Basically from what I've read from the Chronicle and the Bee is that it should be a very intense game with GSW coming off the B2B (as they have not performed that well on the 2nd leg) and it somewhat justifies the low line. In addition you have some of the Dubs that may get fatigued.
I'm almost leaning the opposite way now.
Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the back end of a B2B.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mikado:
Basically from what I've read from the Chronicle and the Bee is that it should be a very intense game with GSW coming off the B2B (as they have not performed that well on the 2nd leg) and it somewhat justifies the low line. In addition you have some of the Dubs that may get fatigued.
I'm almost leaning the opposite way now.
Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the back end of a B2B.
Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the back end of a B2B.
They may and won and covered some - but by no means does that mean those were easy victories. Look back on some of those... not even D.C. was easy for them. They also got lucky on the win and cover in OT in Dallas as well. They have won a decent amount of games, however most have not been pretty at all.
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Quote Originally Posted by Amazatron:
Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the back end of a B2B.
They may and won and covered some - but by no means does that mean those were easy victories. Look back on some of those... not even D.C. was easy for them. They also got lucky on the win and cover in OT in Dallas as well. They have won a decent amount of games, however most have not been pretty at all.
They may and won and covered some - but by no means does that mean those were easy victories. Look back on some of those... not even D.C. was easy for them. They also got lucky on the win and cover in OT in Dallas as well. They have won a decent amount of games, however most have not been pretty at all.
Since when was anything easy in the NBA? Point is that they won and covered. You stated that they do not do well in the back end of B2Bs, which is entirely false.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mikado:
They may and won and covered some - but by no means does that mean those were easy victories. Look back on some of those... not even D.C. was easy for them. They also got lucky on the win and cover in OT in Dallas as well. They have won a decent amount of games, however most have not been pretty at all.
Since when was anything easy in the NBA? Point is that they won and covered. You stated that they do not do well in the back end of B2Bs, which is entirely false.
I dont care so called trap game or not im pounding raptors tonight like a two dolla hooker!!!! My pistons suck nd this also a revenge game.
Why is this a revenge game? Because the Raptors lost by 1 last time when they missed their final shot? Because Detroit and Toronto have a rivalry going? Because you think Toronto is such a good team they give a crap about these situations? How about the other 15 games they lost? Will all those be revenge games too?
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Quote Originally Posted by Iceman313:
I dont care so called trap game or not im pounding raptors tonight like a two dolla hooker!!!! My pistons suck nd this also a revenge game.
Why is this a revenge game? Because the Raptors lost by 1 last time when they missed their final shot? Because Detroit and Toronto have a rivalry going? Because you think Toronto is such a good team they give a crap about these situations? How about the other 15 games they lost? Will all those be revenge games too?
They have won every b2b game this season by 4+... the only thing that concerns me is that most of these b2b games have a loss in the first game of the b2b but the 2nd game is always a win. Only games that they have won both on a b2b was brooklyn and washington..
But 5-0 SU on there 2nd game on a b2b, so what makes the trend stop here?! :)? Might as well keep following the trend until it breaks, hehe... just my 2 cents..
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10/31 @Phoenix W, 87-85
11/2 MEMPHIS L, 94-104
11/3 @L.A. Clippers W, 114-110
11/5 @Sacramento L, 92-94
11/7 CLEVELAND W, 106-96
11/9 @L.A. Lakers L, 77-101
11/10 DENVER L, 101-107 (2OT)
11/14 ATLANTA W, 92-88
11/16 @Minnesota W, 106-98
11/18 @Oklahoma City L, 109-119
11/19 @Dallas W, 105-101 (OT)
11/21 BROOKLYN W, 102-93
11/23 @Denver L, 91-102
11/24 MINNESOTA W, 96-85
11/29 DENVER W, 106-105
12/1 INDIANA W, 103-92
12/3 ORLANDO L, 94-102
12/5 @Detroit W, 104-97
12/7 @Brooklyn W, 109-102
12/8 @Washington W, 101-97
12/10 @Charlotte W, 104-96
12/12 @Miami W, 97-95
12/14 @Orlando L, 85-99
12/15 @Atlanta W, 115-93
12/18 NEW ORLEANS W, 103-96
12/19 @Sacramento ........TBD
They have won every b2b game this season by 4+... the only thing that concerns me is that most of these b2b games have a loss in the first game of the b2b but the 2nd game is always a win. Only games that they have won both on a b2b was brooklyn and washington..
But 5-0 SU on there 2nd game on a b2b, so what makes the trend stop here?! :)? Might as well keep following the trend until it breaks, hehe... just my 2 cents..
Oops, silly me, i forgot to highlight 11/9 and 11/10, so they are 5-1 SU on b2b, they loss to nuggets on 11/10, and I do remember watching that game and taking the nuggets, nuggets got superdupah lucky and GSW was suppose to win. But cmon now, 2 completely different teams, nuggets and kings...
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Oops, silly me, i forgot to highlight 11/9 and 11/10, so they are 5-1 SU on b2b, they loss to nuggets on 11/10, and I do remember watching that game and taking the nuggets, nuggets got superdupah lucky and GSW was suppose to win. But cmon now, 2 completely different teams, nuggets and kings...
