Can someone tell me why the WARRIORS are only -3 @ SAC?

Question

This makes absolutely no sense. I saw the same thing happen when Indiana was -3 at Detroit on Saturday. Am I missing something? Is someone injured I don;t know about?

GSW is arguably Top 3 team in the NBA, and Sac is Bottom 3. SO WHAT if, in the 4th game of the season, GSW lost @ SAC by three. The Warrior's didn't know who they were yet... frankly no team does four games in. But now that the dust has settled and the caliber and hierarchy of the teams is known, this line makes absolutely no sense.

Just as Toronto, one of the the shit hottest teams in the NBA coming off victories over the Rockets, Mavs, and newly improves Cavs, is only laying three at home to another bottom three team, the Pistons.

Someone PLEASE chime in on the Warriors (and Raps if you want) before I met my farm. Clearly the public is behind this logic with 89% on Warrior. Thanks all.

smartkuz · Answer

This makes absolutely no sense. I saw the same thing happen when Indiana was -3 at Detroit on Saturday. Am I missing something? Is someone injured I don;t know about?

GSW is arguably Top 3 team in the NBA, and Sac is Bottom 3. SO WHAT if, in the 4th game of the season, GSW lost @ SAC by three. The Warrior's didn't know who they were yet... frankly no team does four games in. But now that the dust has settled and the caliber and hierarchy of the teams is known, this line makes absolutely no sense.

Just as Toronto, one of the the shit hottest teams in the NBA coming off victories over the Rockets, Mavs, and newly improves Cavs, is only laying three at home to another bottom three team, the Pistons.

Someone PLEASE chime in on the Warriors (and Raps if you want) before I met my farm. Clearly the public is behind this logic with 89% on Warrior. Thanks all.

smartkuz · Answer

In fact... I may two team the Warriors and Raptors in the biggest single parlay bet of my life, unless someone talks me out of this asap...

bluecob4lt · Answer

Raptors is a trap. Best of luck.

smartkuz · Answer

And I was auto corrected from s**t hottest teams to garbarge hottest teams... Raps are playing white hot ball.

smartkuz · Answer

Why is Raptors a "trap"?  Explain.  I love when people declare "trap" games without logic.

lurkerboy101 · Answer

I like GSW. But this&#39;ll be a hard one for me to lock cause its weird how GSW can beat a team like heat, but lose to magics twice, but magics have been doing good. Also, GSW are basically playing at home also, cause I&#39;m sure there will be an even amount of kings and warriors fan since its in the bay. I really like GSW but yeah, I definitely also need an explanation as to why it&#39;s only -3...

frank the tank · Answer

Warriors just played yesterday and have a short travel to Sacramento. Only reason I can see this line being so low is that they just played and the Kings are familiar with the Warriors.

That being said that will not be enough.

Enjoy the easy pick and just take the WArriors -3

frank the tank · Answer

also the kings won earlier in the season but that wont matter

bluecob4lt · Answer

Raptors (7-19 / 5-5 Home) playing at home. Won last 4 ATS. Won last 3 SU. Momentum should carry over from last night.

Pistons (7-20 / 2-12 Away) are on the road. Lost last 4 of 5 ATS. Lost last 5 SU.

Line opens at 1.5, currently 2.5 with 95% on TOR ATS and 16% on TOR ML.

Vegas is clearly begging you to take Raptors -2.5. Which leads me to believe this is a trap game.

smartkuz · Answer

Then let&#x27;s move aside the Raptors for a second and discuss Warriors... bring your logic to that one and tell me why we are -3 on, what is in essence, a home game against the worst team in the NBA.

bluecob4lt · Answer

The Warriors are a good team playing a bad team. As opposed to the Pistons and Raptors both being bad teams.

Warriors (17-8 / 10-5 Away) on the road. Won last 5 of 8 ATS (1 of 4 as Favorites all above -4). Won last 7 of 8 SU.

Kings (7-17 / 6-7 Home) at home. Lost last 4 of 5 ATS. Lost last 5 SU.

Line opened at -3.5, currently -3 with 96% on GSW ATS and 98% on GSW ML.

The reverse line movement screams trap. Has most the forum wondering why GSW is a 3 point favorite.

GSW has covered 3 of 3 ATS as -1 to -3 Favorites.
SAC has covered 1 of 4 ATS as +1 to +3 Underdogs.

victorerk · Answer

If the linemakers put Warriors as -6-7 favorite, the more people would bet than when the odds are warriors -3.

When the odds are -3, we as a public approaching that something doggy fishy etc...away games only makes -3 handicap as all you know, if it is neutral games then odds will be 50/50 shared which is silly.

Public is 77% at Warriors.

If it is revenge factor, Warriors must win situation

golden next game is 2 days after at home game with Charlette

Everything is favour of Golden.

bluecob4lt · Answer

Souce: Vegasinsider

Neef · Answer

Warriors EASY money right?!

vaas187 · Answer

public couldn&#x27;t even smell their own behind if they garbage themselves.....get outta here

vaas187 · Answer

i fukking hate this censorship garbage....it&#x27;s the internet, free speech. let me say A S S and S H I T

vaas187 · Answer

Although, stuckey MIGHT be out, that i can understand for the TOR/DET game....GSW line with reverse movement is a total trap game

smartkuz · Answer

The logic of "well if 90% of the public are betting one way, its problem wrong" is utterly asinine. Until you should me some for of regression analysis with a high R proving a correlation between high public favorites and losses, then I'm going to ignore that concept wholeheartedly.

vaas187 · Answer

if you paid attention to highly consensus bets daily and winners you would see the trend.

Mikado · Answer

I would stay off this game - for whatever reason line is not budging despite the fact most people love GSW (including myself). However I am not going to be a part of this fiasco.

These types of games can be the most dangerous to bet on because people feel like they can put more $ on GSW at such a low line and think it is a steal.

I would definitely keep my eyes on to see what happens in this one - We all know the books could've made GSW -5.5 and it would still get about the same amount of action.

smartkuz · Answer

That is conjecture.  You can&#x27;t say that without actual tracking and data that proves your point.  Your idea is no more valid than me saying "highly favored bets win".  So let&#x27;s remove conjecture and look at the facts.  - Virtually a home game- Hottest team in NBA vs. Worst- Tyreke Evans is hurt, may not play, and may get traded to the Celtics so he will probably be benched- Line is (-3) and should be (-8) at leastThat&#x27;s it... unless you have anything to counter the obvious, we will wait and see.  BOL to you sir.

Mikado · Answer

Basically from what I&#x27;ve read from the Chronicle and the Bee is that it should be a very intense game with GSW coming off the B2B (as they have not performed that well on the 2nd leg) and it somewhat justifies the low line.  In addition you have some of the Dubs that may get fatigued.  I&#x27;m almost leaning the opposite way now.

smartkuz · Answer

Great quote from Lee:"One of the hardest games in the NBA to play is your first game back at home after a road trip," forward David Lee said after scoring 26 points with nine rebounds. "I&#x27;ve been through too much losing to be disappointed in a win."These guys really get it now... very self aware and are fighting for every win.

Iceman313 · Answer

I dont care so called trap game or not im pounding raptors tonight like a two dolla hooker!!!! My pistons suck nd this also a revenge game.

Can someone tell me why the WARRIORS are only -3 @ SAC?

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