3-2 yesterday, Wednesday 1/30/13

Question

38-24-2 YTD1/29/13GS &#x2B;1: $50 DET ML: $50LAL -7.5: $50 (hope no one locked this in time...)MIL 2nd half ML: $100LAL OVER 196.5 (Tailing Khmer Kid, solid. I did no research on this game myself): $50Hopefully I&#x27;ve broken out of that awful two day slump. I&#x27;ve settled down at my hotel and I&#x27;ll have a few days to put in some solid work. There are alot of games out there tomorrow, but I&#x27;m actually kind of loving the Lakers to pound on Phoenix -3...probably a double digit. I think that paper giant is coming out of hibernation. GTFO if you dont think Kobe Bryant, Dwight Howard, Pau Gasol, Ron Artest (...shut up world peace), and Steve Nash does not sound like the team you want playing against the space jam aliens. I&#x27;ll be on the grind.

TheForbes777 · Answer

38-24-2 YTD1/29/13GS &#x2B;1: $50 DET ML: $50LAL -7.5: $50 (hope no one locked this in time...)MIL 2nd half ML: $100LAL OVER 196.5 (Tailing Khmer Kid, solid. I did no research on this game myself): $50Hopefully I&#x27;ve broken out of that awful two day slump. I&#x27;ve settled down at my hotel and I&#x27;ll have a few days to put in some solid work. There are alot of games out there tomorrow, but I&#x27;m actually kind of loving the Lakers to pound on Phoenix -3...probably a double digit. I think that paper giant is coming out of hibernation. GTFO if you dont think Kobe Bryant, Dwight Howard, Pau Gasol, Ron Artest (...shut up world peace), and Steve Nash does not sound like the team you want playing against the space jam aliens. I&#x27;ll be on the grind.

TheForbes777 · Answer

Leaning pretty good on a few plays:

Loving Wizards +3.5 (did anyone else see that Chicago game...get real Philly's gonna get skywalked on). With John wall back the Wizards are entirely different team (he is their CP3).

Nene', Bradley Beal, Okafor, John Wall definitely have more than enough to handle Jrue Holiday and company. WAS has been insane from the 3pt line the last 5 games. I expect them to light up the 76ers with no problem.

I dont care what anyone has said (even myself

), the Lakers are back and if they can continue to play the way they have they can beat anyone in the league.

Chicago is another slick play. I'm sure after the last few weeks people are fading them a ton, but they're definitely a good shot to win the east with the way they've been playing. Tell me why not...over their last 10 they've walked on CHA, lost to the Wizards (Strengthens my Wizards play IMO), destroyed GS, beat out DEt, Walked on LAL, barely lost to MEM, and beat BOS, TOR, ATL. I really dont see MIl winning this one.

Feeling pretty good again, feeling much better doing a little work myself. Posting tomorrow in the afternoon. Lezz go in.

TheForbes777 · Answer

I&#x27;ve heard so many people say, "Oh the Bulls lost to the Wizards"...I&#x27;m telling you, CHI is good, WAS is very dangerous too. If they can sneak into the playoffs their going to be nasty (imagine if John Wall was still in college?!). Dont sleep the Bulls, that&#x27;s a CHI or no play.

TheForbes777 · Answer

38-24-2 YTD1/30/13 (Booked...tail or fade at own risk)CHI -1.5: 50LAL-3: 75WAS &#x2B;3.5: 75Going to look for 1-2 more games to spread the risk out there, but I am feeling very solid with these three, again I&#x27;m no expert.

TheForbes777 · Answer

I&#x27;m leaning NYK against ORL too, lets see where the line settles. I&#x27;m thinking UNDER in that game for sure. My reasoning is...if I really think NYK is gonna wins, it&#x27;s going to be by forcing ORL taking some bad shots and winning around 88-79.

Daddytrung · Answer

with you on the lakers and washington!

Daddytrung · Answer

what do you think about clippers

TheForbes777 · Answer

Clippers, I dont know about the spread though. That game can go so many directions. I'm a huge Clippers backer and I'm staying or that action against MIN. As beat up as they are they've still got a little life...and as unimpressive as MIN has been since the loss of Kevin Love, over the last 5 LAC is 1-4 ATS without CP3. I'm not going to risk anything on that one.

I DO like San Antonio at almost whatever the spread comes out to -7.5. Lets wait and see.

football_007 · Answer

No way San with less than -7.5. They were -9.5 at Cha now at home and you expect -7.5 ?

Slim-Daddy · Answer

Forbes-I like the LAL pick. My question to you is why spread risk? I used to do that and would go 3-2 or 2-3 but would win my strongest play 8/10 times. Now I play an early game strongest play and depending on results may add a late gm. If my strongest play is late then I will play that one game. This is generally speaking I do stray obviously.

semperdo · Answer

was &#x2B;4.5@phi det &#x2B;8.5@indiSac &#x2B;7.5@bostor &#x2B;6.5@altmia -3.5@bknchi -1.5@millac -6.5@minhouston &#x2B;3.5 @dennoh &#x2B;7.5@utahlal -5.5@phnx what do you think which team is profitable??  hmmm??