The logic of "well if 90% of the public are betting one way, its problem wrong" is utterly asinine. Until you should me some for of regression analysis with a high R proving a correlation between high public favorites and losses, then I'm going to ignore that concept wholeheartedly.
Remember this year when 85% of the public were on Green Bay vs. Seattle on the MNF game? And that last play that gave Seattle the win swung over $100 million in bets in favour of Vegas....
So while I have no ample proof of "trap" games I do get a bit weary when there's data released that shows the public being very heavy towards one team in bets and dollar amounts wagered.
The other thing, whether you trust it or not, is that there seems to be a lot of people on this forum who love the Raptors tonight like they suddenly are the Thunder. Isn't that just too easy that everyone all of a sudden just loves the Raptors? Lets not kid ourselves - though they have won a few games, the Raptors are still a garbage team so don't be fooled by their recent "success".
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Quote Originally Posted by smartkuz:
The logic of "well if 90% of the public are betting one way, its problem wrong" is utterly asinine. Until you should me some for of regression analysis with a high R proving a correlation between high public favorites and losses, then I'm going to ignore that concept wholeheartedly.
Remember this year when 85% of the public were on Green Bay vs. Seattle on the MNF game? And that last play that gave Seattle the win swung over $100 million in bets in favour of Vegas....
So while I have no ample proof of "trap" games I do get a bit weary when there's data released that shows the public being very heavy towards one team in bets and dollar amounts wagered.
The other thing, whether you trust it or not, is that there seems to be a lot of people on this forum who love the Raptors tonight like they suddenly are the Thunder. Isn't that just too easy that everyone all of a sudden just loves the Raptors? Lets not kid ourselves - though they have won a few games, the Raptors are still a garbage team so don't be fooled by their recent "success".
Im a warriors fan and they should win but they always play each other tough. Also, for some reason marcus thorton always has career games vs the warriors. I think the over is the play here imo
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Im a warriors fan and they should win but they always play each other tough. Also, for some reason marcus thorton always has career games vs the warriors. I think the over is the play here imo
I like the raptors today, but the only reason why im not going to take them today is because they've been covering most of there games recently and whenever any team is on a streak and I decide to jump on, it always turns out the other way (i.e. jumped on spurs finally after they were covering countless games and when I tailed them when they played jazz.. Moe Williams hits a buzzer beater...). You would think they would be doing a lot worst without lowry but.. guess not?! LoL. I almost took brooklyn when they played raptors last week and raptors didnt have Anderson, Bargnani, Fields, Johnson, Lowry, and Kleiza.. but they still managed to cover... so IDK... imma stay out of this one but if I really had to choose, raptors all the way!! Ride them while they hottttttttttt
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I like the raptors today, but the only reason why im not going to take them today is because they've been covering most of there games recently and whenever any team is on a streak and I decide to jump on, it always turns out the other way (i.e. jumped on spurs finally after they were covering countless games and when I tailed them when they played jazz.. Moe Williams hits a buzzer beater...). You would think they would be doing a lot worst without lowry but.. guess not?! LoL. I almost took brooklyn when they played raptors last week and raptors didnt have Anderson, Bargnani, Fields, Johnson, Lowry, and Kleiza.. but they still managed to cover... so IDK... imma stay out of this one but if I really had to choose, raptors all the way!! Ride them while they hottttttttttt
That is conjecture. You can't say that without actual tracking and data that proves your point. Your idea is no more valid than me saying "highly favored bets win". So let's remove conjecture and look at the facts.
- Virtually a home game - Hottest team in NBA vs. Worst - Tyreke Evans is hurt, may not play, and may get traded to the Celtics so he will probably be benched - Line is (-3) and should be (-8) at least
That's it... unless you have anything to counter the obvious, we will wait and see. BOL to you sir.
If the books lost more times than they won, when 80+% of the money was placed on a side.. They would probably not be in business very long.
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Quote Originally Posted by smartkuz:
That is conjecture. You can't say that without actual tracking and data that proves your point. Your idea is no more valid than me saying "highly favored bets win". So let's remove conjecture and look at the facts.
- Virtually a home game - Hottest team in NBA vs. Worst - Tyreke Evans is hurt, may not play, and may get traded to the Celtics so he will probably be benched - Line is (-3) and should be (-8) at least
That's it... unless you have anything to counter the obvious, we will wait and see. BOL to you sir.
If the books lost more times than they won, when 80+% of the money was placed on a side.. They would probably not be in business very long.
the kings are bi polar, every once in a while they look like a quality team, and those are usually at home, on the road u know what u will get from them NOTHING, don't be suprised if kings win tonight i wouldn't play gs any more than a typical game it's basketball anybody can win on any given night no reason to go ape poop on one game
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the kings are bi polar, every once in a while they look like a quality team, and those are usually at home, on the road u know what u will get from them NOTHING, don't be suprised if kings win tonight i wouldn't play gs any more than a typical game it's basketball anybody can win on any given night no reason to go ape poop on one game
Im a warriors fan and they should win but they always play each other tough. Also, for some reason marcus thorton always has career games vs the warriors. I think the over is the play here imo
Nice call, hope you made a few bets
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Quote Originally Posted by GSW0716:
Im a warriors fan and they should win but they always play each other tough. Also, for some reason marcus thorton always has career games vs the warriors. I think the over is the play here imo
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