Im gonna throw half my bankroll (50 Units) on GS Warriors Moneyline.
First of all, the GS Warriors are a much better team than Chicago Bulls. Thats not so relevant tho in a league with so much fixing (another league with so much fixing ) but Bulls are in a weak east so they can pretty much just cruise control over games like this, they have nothing to do here and nothing really to fight for. Internal eastern conf matchups are where their focus should be and not tough games on the road vs a strong western conf team. So they will pretty much just give this a way. And also, GSW are in western where you have to show up every night if you wanna be up there hanging in, so of course they will just cruise easily over these bulls and move on to the next game. This is not a challenge at all for them, this is an easy win. Also, we all know the importance of looking at lines and odds to see what game we can expect...
Look what happened, 2 days ago, Bulls upset the Suns as a +300 dog, and GSW got upset by the +500 Bobcats. This gives people the perfeception, that when these 2 teams go toe-to-toe they will have a chance coz GSW are WORSE than odds say, and Bulls are BETTER than odds say. This is how it works. So the fact that Vegas (Despite this fact ;)) puts out a +320 on the board means that THEY ARE NOT SCARED AT ALL that Bulls will win here, because they KNOW it wont happen. If i got -300 GSW instead of -390 THEN I WOULD HAVE STAYED AWAY. But ONLY because of the line is at it is, i know the GS Warriors will never be upset in a spot like this.
Its guaranteed that they will win. There is NO way that they will not win here.
50 Units @ -390
Boosting my bankroll with 25% is never a bad thing
And now im just waiting for all the kids to show up and say: "Good job predicting a -390 favorite" - Thank you my son, good job saying NO THANKS to a free 25%. Good fking job!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Im gonna throw half my bankroll (50 Units) on GS Warriors Moneyline.
First of all, the GS Warriors are a much better team than Chicago Bulls. Thats not so relevant tho in a league with so much fixing (another league with so much fixing ) but Bulls are in a weak east so they can pretty much just cruise control over games like this, they have nothing to do here and nothing really to fight for. Internal eastern conf matchups are where their focus should be and not tough games on the road vs a strong western conf team. So they will pretty much just give this a way. And also, GSW are in western where you have to show up every night if you wanna be up there hanging in, so of course they will just cruise easily over these bulls and move on to the next game. This is not a challenge at all for them, this is an easy win. Also, we all know the importance of looking at lines and odds to see what game we can expect...
Look what happened, 2 days ago, Bulls upset the Suns as a +300 dog, and GSW got upset by the +500 Bobcats. This gives people the perfeception, that when these 2 teams go toe-to-toe they will have a chance coz GSW are WORSE than odds say, and Bulls are BETTER than odds say. This is how it works. So the fact that Vegas (Despite this fact ;)) puts out a +320 on the board means that THEY ARE NOT SCARED AT ALL that Bulls will win here, because they KNOW it wont happen. If i got -300 GSW instead of -390 THEN I WOULD HAVE STAYED AWAY. But ONLY because of the line is at it is, i know the GS Warriors will never be upset in a spot like this.
Its guaranteed that they will win. There is NO way that they will not win here.
50 Units @ -390
Boosting my bankroll with 25% is never a bad thing
And now im just waiting for all the kids to show up and say: "Good job predicting a -390 favorite" - Thank you my son, good job saying NO THANKS to a free 25%. Good fking job!
How does the math work on that? Wouldn't you be risking 195 units to win 50? or 50 units to win 12.5? (My numbers may be off doing this from the top of my head)
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Quote Originally Posted by BostonCelticFTW:
Im using units. Im risking 50 units to win 62.82.
Gratz with post number 10.000!
How does the math work on that? Wouldn't you be risking 195 units to win 50? or 50 units to win 12.5? (My numbers may be off doing this from the top of my head)
The Warriors are much better than the Bobcats too, aren't they?
The Warriors aren't in the best form right now, losing 5 of their last 7 games at home, after going 12-4 SU at home to start the season. In three of those recent home losses they were favored by -11, -8, and -8.
You're not risking 50 units to win 62.82, you're risking 50 units to win 12.82. Sounds like you're using the good ole "this team HAS to win at home sometime" analogy, and usually ends bad. Don't expect the Bulls to get run over in primetime.
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The Warriors are much better than the Bobcats too, aren't they?
The Warriors aren't in the best form right now, losing 5 of their last 7 games at home, after going 12-4 SU at home to start the season. In three of those recent home losses they were favored by -11, -8, and -8.
You're not risking 50 units to win 62.82, you're risking 50 units to win 12.82. Sounds like you're using the good ole "this team HAS to win at home sometime" analogy, and usually ends bad. Don't expect the Bulls to get run over in primetime.
Fiatlux - Yeah im risking 50 and getting 62.82 in return. Thus a profit @ +12.82. If i risked 50 and got 12.82 in return it would be a loss of -37.18U. So yeah, thats how the math works.
Dimn - Nope, thats your assumption, but its not how i look at it.
Good luck.
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Fiatlux - Yeah im risking 50 and getting 62.82 in return. Thus a profit @ +12.82. If i risked 50 and got 12.82 in return it would be a loss of -37.18U. So yeah, thats how the math works.
Dimn - Nope, thats your assumption, but its not how i look at it.
Fiatlux - Yeah im risking 50 and getting 62.82 in return. Thus a profit @ +12.82. If i risked 50 and got 12.82 in return it would be a loss of -37.18U. So yeah, thats how the math works.
Dimn - Nope, thats your assumption, but its not how i look at it.
Good luck.
Right on brother, I gotcha now.
Gun to my head I think you are on the right side with this. Go get em'.
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Quote Originally Posted by BostonCelticFTW:
Fiatlux - Yeah im risking 50 and getting 62.82 in return. Thus a profit @ +12.82. If i risked 50 and got 12.82 in return it would be a loss of -37.18U. So yeah, thats how the math works.
Dimn - Nope, thats your assumption, but its not how i look at it.
Good luck.
Right on brother, I gotcha now.
Gun to my head I think you are on the right side with this. Go get em'.
so you're saying the warriors, who got crushed last year at home by essentially the same chicago core (put in dj augustine and henrich for bellineli and nate rob) are a sure winner tonight. and you would be shocked if chicago beats them?
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so you're saying the warriors, who got crushed last year at home by essentially the same chicago core (put in dj augustine and henrich for bellineli and nate rob) are a sure winner tonight. and you would be shocked if chicago beats them?
but Bulls are in a weak east so they can pretty much just cruise control over games like this.... This is very incorrect statement IMO. They do boast one of the top defenses in the entire league may I remind you. Also, tom thibbideou doesn't believe in coasting. He always has these guys ready for games like this. GL with your large wager I hope you cash buddy
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but Bulls are in a weak east so they can pretty much just cruise control over games like this.... This is very incorrect statement IMO. They do boast one of the top defenses in the entire league may I remind you. Also, tom thibbideou doesn't believe in coasting. He always has these guys ready for games like this. GL with your large wager I hope you cash buddy
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