %'s based on how series has played-out do favor the Hornets now, we lower our play to a 3 unit play.

Will wait out the line and try and get +2 with Heat.
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by thelaw88:

he has been very on point but weird why we never say his lines tonight

No plays, I may not always post if no plays and I'm busy.
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by thelaw88:

Idk man I trust your lines they've been accurate

To this point they have been very good, but there are spots where my lines don't work well and one such spot is closeout games for the stronger teams since the line gets jacked-up by the book  and my line does not, we could give as much as 4 additional pts to a stronger team in a closeout situation but even then it works better to just back the stronger team depending how they come into the closeout game.
 
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Posted: #124
Am on the Pacers and Heat tonight already, reading this thread ensured my confidence. 

 Thank you claw. 
 Lets get this $$!!
 
 
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Posted: #125
Heat +2 over Hornets --- 3.3 units 
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