Accuscore NBA

Hi guys.

For anyone interested, I am going to share my Accuscore NBA spreadsheet.  You may find this information useful, you may not, but either way I'm happy to share.  The results are taken off closing lines and the sheet is updated every day.  I also have some trends based on the current results that may be of interest as well.

If you have any questions, feel free to message me.  Link is provided below.  Goodluck on the hardwood.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ByxNRo0ckzfu8Zt_z0pEAmoGGcV6zns27gAYcEv7os4/edit?usp=sharing

Much appreciated HonestD

No problem guys.  If you like data, line moves and active participation kind of stuff, this would be for you.

Either way it's a solid reference point imo.

I've been betting this stuff modestly for a couple weeks now, but the "plays" section are plays I'm playing for regular amounts now.  They're plays following some of the trends I've made available for you to see and tried to explain in the tabs.  

For this nah.  I will usually make a note on the sheet with a comment and put something in the plays tab in the sheet.  

i know, sorry.   I had some significant down time back when I was posting earlier.  I'm running the NBA sheet along with a hockey sheet while trying to place my own bets/live bets and everything else.  

I'm hoping so!  Who you leaning today?

Not bad leans.  IND needs to play better than they did against HOU.

I think TOR lays the smack down against SAC.  SAC plays hard and fast but against the top teams I don't think they're good enough to hang if the good teams actually try.

Hoping we can on a couple unders tonight.  They've been the biggest money makers so far.

Thanks for sharing! Waiting for your picks.

Got 3 unders locked

If anyone has a question about the sheet, if you have a gmail account just log in and you access the chat feature within the sheet to reach me with a question.

you should see an icon with a little human next to all the icons at the top

I don't bet every Accuscore pick.  

There is no chat icon for me unfortunately. I did some googling and it looks like only those with edit permissions may access chat on google docs, that was changed earlier this year. 

It's easy to tell which NHL games you played, but on the NBA sheet, is there a way to tell, or am I missing it? Also, what are the credentials for each play in NHL? It looks like your power plays are the most successful for example, is that when the Accuscore Edge is 15% or greater? I'm a big math nerd so this is awesome. Thanks!

That sheet I'm running with somebody else.  He's off another forum and it all started when they were following a guy named Berryhorse and his edge model for baseball and he decided to try it with MoneyPuck for hockey.  I then offered to add in Accuscore and compare and also see how the plays are that both systems agree on.

We started out with a minimum 5% edge for a team to be a play, but the last week or two, I believe he lowered MoneyPucks qualifying edge to 4%, but I am keeping Accuscores at 5% for now.  

Yeah, if you look at Accuscores picks with 8% edge or higher, the win rate is obsurd.  I think it's around 75% or so.

As fas as NBA plays go, I'm doing my best to document what I'm playing as far as games "strictly off the sheet" but they aren't every game I'm playing and the Plays section might not be 100% accurate as far as what my final bets are.

The best advice I can give you is to analyze the sheet, maybe do some sorts if you need to and use it as an information point to help you make a final decision.  The numbers are pretty straight forward and you should be able to figure out what they mean pretty quickly, especially if you're a math guy.  Everything on the sheet is relative to the favorite and projected total as far as differences go.

This is my personal sheet, so anything I do is ultimately "for me", I'm just sharing the raw information with you guys.  For now, I'm playing every game that qualifies on the under and favorites trend and some games the sheet agrees with that I decide to play on my own, but I by all means don't just blind bet every single side and total.