TheForbes777 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy]  Forbes-I like the LAL pick. My question to you is why spread risk? I used to do that and would go 3-2 or 2-3 but would win my strongest play 8/10 times. Now I play an early game strongest play and depending on results may add a late gm. If my strongest play is late then I will play that one game. This is generally speaking I do stray obviously.   [/Quote]I work in risk management for a living. The goal is to minimize the opportunity for a catastrophic loss. Im certain that my strategy can keep me over 60%, so any time I make a play I expect them to win. The more I spread the more likely the law of averages pertaining to me will apply. If I play one game, and lose 3 in a row in 3 days, I&#x27;m down units and behind schedule and have to increase bets to catch up. But, if I spread it out evenly over the course of a shortened span I see myself winning steadily which is my goal.

TheForbes777 · Answer

Yes, they are one of the best teams in the NBA, if not THE best.

evaneagan · Answer

I suppose you didn&#x27;t see Monday nights game when the Sacramento Kings beat the Wizards in Washington. The Kings are a horrible road team and gave them the business.

DAVIDN · Answer

BOL

TheForbes777 · Answer

I did see that game. WAS came off a brutal 5 game road trip, had a back to back crushing both CHI and MIN. After 1 day of rest they lost to SAC, which I factor to fatigue and lack of respect. After a day to let that settle they play a 76ers who they matchup well at all starting 5 positions, and yes I&#x27;m considering that John Wall will get most of the minutes embarass Jrue Holiday. Evan Truner is going head to head with Brad Beal who is one of the most underated players at that position. Okafor, Nene and Martell Webster can work the 76ers back court. Now that john wall can get the offense fluidly moving WAS is dangerous against anyone (East Coast CP3). I honestly think that WAS can sneak into with the way Boston is anticipated to slide. That 8th place spot is wide open and there&#x27;s lots of season left. I love this WAS team and I&#x27;m a Knicks fan.

TheForbes777 · Answer

I usually like Toronto too as underdogs against anyone, but I'll lay off the action tonight. So many key players are having minor health issues and my man DeMar DeRozan has flu symptoms...meaning he has the flu and the Raptors are keeping it low key. I like him, but he's not Michael Jordan. And I refuse to bet on Atlanta. I'd lay off. You're gonna be extra pissed if you're on the losing side, because it looks like a tasty biscuit to bite on either side, dont get caught overthinking yourself into anything.

Baby_BA · Answer

GL

Slim-Daddy · Answer

Forbes-That maybe why we have a similar posting style and analytics overall. I&#39;m in finance and look at everything from a pricing/risk perspective. In your scenario you may win 60% but the juice eats into profits. 6-4 assuming 100.00 only results in a 1.6 unit gain. A 4-6 equals a -260 loss. You have to 60% to break even w/out a losing week for the month.

jayparlayko · Answer

I never thought I&#x27;d see someone say that LOL... cmon man it&#x27;s still the Wizards all they have proven is that they can compete with some good teams and it&#x27;s the NBA none of these guys are scrubs. but he nasty in the playoffs? Lol they can&#x27;t even get into the playoffs let alone be good. Even the Bucks would beat em bad.

TheForbes777 · Answer

Adding LAL 1st half -1.5/OVER 203.5: $50 parlay (good night in NHL, keeping things moving along).

TheForbes777 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy]  Forbes-That maybe why we have a similar posting style and analytics overall. I&#x27;m in finance and look at everything from a pricing/risk perspective. In your scenario you may win 60% but the juice eats into profits. 6-4 assuming 100.00 only results in a 1.6 unit gain. A 4-6 equals a -260 loss. You have to 60% to break even w/out a losing week for the month.   [/Quote]The weekly goal is to go 8 out of 12, so far so good. I understand where you&#x27;re from my man and I respect your plays. My system works for me as I play multiple sports at any given time. I start small at the beginning of the week and increase units towards the end. On a side note, I started gaming part time in Sept with $100 in the NFL, making $10 with a local buddy. Now I&#x27;m at over $5K in the active bankroll and that includes paying off credit card and student loan debt. In risk management the goal is to steadily grow with the anticipation that you will have a number of losses over a set time. Loss prevention is my strategy, assuming that I continue to win at over 58%. My units stay flat at $50 and the investment compounds on its self. I&#x27;m not trying to make a lot of money at once, the goal is to keep the pipeline flowing. In finance terms, it&#x27;s like interest. I&#x27;m more than happy to see a relatively small, but consistent upward growth. GL man. We should start a consensus thread and max our winning %. We split our picks almost every day. If we both cut down 1 loss and added a win instead that&#x27;s significant growth daily (we also play almost every day as well).

dertydude · Answer

didnt kk take lakers under

TheForbes777 · Answer

Not tailing him today, put in my own work. Looking alright so far.

3-2 yesterday, Wednesday 1/30/13

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