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#26
Quote Originally Posted by HonestD:
Quote Originally Posted by trustandfall:
That sheet I'm running with somebody else. He's off another forum and it all started when they were following a guy named Berryhorse and his edge model for baseball and he decided to try it with MoneyPuck for hockey. I then offered to add in Accuscore and compare and also see how the plays are that both systems agree on. We started out with a minimum 5% edge for a team to be a play, but the last week or two, I believe he lowered MoneyPucks qualifying edge to 4%, but I am keeping Accuscores at 5% for now. Yeah, if you look at Accuscores picks with 8% edge or higher, the win rate is obsurd. I think it's around 75% or so. As fas as NBA plays go, I'm doing my best to document what I'm playing as far as games "strictly off the sheet" but they aren't every game I'm playing and the Plays section might not be 100% accurate as far as what my final bets are. The best advice I can give you is to analyze the sheet, maybe do some sorts if you need to and use it as an information point to help you make a final decision. The numbers are pretty straight forward and you should be able to figure out what they mean pretty quickly, especially if you're a math guy. Everything on the sheet is relative to the favorite and projected total as far as differences go. This is my personal sheet, so anything I do is ultimately "for me", I'm just sharing the raw information with you guys. For now, I'm playing every game that qualifies on the under and favorites trend and some games the sheet agrees with that I decide to play on my own, but I by all means don't just blind bet every single side and total. Quote Originally Posted by HonestD:
There is no chat icon for me unfortunately. I did some googling and it looks like only those with edit permissions may access chat on google docs, that was changed earlier this year. It's easy to tell which NHL games you played, but on the NBA sheet, is there a way to tell, or am I missing it? Also, what are the credentials for each play in NHL? It looks like your power plays are the most successful for example, is that when the Accuscore Edge is 15% or greater? I'm a big math nerd so this is awesome. Thanks! Quote Originally Posted by trustandfall:
This is great! A lot of plays today. Comfortable with that? Where's the chat feature?
I don't bet every Accuscore pick.This is great! A lot of plays today. Comfortable with that? Where's the chat feature?
Ahhh alright. It's easy to follow the plays in the NHL sheet, I like it.
I do have a question though, it appears that you had a situation where the hockey sheet had you bet separate sides of the game?
For example, on 11/7, PIT vs WAS, there are plays on both teams?
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