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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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Posted: #676
Didn't wiz beat thunder and hornets beat spurs on same night last week?   Lol.  T
 
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Posted: #677
grizz opened at -3 with chris paul expected to play, now the line is 3.5 with chris paul out and 65 percent still on clips... ur telling me chris paul is only worth half a point? 
 
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Posted: #678

I haven't read this thread,..I lost interest..I don't know if anyones keeping score of the dumb contest Trinny  challenged me too...

 

I think i'm 4 or 5-1 in posted plays here..Correct me if i'm wrong-I'll drop my picks in here until I get to 10 wins

Kings (Sacramento) -5
 
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Posted: #679
mavs under? heavy public on over line moving opposite.

suns, jazz, mavs under
 
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Posted: #680
definite rlm there saber, but not sure if 62 percent is enough to make me pull the trigger... big move though... will be paying attention to that one, good catch
 
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Posted: #681
dudley bro...he is out...not sure about suns now..i dont like to play games with late scratches
 
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Posted: #682
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

grizz opened at -3 with chris paul expected to play, now the line is 3.5 with chris paul out and 65 percent still on clips... ur telling me chris paul is only worth half a point? 

Grizz opened at -3 with the expectation that Rudy G would play, then dropped to a pickem when he was ruled out, then moved to -3.5 when Paul was out.  Line movements are based on injuries.
 
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Posted: #683
What do you guys think about my picks?

Chi over
OKC under
Miami Under
 
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Posted: #684
how about them wizardsssss???
 
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Posted: #685
$$$
 
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Posted: #686

so trini what is your play brotha? yest bad day, you are not far to 50% mark.

 
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Posted: #687
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

there must be massive, massive money coming in on the grizz game. line opened at grizz -3, dropped all the way to -1.5, now back to -2.5 all while over 70 percent on clippers... also, o/u opened at 185.5 at 3 pm yesterday, stayed right around there until 1 pm today, but has dropped 5 pts since, i'lm getting 180.5 now...looks like someone's punding the grizz and the under. with a 5 point move though, i think we might have missed the boat on the under. but there could be huge value on the grizz, since we can get in on almost the original line. never been so tempted to lay 2-3 units on an rlm play. might just leave them as the last team in any parlays i play today and let it ride... thoughts/


 The Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5 at Justbet Sportsbook) are showing solid value as they host the LA Clippers tonight. We faded the Grizzlies successfully as they were playing their 5th game in 7 days in Dallas two nights ago. Memphis lost that game, 101-92. But the Grizzlies are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA, and they're currently 4-1 ATS in their last five games after a straight up loss. They're also coming off of a much needed day of rest, and they're 4-1 ATS the last five times in this spot as well. They've lost their last two games against LA, and we like them to grab some revenge in front of the home crowd tonight. The Clippers have been a good road team, posting a 10-5 SU record. But they outscore they're opponents by an average of just 2.9 points/game when playing away from home. The Memphis Grizzlies play good defensive ball on their home court, limiting visitors to just 87.3 points/game. They also outscore their visitors by an average of 6.5 points/game. This Grizzlies Defense has shocked many high-powered offenses over the years. In fact, Memphis is 32-6 ATS over the last 3 years against opposing offenses that average greater than 99 points/game (the Clippers average 101.8 points/game). LA was upset at home 104-101 in their latest contest, by the Orlando Magic. Unlike the Grizzlies, the Clippers haven't fared well after such a performance. They're 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Clippers are also 1-6 against the spread against strong home teams such as Memphis (winning >.600 of their home games). With the home team going 3-1-1 at the window in the last 5 meetings between these two, these recent trends stay true to this series as well. We'll gladly back the Memphis Grizzlies tonight at the Fedex Forum.

taken from iseewinners . com
 
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Posted: #688
Just tried to hit grizz @-3 on sportsbook and it moved to -3.5 better move quick 
 
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Posted: #689
So here are my picks for today and for my bet with Dougie, if that's still on, regardless of who's hurt, who's on steroids and who's been getting wasted at Liv...

Utah Jazz +3 1 unit

Phoenix Suns +5.5 1 unit

PHO/OKC  UNDER 200 1 unit

13-6-1 starting the day

Also putting a little something on Cavs +5.5 for my personal play, maybe even a lil on ML
 
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Posted: #690
Also seeing OKC/PHO 70%+ on over, opened 201 now 200
 
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Posted: #691
Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:

so trini what is your play brotha? yest bad day, you are not far to 50% mark.



FADE AWAY!!!
 
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Posted: #692
IMO HEAT UNDER is the play. still thinking and Suns used to be my POD in my mind, but i don't trust them still LOL. GL
 
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Posted: #693
Also taking Grizz  under 180 for a personal bet
 
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Posted: #694
Don't like the Grizzlies at -3.5, maybe when it was -1.5
 
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Posted: #695
Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:

2-5 record, 

dont follow anymore until this turn around.


Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:

  flip coin

Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:

N.O lose

PATS UNDER lose

is gonna be a garbage day today.


been busy on 3 different peoples threads huh?


 
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Posted: #696
Quote Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:

Also seeing OKC/PHO 70%+ on over, opened 201 now 200

 
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Posted: #697
This thread is getting too long, can't even find picks from myself or Dougie to keep track... Depending on today's results, I might just start a fresh thread 2mor... Looking for a winning night, if not maybe this thread has lost it's mojo... 

Follow, Fade or Ignore... BOL all... Picks are on post 690, if anyone's looking
 
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Posted: #698
Only 2 REAL plays The under okc and phoenix. 
u should list utah as a personal play as it does not qualify as rlm.

line opened at 2.5 and went to +3 which is not rlm
 
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Posted: #699
wow, Grizzlies now @ -4.5

woulda been great to get them at -1.5 
 
 
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Posted: #700
Quote Originally Posted by TheBest:

Only 2 REAL plays The under okc and phoenix. 
u should list utah as a personal play as it does not qualify as rlm.

line opened at 2.5 and went to +3 which is not rlm

There must have been heavy money dropped on that under around 8 am this morning as the under went from 23% to 41% then the total dropped quickly to 198.5 then has risen slowly over the rest of the day.
This shouldn't count as rlm either as the line reacted to a heavy wager.

Utah opened at -5.5 to -3.5 at a couple of places and dropped down to -2.5 with all the wagers coming in on Mia.  So it does count as rlm at that time.  It has slowly risen back up to -3 though.  Kinda iffy on the rlm.  
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